SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0104 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not currently expected on Sunday.
...Synopsis...
Within a broad, large-scale trough covering much of the
central/eastern CONUS, a low-amplitude shortwave is forecast to move
from the southern Great Plains into the Southeast on Sunday. In
response to this system, some low-level moisture return is possible
into parts of the upper TX coast and southern LA, in advance of an
approaching cold front. However, persistent surface ridging will
tend to keep the richer Gulf moisture mostly suppressed offshore.
Early-day elevated convection will be possible across parts of the
Gulf Coast, to the north of the primary baroclinic zone. Convective
showers may develop later in the day across parts of LA and southern
MS along/ahead of the approaching cold front, though forecast
soundings currently suggest that this convection may not be
sufficiently deep for lightning production.
Farther east, thermodynamic profiles may become at least marginally
supportive of thunderstorm development across parts of the FL
Peninsula and Keys. Isolated diurnal storm development cannot be
ruled out near any sea breeze boundaries and a remnant baroclinic
zone across the peninsula, though large-scale forcing will be
limited. Late in the period, thunderstorms over the Gulf may
approach parts of the FL Panhandle and Keys. While some increase in
deep-layer shear is possible with time, generally weak lapse rates
and modest buoyancy are currently expected to limit the
organized-severe threat.
..Dean.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 052000Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and evening across
the Southeast states, and over parts of the northern Rockies.
Added a small area of thunderstorm potential along the ID/MT border
for later this afternoon and evening. A strong shortwave trough and
associated mid/upper level jet max are digging southeastward into
the region. This will provide favorable large-scale ascent, while
forecast soundings show the potential for weak, elevated CAPE. This
may result in a few lightning flashes.
No changes were made to the southeast states, where scattered
thunderstorms will remain possible through the afternoon and
evening.
..Hart.. 12/05/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025/
...Synopsis...
A split upper-flow regime over the CONUS will continue through
tonight. Zonal, high momentum flow will extend from the base of a
trough/upper low near Baja California east-northeastward across the
Ark-La-Miss and through the Mid-Atlantic region. Visible-satellite
imagery and buoy/surface observations show a cold front draped from
the western part of the Gulf of America northeastward into the FL
Panhandle and far southern GA. Occasional weak elevated
thunderstorms are possible through the day north of the boundary
from the mouth of the MS River into southern GA. A small area for a
stronger thunderstorm may develop this afternoon from the FL Big
Bend into extreme southern GA immediately along and south of the
front. However, weak convergence and lack of appreciable forcing
for ascent near the boundary will likely constrain thunderstorm
activity to isolated coverage and limit intensity, despite some
diurnal increase in buoyancy and the presence of strong mid- to
upper flow.
Read more
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 052000Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and evening across
the Southeast states, and over parts of the northern Rockies.
Added a small area of thunderstorm potential along the ID/MT border
for later this afternoon and evening. A strong shortwave trough and
associated mid/upper level jet max are digging southeastward into
the region. This will provide favorable large-scale ascent, while
forecast soundings show the potential for weak, elevated CAPE. This
may result in a few lightning flashes.
No changes were made to the southeast states, where scattered
thunderstorms will remain possible through the afternoon and
evening.
..Hart.. 12/05/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025/
...Synopsis...
A split upper-flow regime over the CONUS will continue through
tonight. Zonal, high momentum flow will extend from the base of a
trough/upper low near Baja California east-northeastward across the
Ark-La-Miss and through the Mid-Atlantic region. Visible-satellite
imagery and buoy/surface observations show a cold front draped from
the western part of the Gulf of America northeastward into the FL
Panhandle and far southern GA. Occasional weak elevated
thunderstorms are possible through the day north of the boundary
from the mouth of the MS River into southern GA. A small area for a
stronger thunderstorm may develop this afternoon from the FL Big
Bend into extreme southern GA immediately along and south of the
front. However, weak convergence and lack of appreciable forcing
for ascent near the boundary will likely constrain thunderstorm
activity to isolated coverage and limit intensity, despite some
diurnal increase in buoyancy and the presence of strong mid- to
upper flow.
Read more
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A low-amplitude midlevel shortwave trough is forecast to move
quickly eastward across the Mid-South on Saturday, and then move
offshore of the Carolinas by early Sunday morning. Upstream, a
midlevel shortwave trough and attendant surface low will move
southeastward from the northern High Plains toward the mid MS
Valley.
Dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm potential
across most of the CONUS on Saturday. Weak convection and possibly
isolated thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon across the
FL Peninsula, in the vicinity of a weakening front. Late Saturday
night into early Sunday morning, thunderstorms may develop near the
central Gulf Coast vicinity, north of an offshore front that is
expected to slowly move northward late in the period. Where
thunderstorms occur, generally weak lapse rates and modest buoyancy
are expected to limit organized-severe potential through the period.
..Dean.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A low-amplitude midlevel shortwave trough is forecast to move
quickly eastward across the Mid-South on Saturday, and then move
offshore of the Carolinas by early Sunday morning. Upstream, a
midlevel shortwave trough and attendant surface low will move
southeastward from the northern High Plains toward the mid MS
Valley.
Dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm potential
across most of the CONUS on Saturday. Weak convection and possibly
isolated thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon across the
FL Peninsula, in the vicinity of a weakening front. Late Saturday
night into early Sunday morning, thunderstorms may develop near the
central Gulf Coast vicinity, north of an offshore front that is
expected to slowly move northward late in the period. Where
thunderstorms occur, generally weak lapse rates and modest buoyancy
are expected to limit organized-severe potential through the period.
..Dean.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1026 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051700Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Weak lee troughing
development across the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough
ejects into the Great Plains will promote a favorable dry, downslope
environment across portions of eastern NM and TX Permian Basin
today. West-northwest winds of 15 mph combined with relative
humidity in the 15-20% range are expected, but recent precipitation,
relatively cool conditions and unreceptive fuels should limit
broader fire weather concerns.
..Williams.. 12/05/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the
CONUS. A period of westerly downslope flow can be expected across
eastern New Mexico into western Texas as a weak lee-side low
develops. Some overlap of relative humidity reductions around 15-20
percent will be possible for a couple of hours in the afternoon.
However, recent cool and wet conditions across the southern High
Plains have improved status of fuels and will mitigate any
widespread fire weather concerns.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1026 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051700Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Weak lee troughing
development across the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough
ejects into the Great Plains will promote a favorable dry, downslope
environment across portions of eastern NM and TX Permian Basin
today. West-northwest winds of 15 mph combined with relative
humidity in the 15-20% range are expected, but recent precipitation,
relatively cool conditions and unreceptive fuels should limit
broader fire weather concerns.
..Williams.. 12/05/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the
CONUS. A period of westerly downslope flow can be expected across
eastern New Mexico into western Texas as a weak lee-side low
develops. Some overlap of relative humidity reductions around 15-20
percent will be possible for a couple of hours in the afternoon.
However, recent cool and wet conditions across the southern High
Plains have improved status of fuels and will mitigate any
widespread fire weather concerns.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051630Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast
today, but severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Synopsis...
A split upper-flow regime over the CONUS will continue through
tonight. Zonal, high momentum flow will extend from the base of a
trough/upper low near Baja California east-northeastward across the
Ark-La-Miss and through the Mid-Atlantic region. Visible-satellite
imagery and buoy/surface observations show a cold front draped from
the western part of the Gulf of America northeastward into the FL
Panhandle and far southern GA. Occasional weak elevated
thunderstorms are possible through the day north of the boundary
from the mouth of the MS River into southern GA. A small area for a
stronger thunderstorm may develop this afternoon from the FL Big
Bend into extreme southern GA immediately along and south of the
front. However, weak convergence and lack of appreciable forcing
for ascent near the boundary will likely constrain thunderstorm
activity to isolated coverage and limit intensity, despite some
diurnal increase in buoyancy and the presence of strong mid- to
upper flow.
..Smith/Wendt.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051630Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast
today, but severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Synopsis...
A split upper-flow regime over the CONUS will continue through
tonight. Zonal, high momentum flow will extend from the base of a
trough/upper low near Baja California east-northeastward across the
Ark-La-Miss and through the Mid-Atlantic region. Visible-satellite
imagery and buoy/surface observations show a cold front draped from
the western part of the Gulf of America northeastward into the FL
Panhandle and far southern GA. Occasional weak elevated
thunderstorms are possible through the day north of the boundary
from the mouth of the MS River into southern GA. A small area for a
stronger thunderstorm may develop this afternoon from the FL Big
Bend into extreme southern GA immediately along and south of the
front. However, weak convergence and lack of appreciable forcing
for ascent near the boundary will likely constrain thunderstorm
activity to isolated coverage and limit intensity, despite some
diurnal increase in buoyancy and the presence of strong mid- to
upper flow.
..Smith/Wendt.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051300Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast
today, but severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Enhanced west-southwesterly mid-level flow will persist across the
Southeast today, as large-scale upper troughing over the
central/eastern CONUS is further reinforced by multiple shortwave
troughs advancing east-southeastward. At the surface, a cold front
will slowly sag southeastward over south GA/north FL through the
period. Generally elevated thunderstorms may occur today along/north
of the front. But with poor mid-level lapse rates present, weak
low-level convergence due to veered southwesterly low-level winds,
and limited instability forecast, the chance for sustained
surface-based convection and related severe potential appears low.
..Gleason/Jewell.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 051300Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast
today, but severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Enhanced west-southwesterly mid-level flow will persist across the
Southeast today, as large-scale upper troughing over the
central/eastern CONUS is further reinforced by multiple shortwave
troughs advancing east-southeastward. At the surface, a cold front
will slowly sag southeastward over south GA/north FL through the
period. Generally elevated thunderstorms may occur today along/north
of the front. But with poor mid-level lapse rates present, weak
low-level convergence due to veered southwesterly low-level winds,
and limited instability forecast, the chance for sustained
surface-based convection and related severe potential appears low.
..Gleason/Jewell.. 12/05/2025
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 081200Z - 131200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance indicates that at least modestly amplified
mid/upper ridging will continue to build and be maintained across
the Pacific coast into the Rockies through next week. Within the
northwesterly flow downstream of this feature, several digging short
wave perturbations appear likely to reinforce large-scale troughing
across the eastern U.S., while also contributing to occasional
surface cyclogenesis from the lee of the northern Rockies through
the northern and middle Atlantic Seaboard. However, these are not
likely to be accompanied by a strengthening southerly return flow
emanating from the Gulf Basin. Regardless, in the wake of a
reinforcing cold intrusion across much of the Florida Peninsula, and
through much of the Gulf Basin, early next week, it appears that
boundary-layer modification over the Gulf will not become conducive
to appreciable inland low-level moisture return.
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 081200Z - 131200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance indicates that at least modestly amplified
mid/upper ridging will continue to build and be maintained across
the Pacific coast into the Rockies through next week. Within the
northwesterly flow downstream of this feature, several digging short
wave perturbations appear likely to reinforce large-scale troughing
across the eastern U.S., while also contributing to occasional
surface cyclogenesis from the lee of the northern Rockies through
the northern and middle Atlantic Seaboard. However, these are not
likely to be accompanied by a strengthening southerly return flow
emanating from the Gulf Basin. Regardless, in the wake of a
reinforcing cold intrusion across much of the Florida Peninsula, and
through much of the Gulf Basin, early next week, it appears that
boundary-layer modification over the Gulf will not become conducive
to appreciable inland low-level moisture return.
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 081200Z - 131200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance indicates that at least modestly amplified
mid/upper ridging will continue to build and be maintained across
the Pacific coast into the Rockies through next week. Within the
northwesterly flow downstream of this feature, several digging short
wave perturbations appear likely to reinforce large-scale troughing
across the eastern U.S., while also contributing to occasional
surface cyclogenesis from the lee of the northern Rockies through
the northern and middle Atlantic Seaboard. However, these are not
likely to be accompanied by a strengthening southerly return flow
emanating from the Gulf Basin. Regardless, in the wake of a
reinforcing cold intrusion across much of the Florida Peninsula, and
through much of the Gulf Basin, early next week, it appears that
boundary-layer modification over the Gulf will not become conducive
to appreciable inland low-level moisture return.
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across much of the
U.S. Sunday through Sunday night.
...Discussion...
Models indicate that mid/upper ridging may rebuild offshore of the
British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast, while being maintained
across and inland of coastal areas through this period. Downstream
flow may not change appreciably on the larger-scale, but one broad
embedded cyclonic circulation may redevelop southeast of the
Hudson/James Bay vicinity through central Quebec, while a
consolidating perturbation within another stream digs across the
central/southern Great Plains toward the Southeast.
The latter feature is forecast to be accompanied by a reinforcing
cold intrusion across the Gulf coast into northwest Gulf Basin by
late Sunday night. Downstream, a weak low may begin to develop
along the initially stalled/slow moving frontal zone, east of the
Florida Peninsula.
...Florida...
Forecast soundings indicate that relatively warm layers aloft will
continue to hinder potential for deep convective development over
the interior central and southern peninsula Sunday through Sunday
night. In general, guidance suggests that better coupling of
mid/upper forcing for ascent and higher boundary-layer moisture
content may be confined to areas along/ahead of the front across the
northeastern into central Gulf Basin and offshore western Atlantic.
..Kerr.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across much of the
U.S. Sunday through Sunday night.
...Discussion...
Models indicate that mid/upper ridging may rebuild offshore of the
British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast, while being maintained
across and inland of coastal areas through this period. Downstream
flow may not change appreciably on the larger-scale, but one broad
embedded cyclonic circulation may redevelop southeast of the
Hudson/James Bay vicinity through central Quebec, while a
consolidating perturbation within another stream digs across the
central/southern Great Plains toward the Southeast.
The latter feature is forecast to be accompanied by a reinforcing
cold intrusion across the Gulf coast into northwest Gulf Basin by
late Sunday night. Downstream, a weak low may begin to develop
along the initially stalled/slow moving frontal zone, east of the
Florida Peninsula.
...Florida...
Forecast soundings indicate that relatively warm layers aloft will
continue to hinder potential for deep convective development over
the interior central and southern peninsula Sunday through Sunday
night. In general, guidance suggests that better coupling of
mid/upper forcing for ascent and higher boundary-layer moisture
content may be confined to areas along/ahead of the front across the
northeastern into central Gulf Basin and offshore western Atlantic.
..Kerr.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Aside from a possible isolated weak thunderstorm or two across parts
of the central Florida Peninsula, the risk for thunderstorms appears
negligible across much of the nation Saturday through Saturday
night.
...Discussion...
Models indicate little change to the large-scale pattern across much
of North America through this period. Downstream of lingering
mid/upper ridging just inland of the Pacific coast, flow will
continue to split into broad troughing centered within one branch,
across Hudson Bay through portions of the Great Lakes and Northeast,
and another, across the central/southern Great Plains through
Southeast. Weak, positively-tilted troughing is also forecast to
linger across and southwest of southern Baja, between an
increasingly suppressed high over the southern mid-latitude to
subtropical eastern Pacific and ridging across the Caribbean through
western subtropical Atlantic.
In lower levels, the primary surface front may advance a bit farther
offshore of the southern Atlantic Seaboard and into the central
Florida Peninsula, but models suggest it will stall across the
northwestern Gulf Basin and perhaps redevelop northward toward
northeastern Gulf coastal areas Saturday night.
...Northeastern Gulf coast/Florida Peninsula...
Low-level moistening and insolation may contribute to boundary-layer
destabilization in a corridor near/just ahead of the front across
the central Florida Peninsula during the day Saturday. While this
could become supportive of at least attempts at deepening convective
development by late Saturday afternoon, relatively warm mid-level
temperatures and weak mid/upper forcing for ascent seem likely to
limit thunderstorm development to perhaps a weak thunderstorm or
two.
Better potential for thunderstorms may develop by late Saturday
night across the northeastern Gulf, aided by forcing for ascent
downstream of digging mid-level troughing across the southern Great
Plains, perhaps preceded by a perturbation emerging from the
subtropics. This might include convection rooted with lift
associated with lower/mid-troposphere warm advection, as far north
as coastal southeastern Louisiana and the Florida Big Bend vicinity.
..Kerr.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Aside from a possible isolated weak thunderstorm or two across parts
of the central Florida Peninsula, the risk for thunderstorms appears
negligible across much of the nation Saturday through Saturday
night.
...Discussion...
Models indicate little change to the large-scale pattern across much
of North America through this period. Downstream of lingering
mid/upper ridging just inland of the Pacific coast, flow will
continue to split into broad troughing centered within one branch,
across Hudson Bay through portions of the Great Lakes and Northeast,
and another, across the central/southern Great Plains through
Southeast. Weak, positively-tilted troughing is also forecast to
linger across and southwest of southern Baja, between an
increasingly suppressed high over the southern mid-latitude to
subtropical eastern Pacific and ridging across the Caribbean through
western subtropical Atlantic.
In lower levels, the primary surface front may advance a bit farther
offshore of the southern Atlantic Seaboard and into the central
Florida Peninsula, but models suggest it will stall across the
northwestern Gulf Basin and perhaps redevelop northward toward
northeastern Gulf coastal areas Saturday night.
...Northeastern Gulf coast/Florida Peninsula...
Low-level moistening and insolation may contribute to boundary-layer
destabilization in a corridor near/just ahead of the front across
the central Florida Peninsula during the day Saturday. While this
could become supportive of at least attempts at deepening convective
development by late Saturday afternoon, relatively warm mid-level
temperatures and weak mid/upper forcing for ascent seem likely to
limit thunderstorm development to perhaps a weak thunderstorm or
two.
Better potential for thunderstorms may develop by late Saturday
night across the northeastern Gulf, aided by forcing for ascent
downstream of digging mid-level troughing across the southern Great
Plains, perhaps preceded by a perturbation emerging from the
subtropics. This might include convection rooted with lift
associated with lower/mid-troposphere warm advection, as far north
as coastal southeastern Louisiana and the Florida Big Bend vicinity.
..Kerr.. 12/05/2025
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Saturday.
Strengthening westerly flow aloft will overspread the
northern/central Rockies as the next mid-level wave shifts out of
the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies. A stronger lee
cyclone is progged to develop across the central Plains. This will
likely develop areas of overlap of dry/windy conditions across the
southern High Plains. However, a lack of receptive fuels with recent
wet/cool conditions precludes the need to include any areas.
..Thornton.. 12/05/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Saturday.
Strengthening westerly flow aloft will overspread the
northern/central Rockies as the next mid-level wave shifts out of
the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies. A stronger lee
cyclone is progged to develop across the central Plains. This will
likely develop areas of overlap of dry/windy conditions across the
southern High Plains. However, a lack of receptive fuels with recent
wet/cool conditions precludes the need to include any areas.
..Thornton.. 12/05/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
