Storm Prediction Center

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0042 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0042 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Northwest TX...Southwest OK Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241347Z - 241645Z SUMMARY...Increasing coverage of winter mixed precipitation (mostly sleet) is possible from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Deepening ascent is evident on satellite imagery from far west TX into northwest TX, downstream of a subtle shortwave trough moving through the southwesterly flow aloft well ahead of the upper low off the central Baja California coast. This deepening ascent has resulting in an expanding area of light to moderate precipitation now moving into northwest TX. Surface temperatures in this region are well-below freezing (i.e. lower teens to single digits), but forecast sounding still show a substantial warm nose. This profile appears to favor sleet, although some snow could be mixed in a well. As a result, mixed winter precipitation is anticipated from northwest TX into southwest TX over the next few hours. Precipitation rates will generally be light, but modestly steep lapse rates above the warm nose suggest some embedded moderate rates are possible. ..Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 32889896 32979985 33350059 33870119 34630112 35010059 35140013 35189924 34979859 34799814 34459781 34089767 33379798 33019856 32889896 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday. ...Synopsis... Mid-level troughing and strong cyclonic flow aloft will shift southward over the US before gradually moving offshore Monday. A second trough is expected to move south out of Canada into the Great Lakes as it also intensifies. The mid-level flow pattern is forecast to continue to amplify with troughing persisting over the eastern US. In turn, ridging is forecast to build over the central and western portions of the country with increasingly strong northwesterly flow. At the surface, a robust and widespread Arctic air mass with strong high pressure will dominate the lower 48 as a cold front moves offshore into the Atlantic and down the FL Peninsula. Widespread winter weather and cold temperatures will largely preclude robust inland surface moisture outside of coastal south FL. However, weak lapse rates and only glancing ascent suggests thunderstorm potential here is low. Thus, thunderstorms and severe weather appear unlikely over the US on Monday. ..Lyons.. 01/24/2026 Read more

MD 0038 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR THE TEXARKANA REGION INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 0038 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1126 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Areas affected...The Texarkana Region into southern Arkansas and far western Mississippi Concerning...Freezing rain Valid 240526Z - 241030Z SUMMARY...Freezing rain rates are expected to increase across the Texarkana region into southern Arkansas and far western Mississippi through the overnight hours. Freezing rain rates between 0.05 to 0.1 inch/hour are possible. DISCUSSION...Surface temperatures across southern AR into the Texarkana region are now mostly below freezing despite a slight abatement of near-surface cold air advection. Several ASOS/AWOS stations, mPING reports, and web cams have been reporting predominantly freezing rain with pockets of embedded sleet over the past couple of hours. Looking upstream, a heavier precipitation band is noted migrating eastward across north TX/southern OK attendant to a focused zone of isentropic and frontogenetical ascent at around 850 mb. This uptick in low-level warm advection is noted in regional VWPs as a steady enlargement of the 0-3 km hodograph, which supports recent analyses and forecasts. Further strengthening of warm advection/frontogenetical ascent at around the 850 mb level is expected per recent guidance as the precipitation band spreads east into southern AR over the next 4-6 hours. Strong ascent combined with persistent warm temperatures at around 700 mb will maintain a broad swath of freezing rain across the Texarkana region into southern AR, and will likely promote the onset of freezing rain to far western MS. Freezing rain rates on the order of 0.05 inch/hour appear likely, but localized rates up to 0.1 inch/hour appear possible across southwest/south-central AR where CAM consensus for the past few hours has depicted the highest QPF amounts (which appear reasonable based on observed banding upstream). ..Moore.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... LAT...LON 32889136 32999414 33229473 33589517 33919537 34229537 34489517 34579469 34619391 34609290 34609163 34559112 34399070 34179042 33959036 33219058 32999086 32889136 Read more

MD 0039 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS.
Mesoscale Discussion 0039 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0118 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Far Eastern Oklahoma...Central and Northern Arkansas. Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 240718Z - 241115Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall, with rates up to 1 inch per hour, are expected to develop from parts of far eastern Oklahoma eastward across much of central and northern Arkansas over the next several hours. The snow should be mixed with sleet over parts of central Arkansas. DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows a mid-level trough in the western U.S., with a belt of strong zonal westerly flow over much of the central and eastern U.S. Lift is currently maximized over the Ark-La-Tex and southern Ozarks, where a shortwave trough appears to moving through the flow, and the right exit region of an expansive mid-level jet is located. Within this zone, radar shows a large area winter precipitation, which is organized into an east-to-west band. This band is being supported by strong lift associated with the northern edge of a 35 to 45 knot low-level jet. As the low-level jet shifts eastward across south-central Arkansas over the next 3 to 6 hours, isentropic lift will become maximized in parts of central and northern Arkansas. Snowfall rates are expected to peak near 1 inch per hour within the heaviest part of the band. On southern edge of the band, a sleet/snow mix is expected. The potential for heavy precipitation should continue over the next four to six hours. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 35809038 35429017 35139019 34919024 34569051 34479078 34429160 34439365 34489446 34619484 34899502 35169505 35579494 35969445 36069279 35989086 35809038 Read more

MD 0040 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHWEST/SOUTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL TX...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0040 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0129 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Northwest/Southwest/North-Central TX...South-Central/Southeast OK Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 240729Z - 241130Z SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain and sleet is expected to persist from southwest Texas into north-central Texas and south-central/southeast Oklahoma throughout the morning. DISCUSSION...Surface observations around the region currently place the freezing line from Bonham (in Fannin County TX) southwestward through northwest Tarrant County before diving more south-southwestward through San Saba, TX. This orientation puts much of the DFW Metroplex just above freezing, with some temperatures actually increasing a degree or two amid light precipitation and resultant wet bulbing. Even so, continued cold-air advection is anticipated, with temperatures eventually dropping below freezing later this morning. Those areas already below freezing will also see temperatures continue to decrease throughout the morning. Current regional radar imagery shows some banding across north-central TX (northwest of the Metroplex), where strong 850mb warm-air advection is ongoing. Correlation coefficient from KFWS suggests most of this is sleet. Additionally, a large area of light precipitation continues to build upstream of the region amid modest lift attendant to a subtle lead shortwave trough and continued isentropic ascent. Expectation is for precipitation to continue across this region for the next several hours, with sleet as the prominent p-type across southwest/northwest TX and south-central OK. Freezing rain will likely become more common across north-central TX over the next hour or two, with another transition to sleet possible later this morning as the surface continues to cool. ..Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33530002 34539740 34689541 33419497 32439587 31120069 32130113 33530002 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GULF COAST... CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC ERROR ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast states Sunday into Sunday night. Damaging gusts are expected to be the primary risk. ...Synopsis... A broad positively tilted larger-scale mid-level trough over the central US is forecast to intensify Sunday as it moves eastward and absorbs several smaller perturbations ejecting from the Rockies and western CONUS. The most prominent of these smaller-scale features will move from the Sabine Valley and central Gulf Coast, northeastward into the Tennessee Valley and central Appalachians by Monday night. Amplification of the overall trough and southwesterly cyclonic flow aloft will support the development of a weak surface low ahead of the cold front moving into the Southeast. Southerly flow ahead of this low will result in modest modification inland of a remnant Gulf air mass south of a large Arctic intrusion/cold air damming. Weak buoyancy and strong forcing will likely support a band of thunderstorms with the potential for some strong/severe storms through parts of the eastern Gulf Coast Sunday afternoon. ...Eastern Gulf Coast States... Gradual destabilization is expected early Sunday first over southern LA and MS as the surface low and warm front lift northward. Strong isentropic ascent over the shallow Arctic air mass will likely support a band of initially elevated convection from portions of East TX into southern LA and MS gradually spreading eastward. With time, these storms will encounter the northward advancing modified warm sector as the cold front impinges on the western edge of the moisture return through the day. Weak destabilization peaking around 500-750 J/kg of MLCAPE will overlap with strong deep-layer shear of 50-60 kt. This will allow for some intensification/organization of the ongoing storms where the near surface air mass can destabilize. Likely linear in nature owing to the strong frontal forcing, a few stronger segments appear plausible, especially across southeastern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle into southwestern Georgia late Sunday afternoon and evening. Damaging gusts would be primary risk given 50-70 kt flow in the lowest 1-3 km AGL. A brief QLCS tornado is also possible, but less certain as the low-level wind field gradually veers through the day as the main ascent lifts away to the north. ..Lyons.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The pattern will continue to favor a broad trough across the Central US with an arctic air mass across much of the central/eastern CONUS. Widespread precipitation will continue from the central US into the southeast and eastern US. The extremely cold temperatures, snow pack, and recent wetting precipitation will keep fire concerns low for D2/Sunday. ..Thornton.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ..Thornton.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Northwest/North Central Gulf Coast... Late-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined upper low off the Baja Peninsula. This feature is forecast to eject across the central Baja around mid day as a 500mb speed max rounds the base of the trough, then ejects into northeast Mexico by 25/06z. In response to this speed max, a weak surface low should develop along the polar front over the northwest Gulf basin, then lift northeast across southeast LA into southern MS late in the period. Latest model guidance suggests modified Gulf air mass will return to the northern Gulf coast ahead of this weak surface low, but forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that most likely will not recover adequately for surface-based convection. While MUCAPE will increase ahead of the front, any thunderstorms that form will likely be at least slightly elevated in nature. Early in the period there is some concern for a few robust thunderstorms near the TX Gulf coast. However, polar front will surge offshore near the start of the day1 and the primary concern for organized storms will be quickly shunted southeast off the coast. At this time the probability for severe thunderstorms appears too low to warrant a MRGL Risk. ..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/24/2026 Read more

MD 0035 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0035 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0550 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Areas affected...Southern Oklahoma into far northern Texas and southern Arkansas Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 232350Z - 240445Z SUMMARY...Freezing rain and sleet accumulations are beginning across portions of southern Oklahoma, and are expected to spread east over the next several hours into northern/northeast Texas and southern Arkansas as precipitation increases across the region. Freezing rain rates up to 0.05 inch/hour appear likely along the Red River into southern Arkansas. DISCUSSION...Regional radar mosaics depict two plumes of moderate precipitation with notable bright banding across western TX into southern OK and from central TX into the Texarkana region. These plumes are largely being driven by a combination of deep isentropic upglide over a southward surging frontal zone and a frontogenetic response between 925-850 mb. The forcing mechanisms are expected to gradually shift east through late evening, which will likely result in a prolonged period of precipitation along the Red River into southern AR. At the surface, mPING reports of sleet in Lawton, OK hint that temperatures aloft (especially at around 700 mb) are likely warmer than depicted by recent mesoanalyses and RAP forecast soundings (implying a cold bias aloft). Recent HRRR solutions appear to be better resolving the placement and magnitude of the warm nose aloft (especially when compared with the recent 00z OUN sounding), and suggest that freezing rain should be the predominant precipitation type along/south of the Red River with increasing sleet amounts further north into OK. Although temperatures across southeast OK and southern AR remain above freezing as of 23:45 UTC, temperature falls on the order of 2-3 F/hour are noted in ASOS/OK Mesonet observations, so sub-freezing temperatures are expected within the next 1-3 hours as precipitation overspreads the region. Given these trends and recent model consensus, freezing rain rates up to 0.05 inch/hour appear likely along the Red River and into southern AR through 06 UTC. Sleet should be the primary precipitation type with northward extent into OK with moderate to heavy sleet accumulations probable. Given the weak (0.6 C) warm nose at 739 mb in the recent OUN sounding, a transition zone from sleet to moderate/heavy snow will likely manifest in the coming hours roughly along the I-40 corridor as precipitation spreads northeast. ..Moore.. 01/23/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 33339522 33569687 33699763 33839838 34129876 34569891 34949874 35149821 35259743 35199689 35099625 34949540 34699379 34539253 34539201 34409166 34159140 33859121 33369118 33159133 33059183 33069250 33339522 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z ...Synopsis... A long-wave trough will continue to translate eastward over much of the CONUS by D3/Sunday. An associated modified Arctic air-mass will encompass most of the central and eastern CONUS into D4/Monday, while precipitation shifts into the South, Mid Atlantic, and New England regions. Additional upper troughs are expected to dive southward out of central Canada throughout next week, with reinforcing cold air masses at the surface maintaining below average temperatures from the Rockies eastward. Further west, however, upper ridging is anticipated to briefly return to the Southwest and Great Basin before another Pacific trough moves onshore mid to late next week. Some precipitation may accompany this feature from CA northward into the Pacific Northwest. Generally, this pattern will keep fire weather concerns low to very low throughout the extended forecast especially across the eastern 2/3 of the CONUS. ..Barnes.. 01/23/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... No changes were required for tomorrow's forecast. Please see the previous discussion below for details. ..Barnes.. 01/23/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Broad troughing across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US on Saturday. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. Fire concerns will remain minimal given widespread cold and wet conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... No changes were required for tomorrow's forecast. Please see the previous discussion below for details. ..Barnes.. 01/23/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Broad troughing across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US on Saturday. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. Fire concerns will remain minimal given widespread cold and wet conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

No watches are valid as of Fri Jan 23 19:47:01 UTC 2026.