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Storm Prediction Center

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0064 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW ADM TO 15 NNW GYI TO 20 NNE DUA TO 15 SSW MLC TO 10 E MLC TO 30 S MKO TO 15 S MKO. ..CHALMERS..03/05/26 ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-033-047-061-083-087-113-127-131-133-143-149-050340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN HOWARD LOGAN MADISON POLK SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER WASHINGTON YELL OKC001-005-013-023-061-077-079-089-127-135-050340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH TXC085-097-113-119-121-139-147-159-181-221-223-231-251-257-277- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW TYS TO 55 SE LOZ TO 25 ESE JKL TO 30 WNW HTS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC071-095-115-119-127-133-153-159-193-195-160940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLOYD HARLAN JOHNSON KNOTT LAWRENCE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN PERRY PIKE TNC009-019-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-091-155-163-171-179- 160940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CARTER COCKE GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON JOHNSON SEVIER SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-160940- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..CHALMERS..03/04/26 ATTN...WFO...LZK...PAH...SGF...LSX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-009-049-065-071-075-089-101-115-121-129-135-137-141- 050040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER BOONE FULTON IZARD JOHNSON LAWRENCE MARION NEWTON POPE RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP STONE VAN BUREN ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181- 185-191-193-199-050040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC PERRY POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..CHALMERS..03/04/26 ATTN...WFO...LZK...PAH...SGF...LSX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-009-049-065-071-075-089-101-115-121-129-135-137-141- 050040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER BOONE FULTON IZARD JOHNSON LAWRENCE MARION NEWTON POPE RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP STONE VAN BUREN ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181- 185-191-193-199-050040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC PERRY POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 61 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0061 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW JKL TO 30 W CMH TO 30 NW MFD. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-043-081-089-135-160740- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD CARTER GRANT GREENUP LEWIS OHC001-041-045-047-049-073-079-087-089-097-129-131-141-145-163- 160740- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS SCIOTO VINTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 61 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0061 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW JKL TO 30 W CMH TO 30 NW MFD. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-043-081-089-135-160740- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD CARTER GRANT GREENUP LEWIS OHC001-041-045-047-049-073-079-087-089-097-129-131-141-145-163- 160740- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS SCIOTO VINTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 61 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0061 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW JKL TO 30 W CMH TO 30 NW MFD. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-043-081-089-135-160740- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD CARTER GRANT GREENUP LEWIS OHC001-041-045-047-049-073-079-087-089-097-129-131-141-145-163- 160740- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS SCIOTO VINTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 61 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0061 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW JKL TO 30 W CMH TO 30 NW MFD. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-043-081-089-135-160740- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD CARTER GRANT GREENUP LEWIS OHC001-041-045-047-049-073-079-087-089-097-129-131-141-145-163- 160740- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS SCIOTO VINTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 60 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0060 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LFT TO 30 SW MEI TO 30 NW GAD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261 ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-019-021-023-025-047-055-063-065-073-091-105-115- 117-119-121-125-129-131-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE DALLAS ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON MARENGO PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX LAC005-063-103-105-117-160740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 60 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0060 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LFT TO 30 SW MEI TO 30 NW GAD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261 ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-019-021-023-025-047-055-063-065-073-091-105-115- 117-119-121-125-129-131-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE DALLAS ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON MARENGO PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX LAC005-063-103-105-117-160740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 60 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0060 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LFT TO 30 SW MEI TO 30 NW GAD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261 ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 60 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-019-021-023-025-047-055-063-065-073-091-105-115- 117-119-121-125-129-131-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE DALLAS ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON MARENGO PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX LAC005-063-103-105-117-160740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 60

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 60 TORNADO AL LA MS 160225Z - 160900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 60 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 925 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North-Central into Southwest Alabama Southeast Louisiana Central and Southern Mississippi * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 925 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A severe squall line with embedded cells will continue to progress east across the central Gulf Coast states through late tonight. The more intense portions of the larger band of storms may feature a few supercells and bowing segments, where the threat for tornadoes and damaging gusts will probably focus. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Birmingham AL to 65 miles east of Lafayette LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW 59... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 28040. ...Smith Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...Synopsis... A period of Elevated fire weather concerns will return on D2/Tuesday across the southern Plains. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies, with lee troughing strengthening across the northern/central High Plains. Strengthening southwest winds will extend into the Southern Plains where a residual dry air mass will promote an increasing fire weather threat for southeastern NM, west TX and western OK. Afternoon relative humidity reductions to 15-20% will overlap sustained south southwesterly winds 10-15 mph. A corridor of near Critical to Critical conditions may be possible within this broader Elevated. For now, confidence in coverage of critical winds is too low to include an area at this time, given low combined probabilities from ensemble guidance from the HREF. ..Thornton.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...Synopsis... A period of Elevated fire weather concerns will return on D2/Tuesday across the southern Plains. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies, with lee troughing strengthening across the northern/central High Plains. Strengthening southwest winds will extend into the Southern Plains where a residual dry air mass will promote an increasing fire weather threat for southeastern NM, west TX and western OK. Afternoon relative humidity reductions to 15-20% will overlap sustained south southwesterly winds 10-15 mph. A corridor of near Critical to Critical conditions may be possible within this broader Elevated. For now, confidence in coverage of critical winds is too low to include an area at this time, given low combined probabilities from ensemble guidance from the HREF. ..Thornton.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...Synopsis... A period of Elevated fire weather concerns will return on D2/Tuesday across the southern Plains. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies, with lee troughing strengthening across the northern/central High Plains. Strengthening southwest winds will extend into the Southern Plains where a residual dry air mass will promote an increasing fire weather threat for southeastern NM, west TX and western OK. Afternoon relative humidity reductions to 15-20% will overlap sustained south southwesterly winds 10-15 mph. A corridor of near Critical to Critical conditions may be possible within this broader Elevated. For now, confidence in coverage of critical winds is too low to include an area at this time, given low combined probabilities from ensemble guidance from the HREF. ..Thornton.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 59 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0059 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BHM TO 20 NE CSV TO 15 WSW LOZ. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...HUN...FFC...OHX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC049-071-095-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEKALB JACKSON MARSHALL GAC015-047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-227-295-313-160740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE FANNIN FLOYD GILMER GORDON MURRAY PICKENS WALKER WHITFIELD TNC007-011-035-065-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-153-160740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLEDSOE BRADLEY CUMBERLAND Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 59 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0059 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BHM TO 20 NE CSV TO 15 WSW LOZ. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...HUN...FFC...OHX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC049-071-095-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEKALB JACKSON MARSHALL GAC015-047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-227-295-313-160740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE FANNIN FLOYD GILMER GORDON MURRAY PICKENS WALKER WHITFIELD TNC007-011-035-065-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-153-160740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLEDSOE BRADLEY CUMBERLAND Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 59 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0059 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BHM TO 20 NE CSV TO 15 WSW LOZ. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...HUN...FFC...OHX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC049-071-095-160740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEKALB JACKSON MARSHALL GAC015-047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-227-295-313-160740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE FANNIN FLOYD GILMER GORDON MURRAY PICKENS WALKER WHITFIELD TNC007-011-035-065-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-153-160740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLEDSOE BRADLEY CUMBERLAND Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 59

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 59 TORNADO AL GA TN 160120Z - 160800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 59 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 820 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Alabama Far Northwest Georgia Middle into Eastern Tennessee * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 820 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 0.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Broken bands of severe thunderstorms will move across the Watch area this evening into the overnight. A few stronger cells embedded within the bands will potentially pose the greatest severe risk. A few tornadoes, including the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes, and severe gusts 60-80 mph are the main threats with the stronger thunderstorms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Nashville TN to 35 miles south southwest of Huntsville AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...WW 54...WW 55...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Smith Read more

SPC Mar 16, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0146 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A northwest flow regime will persist across the Plains through Saturday/D6 as an upper high holds over the southwestern states. The ridge is expected to break down late D6 through the remainder of the period into Monday/D8, as a strong wave moves southeastward into the Great Lakes, and a weaker wave potentially moves into the Great Basin/Four Corners states on Sunday/D7. This overall pattern will maintain relatively stable conditions over most of the CONUS, with high pressure over the southeastern states including the Gulf of America. Further, as the stronger wave potentially moves across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast, a reinforcing cold front is likely to plunge south over much of the central and eastern states into the D7/D8 time frame. While limited moisture may precede this cold front, overall potential for destabilization appears to be minimal. Read more
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