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Storm Prediction Center

SPC Tornado Watch 65 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0065 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 17 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW BMI TO 40 SE MMO TO 45 NW VPZ. ..MOORE..03/06/26 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 17 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-075-091-070140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD IROQUOIS KANKAKEE INC007-017-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127-131- 141-149-151-169-181-183-070140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY MIC005-015-021-023-025-027-059-075-077-149-159-070140- Read more

SPC MD 265

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0265 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL GA INTO FAR NORTHERN FL
Mesoscale Discussion 0265 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0501 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...Parts of southern/central GA into far northern FL Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 161001Z - 161130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Monitoring for some increase in severe-storm potential. DISCUSSION...Along and east of a 40-50 kt southerly low-level jet (per VWP) extending across parts of GA into SC, broad/weak positive theta-e advection amid middle/upper 60s boundary-layer dewpoints and limited inhibition is yielding widely scattered thunderstorm development. While most of these updrafts have been shallow, a couple isolated storms in south-central GA have shown signs of organization and pose a risk of a tornado and locally damaging gusts in the near term. Given low-level clockwise hodograph curvature and the rich boundary-layer moisture, there is some potential for additional intensification within this corridor. However, the weak/unfocused forcing for ascent limits confidence in this scenario, and the need for a watch is uncertain (though trends are being monitored). ..Weinman/Hart.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 30878470 31278470 32718350 33118281 33108227 32878194 32278184 31548216 31208235 30718284 30498367 30608436 30878470 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GZH TO 15 ENE GZH TO 30 WSW ATL TO 50 S TYS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-097- 109-113-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON MOBILE PIKE RUSSELL FLC005-013-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC009-011-013-021-035-037-053-059-061-063-067-077-079-085-089- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GZH TO 15 ENE GZH TO 30 WSW ATL TO 50 S TYS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-097- 109-113-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON MOBILE PIKE RUSSELL FLC005-013-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC009-011-013-021-035-037-053-059-061-063-067-077-079-085-089- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GZH TO 15 ENE GZH TO 30 WSW ATL TO 50 S TYS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-097- 109-113-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON MOBILE PIKE RUSSELL FLC005-013-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC009-011-013-021-035-037-053-059-061-063-067-077-079-085-089- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GZH TO 15 ENE GZH TO 30 WSW ATL TO 50 S TYS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-097- 109-113-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON MOBILE PIKE RUSSELL FLC005-013-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC009-011-013-021-035-037-053-059-061-063-067-077-079-085-089- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GZH TO 15 ENE GZH TO 30 WSW ATL TO 50 S TYS. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-097- 109-113-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON MOBILE PIKE RUSSELL FLC005-013-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC009-011-013-021-035-037-053-059-061-063-067-077-079-085-089- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 63

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 63 TORNADO AL FL GA 160810Z - 161400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 63 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 310 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Alabama Florida Panhandle Northern and Western Georgia * Effective this Monday morning from 310 AM until 900 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will overspread the region through the morning hours, with the strongest cells posing a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles southeast of Pensacola FL to 50 miles north northwest of Athens GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 60...WW 62... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0064 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 64 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...GSP...CAE...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 64 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC105-119-137-147-181-241-257-161040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT FRANKLIN HABERSHAM HART LINCOLN RABUN STEPHENS NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-075-087-089- 097-099-109-111-113-115-119-121-149-159-161-171-173-175-179-189- 193-197-199-161040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON IREDELL JACKSON LINCOLN MCDOWELL MACON MADISON MECKLENBURG MITCHELL POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD SURRY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0064 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 64 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...GSP...CAE...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 64 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC105-119-137-147-181-241-257-161040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT FRANKLIN HABERSHAM HART LINCOLN RABUN STEPHENS NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-075-087-089- 097-099-109-111-113-115-119-121-149-159-161-171-173-175-179-189- 193-197-199-161040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON IREDELL JACKSON LINCOLN MCDOWELL MACON MADISON MECKLENBURG MITCHELL POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD SURRY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0064 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 64 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...GSP...CAE...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 64 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC105-119-137-147-181-241-257-161040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT FRANKLIN HABERSHAM HART LINCOLN RABUN STEPHENS NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-075-087-089- 097-099-109-111-113-115-119-121-149-159-161-171-173-175-179-189- 193-197-199-161040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON IREDELL JACKSON LINCOLN MCDOWELL MACON MADISON MECKLENBURG MITCHELL POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD SURRY Read more

SPC MD 263

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0263 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR FAR SOUTHERN WV...WESTERN VA...FAR EASTERN TN...WESTERN NC AND SC
Mesoscale Discussion 0263 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0321 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...Far southern WV...western VA...far eastern TN...western NC and SC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 160821Z - 161015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The risk of damaging winds will continue with an eastward-advancing squall line. A downstream watch is likely. DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented QLCS is tracking eastward across eastern KY, TN, and northern GA at around 40 kt. While boundary-layer moisture and surface-based buoyancy is limited ahead of the line (especially with northward extent), very strong deep-layer flow/shear oriented parallel to the leading gust front should continue to support the maintenance of the QLCS with eastward extent. Given the linear mode, damaging wind gusts will continue to be the primary concern, though an embedded mesovortex tornado cannot be entirely ruled out -- given strong low-level shear. A downstream watch will likely be issued soon. ..Weinman/Hart.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC... LAT...LON 37368226 37658211 37808159 37818110 37658062 37348038 36868049 36188085 35288138 34708199 34478252 34608331 34768396 34988411 35378396 35878329 36568263 37368226 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TYS TO 40 N TRI TO 35 SE UNI. ..WEINMAN..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-161040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COCKE GREENE JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON VAC027-051-167-169-191-520-161040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BRISTOL WVC005-019-039-045-047-059-079-081-109-161040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 62 SEVERE TSTM KY TN VA WV 160440Z - 161100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 62 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Kentucky Eastern Tennessee Southwestern Virginia Southwestern West Virginia * Effective this Monday morning from 1240 AM until 700 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A squall line will move from west to east across the Watch area overnight. Scattered damaging gusts associated with the more intense portions of bowing segments and inflections within the squall line will be the primary hazard. A brief tornado is possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Jackson KY to 15 miles southeast of Knoxville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW 61... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean storm motion vector 24045. ...Smith Read more

SPC MD 262

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0262 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR FAR WESTERN NC/SC...NORTHERN/WESTERN GA...SOUTHEAST AL...AND WESTERN FL PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0262 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...Far western NC/SC...northern/western GA...southeast AL...and western FL Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 160737Z - 160930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Monitoring environmental and convective trends for a possible downstream watch. The primary concern would be damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar data depicts a northeast/southwest-oriented QLCS advancing eastward across eastern TN, far northwest GA, and northern/central AL -- with additional isolated thunderstorms attempting to intensify ahead of the line in AL. This activity continues to pose a risk of damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes. Downstream, the pre-convective environment is characterized by weak to moderate surface-based buoyancy (higher with southward extent) and around 50 kt of line-parallel 0-6 km shear (per regional VWP). This, along with a 40-50 kt low-level jet, should continue to support the maintenance of the QLCS with eastward extent. Despite some uncertainty in the severe risk with eastward and northward extent, the potential for damaging gusts and perhaps an embedded tornado or two may continue, and a new downstream watch may be needed. ..Weinman/Hart.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 30678713 32798629 34798451 35138393 35098325 34828279 34448267 33918281 33018340 31068497 30458564 30258644 30328696 30678713 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more
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