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Storm Prediction Center

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1135 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026 ...Outbreak of severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Mid Atlantic States this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Eastern Virginia Eastern North Carolina Maryland A small part of northeast South Carolina District of Columbia * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A few tornadoes, a couple strong * SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic States. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Thompson.. 03/16/2026 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1135 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026 ...Outbreak of severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Mid Atlantic States this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Eastern Virginia Eastern North Carolina Maryland A small part of northeast South Carolina District of Columbia * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A few tornadoes, a couple strong * SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic States. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Thompson.. 03/16/2026 Read more

SPC Mar 16, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WASHINGTON D.C. AND MARYLAND... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic States. ...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion. Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low 60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line. Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer destabilization over eastern NY into New England. In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line. Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity through this evening. ...GA/FL... Moderate buoyancy characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg will persist through the afternoon ahead of southwest/northeast-oriented convection. With large-scale ascent, outside of low-level convergence, becoming more focused to the north of this region, there is uncertainty on how far south an organized line will persist in the FL Peninsula. Primary severe threat should remain through mid-afternoon, with a generalized waning in southern extent this evening. ..Grams/Lyons.. 03/16/2026 Read more

SPC Mar 16, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WASHINGTON D.C. AND MARYLAND... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic States. ...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion. Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low 60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line. Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer destabilization over eastern NY into New England. In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line. Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity through this evening. ...GA/FL... Moderate buoyancy characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg will persist through the afternoon ahead of southwest/northeast-oriented convection. With large-scale ascent, outside of low-level convergence, becoming more focused to the north of this region, there is uncertainty on how far south an organized line will persist in the FL Peninsula. Primary severe threat should remain through mid-afternoon, with a generalized waning in southern extent this evening. ..Grams/Lyons.. 03/16/2026 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 66 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0066 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE CLT TO 30 WNW SOP TO 20 WNW DAN TO 30 W SHD. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-033-037-051-063-077-085-093-105-125-135-145-153-165-181- 183-161740- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE CASWELL CHATHAM CUMBERLAND DURHAM GRANVILLE HARNETT HOKE LEE MOORE ORANGE PERSON RICHMOND SCOTLAND VANCE WAKE VAC009-011-019-029-031-037-083-143-590-680-161740- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMHERST APPOMATTOX BEDFORD BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CHARLOTTE HALIFAX PITTSYLVANIA VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 66 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0066 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE CLT TO 30 WNW SOP TO 20 WNW DAN TO 30 W SHD. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-033-037-051-063-077-085-093-105-125-135-145-153-165-181- 183-161740- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE CASWELL CHATHAM CUMBERLAND DURHAM GRANVILLE HARNETT HOKE LEE MOORE ORANGE PERSON RICHMOND SCOTLAND VANCE WAKE VAC009-011-019-029-031-037-083-143-590-680-161740- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMHERST APPOMATTOX BEDFORD BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CHARLOTTE HALIFAX PITTSYLVANIA VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC MD 271

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0271 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTO FAR SOUTHERN NEW YORK
Mesoscale Discussion 0271 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0957 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...central Pennsylvania into far southern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 161457Z - 161630Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A line of showers is likely to strengthen by late morning into the early afternoon. DISCUSSION...A line of showers has developed along a pre-frontal trough across central Pennsylvania this morning. Based on SPC mesoanalysis, it is currently in a very weakly unstable environment. However, as it moves farther east, temperatures are warmer (mid 60s F) with some low 60s dewpoints. As temperatures cool aloft, this should result in greater instability through the late morning and into the early afternoon. Additional strengthening of this line and additional storm development ahead of this line may result in some increase severe weather threat. Damaging winds and perhaps a few tornadoes (given the strong low-level shear), will be the primary threat. As the intensity of this convection increases, a tornado watch may be needed. ..Bentley/Thompson.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...CTP... LAT...LON 40517554 39877567 39777623 39807753 40277800 40907797 41597785 42117762 42507654 42347532 41877503 40517554 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH Read more

SPC MD 272

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0272 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0272 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...portions of central and eastern North Carolina into coastal South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 161515Z - 161645Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...South of a lifting warm front, a destabilizing air mass will likely support several rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms. Very strong kinematic fields will favor damaging winds and the potential for tornadoes (some strong). A new Tornado Watch will likely be needed by midday, though the exact timing remains unclear. DISCUSSION...Morning surface and satellite and surface obs show diurnal warming and subsequent destabilization is occurring south of a warm front lifting across parts of eastern NC, far southern VA and across coastal SC. South of the front, temperatures warming into the upper 60s and low 70s F with dewpoints in the 60s F will support weak but sufficient buoyancy for numerous strong to severe storms (500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE most likely). Very strong kinematic fields will support a mixed convective mode, with multiple clusters, line segments and possibly semi-discrete supercells. Despite some uncertainty on the magnitude of the destabilization, very strong kinematic fields are already present and likely to intensify as a 120+ kt mid-level jet approaches this afternoon. ESRH of 200-300 m2/s2 will support updraft rotation, and the potential for tornadoes, especially with any semi-discrete supercells that can be maintained. Some of the tornadoes could be strong and/or long-tracked given storm motions exceeding 50 kts. While the exact details and storm mode remain unclear due to multiple rounds and numerous storm interactions, the severe risk is likely to increase morning, signaling the need for a new Tornado Watch by midday. ..Lyons/Thompson.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS... LAT...LON 32597970 33308000 34597909 35397852 36107841 36237807 36197752 36127708 36037662 36007595 35977559 35857544 35637538 35607531 35187556 34917593 34477673 33817777 33417869 32597970 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 273

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0273 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 66...67... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0273 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...portions of central Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 66...67... Valid 161535Z - 161700Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 66, 67 continues. SUMMARY...A locally more favorable severe weather corridor exists over the next 2 to 3 hours across portions of central Virginia. DISCUSSION...Temperatures have increased to the mid to upper 60s in a narrow zone from south-central Virginia into east-central Virginia late this morning. Some breaks in the clouds remain across this region which may permit some additional warming. The line of storms near the NC/VA border are also more favorably oriented for a greater damaging wind/QLCS tornado threat. Additionally, mid-level flow is rapidly strengthening with the FCX VWP showing mid-level flow increasing from 60 knots to 80 knots over the last 2 hours. Therefore, this corridor from Halifax to Hanover County may have a greater severe weather threat over the next 2 to 3 hours. ..Bentley/Thompson.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 36587862 36687950 36917945 37387927 37827853 38117799 38317770 38287739 37637725 36807829 36587862 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 269

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0269 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA INTO MARYLAND
Mesoscale Discussion 0269 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0903 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Areas affected...Central Virginia into Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 161403Z - 161630Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will increase through the morning. DISCUSSION...Low-level moisture advection and cooling mid-level temperatures will continue to destabilize Virginia into Maryland this morning. Limited capping evident on the RNK and IAD 12Z RAOBs has resulted in scattered warm sector development ahead of the primary squall line. These messy-mode storms will continue to limit heating, but may have some severe threat as above mentioned destabilization continues within a strong wind profile. Low-level shear, already strong at 12Z, will continue to strengthen through the day. Therefore, any stronger/deeper updrafts could have some tornado threat late this morning into the early afternoon. The primary threat still appears to be the wind/embedded tornado threat later this afternoon as the secondary mid-level jet streak ejects east of the Appalachians and wind fields strengthen rapidly. However, even this threat is contingent on the evolution of these morning storms. A tornado watch will likely be needed at some point, potentially by later this morning if the morning storms start to show more organization/structure. ..Bentley/Thompson.. 03/16/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 37357914 37957944 38687939 39507874 39677817 39637606 38697616 37687651 36797746 36587878 37357914 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST... As a potent cold front traverses the region today, extensive mid-to-high level cloud cover is expected to limit diurnal heating across much of the southern Plains Elevated risk area. The Critical risk area across southern coastal Texas will remain largely clear of cloud debris until late afternoon, allowing for maximum insolation and fuel drying. While guidance suggests localized near-critical conditions farther north into central Texas and Oklahoma, driven by strong northwesterly flow aloft, the threat is tempered by a significant drop in temperatures to 10-20 degrees below normal and the aforementioned shading. However, the pressure gradient remains tight; a corridor of sustained northwest surface winds of 15-20 mph, coupled with RH values of 15-20%, warrants an expansion of the Elevated area. This expansion now includes central Oklahoma, northeast Texas, and a westward shift into portions of central Texas to account for the overlap of wind and low-level moisture recovery lags. All other outlook areas remain unchanged. ..Stearns/Williams.. 03/16/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026/ ...Synopsis... Dry, post frontal northerly flow will overspread the southern Plains this afternoon bringing a period of Elevated to Critical fire weather concerns across eastern New Mexico/far west Texas and from central Oklahoma to the middle and lower Texas Coast. ...New Mexico and far west Texas... Dry southeasterly return flow around 15-20 mph will overlap relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent across portions of eastern New Mexico into far western Texas this afternoon. Fuels within this region remain critically dry and multiple days of windy/dry conditions and will support maintaining an Elevated area. ...South Central Oklahoma to the Lower Texas Coast... As the cold front shifts offshore, dry northerly flow will overspread an area from south-central Oklahoma down to the middle/lower Texas coast. The driest conditions are expected across the lower Texas coast, where a Critical was maintained with this outlook. Relative humidity around 10-15% will overlap north to northeast winds 15-20 mph across this region. This in addition to dry fuels will support increased fire spread potential. Confidence has increase that Elevated conditions will extend across the middle Texas coast and north into south-central Oklahoma, which was added with this outlook as several new fires emerged across this region on Sunday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST... As a potent cold front traverses the region today, extensive mid-to-high level cloud cover is expected to limit diurnal heating across much of the southern Plains Elevated risk area. The Critical risk area across southern coastal Texas will remain largely clear of cloud debris until late afternoon, allowing for maximum insolation and fuel drying. While guidance suggests localized near-critical conditions farther north into central Texas and Oklahoma, driven by strong northwesterly flow aloft, the threat is tempered by a significant drop in temperatures to 10-20 degrees below normal and the aforementioned shading. However, the pressure gradient remains tight; a corridor of sustained northwest surface winds of 15-20 mph, coupled with RH values of 15-20%, warrants an expansion of the Elevated area. This expansion now includes central Oklahoma, northeast Texas, and a westward shift into portions of central Texas to account for the overlap of wind and low-level moisture recovery lags. All other outlook areas remain unchanged. ..Stearns/Williams.. 03/16/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026/ ...Synopsis... Dry, post frontal northerly flow will overspread the southern Plains this afternoon bringing a period of Elevated to Critical fire weather concerns across eastern New Mexico/far west Texas and from central Oklahoma to the middle and lower Texas Coast. ...New Mexico and far west Texas... Dry southeasterly return flow around 15-20 mph will overlap relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent across portions of eastern New Mexico into far western Texas this afternoon. Fuels within this region remain critically dry and multiple days of windy/dry conditions and will support maintaining an Elevated area. ...South Central Oklahoma to the Lower Texas Coast... As the cold front shifts offshore, dry northerly flow will overspread an area from south-central Oklahoma down to the middle/lower Texas coast. The driest conditions are expected across the lower Texas coast, where a Critical was maintained with this outlook. Relative humidity around 10-15% will overlap north to northeast winds 15-20 mph across this region. This in addition to dry fuels will support increased fire spread potential. Confidence has increase that Elevated conditions will extend across the middle Texas coast and north into south-central Oklahoma, which was added with this outlook as several new fires emerged across this region on Sunday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST... As a potent cold front traverses the region today, extensive mid-to-high level cloud cover is expected to limit diurnal heating across much of the southern Plains Elevated risk area. The Critical risk area across southern coastal Texas will remain largely clear of cloud debris until late afternoon, allowing for maximum insolation and fuel drying. While guidance suggests localized near-critical conditions farther north into central Texas and Oklahoma, driven by strong northwesterly flow aloft, the threat is tempered by a significant drop in temperatures to 10-20 degrees below normal and the aforementioned shading. However, the pressure gradient remains tight; a corridor of sustained northwest surface winds of 15-20 mph, coupled with RH values of 15-20%, warrants an expansion of the Elevated area. This expansion now includes central Oklahoma, northeast Texas, and a westward shift into portions of central Texas to account for the overlap of wind and low-level moisture recovery lags. All other outlook areas remain unchanged. ..Stearns/Williams.. 03/16/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026/ ...Synopsis... Dry, post frontal northerly flow will overspread the southern Plains this afternoon bringing a period of Elevated to Critical fire weather concerns across eastern New Mexico/far west Texas and from central Oklahoma to the middle and lower Texas Coast. ...New Mexico and far west Texas... Dry southeasterly return flow around 15-20 mph will overlap relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent across portions of eastern New Mexico into far western Texas this afternoon. Fuels within this region remain critically dry and multiple days of windy/dry conditions and will support maintaining an Elevated area. ...South Central Oklahoma to the Lower Texas Coast... As the cold front shifts offshore, dry northerly flow will overspread an area from south-central Oklahoma down to the middle/lower Texas coast. The driest conditions are expected across the lower Texas coast, where a Critical was maintained with this outlook. Relative humidity around 10-15% will overlap north to northeast winds 15-20 mph across this region. This in addition to dry fuels will support increased fire spread potential. Confidence has increase that Elevated conditions will extend across the middle Texas coast and north into south-central Oklahoma, which was added with this outlook as several new fires emerged across this region on Sunday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 65 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0065 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AAF TO 30 W TLH TO 15 WNW MGR TO 55 SSE MCN TO 30 WSW VDI TO 40 N VDI TO 20 ESE AGS TO 10 S CAE TO 50 NE CAE TO 50 SE CLT. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC023-029-037-039-041-047-065-067-073-077-079-121-123-129- 161640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR WAKULLA GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-075- 101-103-109-131-155-161-165-173-179-183-185-191-229-251-267-275- 277-299-305-321-161640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPLING ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER CHATHAM CLINCH Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 65 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0065 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AAF TO 30 W TLH TO 15 WNW MGR TO 55 SSE MCN TO 30 WSW VDI TO 40 N VDI TO 20 ESE AGS TO 10 S CAE TO 50 NE CAE TO 50 SE CLT. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC023-029-037-039-041-047-065-067-073-077-079-121-123-129- 161640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR WAKULLA GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-075- 101-103-109-131-155-161-165-173-179-183-185-191-229-251-267-275- 277-299-305-321-161640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPLING ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER CHATHAM CLINCH Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 65 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0065 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AAF TO 30 W TLH TO 15 WNW MGR TO 55 SSE MCN TO 30 WSW VDI TO 40 N VDI TO 20 ESE AGS TO 10 S CAE TO 50 NE CAE TO 50 SE CLT. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC023-029-037-039-041-047-065-067-073-077-079-121-123-129- 161640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR WAKULLA GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-075- 101-103-109-131-155-161-165-173-179-183-185-191-229-251-267-275- 277-299-305-321-161640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPLING ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER CHATHAM CLINCH Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 65

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 65 TORNADO FL GA SC CW 161200Z - 161800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 65 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 800 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Florida Panhandle Southern and Eastern Georgia Central South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 800 AM until 200 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of intense thunderstorms will overspread the watch area through the morning hours, with several corridors of damaging winds likely. Isolated cells ahead of the line, and a few cells embedded in the line will also pose a risk of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles northeast of Columbia SC to 50 miles south southwest of Tallahassee FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 63...WW 64... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Hart Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 68 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0068 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E TUP TO 30 SW HSV TO HSV TO 5 WNW CHA. ..JEWELL..03/09/26 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-049-055-057-071-073- 075-089-093-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-123-125-127-133- 100040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON GAC045-055-083-115-143-149-233-285-295-100040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARROLL CHATTOOGA DADE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 67 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0067 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 27 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W LRD TO 35 SE COT TO 15 WSW NIR TO 20 S PSX. ..SPC..03/08/26 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 27 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-025-131-249-273-297-311-355-391-409-479-080440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BEE DUVAL JIM WELLS KLEBERG LIVE OAK MCMULLEN NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO WEBB GMZ231-232-236-080440- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0064 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 64 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW AGS TO 40 WNW CAE TO 30 S CLT TO 40 NNE CLT TO 30 WNW GSO TO 25 NNE ROA. ..LYONS..03/16/26 ATTN...WFO...GSP...CAE...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 64 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC181-161540- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LINCOLN NCC003-025-059-119-159-179-161540- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CABARRUS DAVIE MECKLENBURG ROWAN UNION SCC023-037-039-057-071-081-091-161540- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHESTER EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD LANCASTER NEWBERRY SALUDA Read more
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