SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021630Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight.
...Southeast States...
Multiple shortwave troughs, including across the Mid-South and High
Plains early today, will progress east-southeastward toward the
region within amplifying flow aloft. This will influence weak
cyclogenesis, progressing from northeast Texas toward the
ArkLaMiss/Alabama tonight, as a warm/moist sector becomes
increasingly established across southeast Louisiana, southern
portions of Mississippi/Alabama and parts of the Florida Panhandle,
with low/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints tonight.
The potential for isolated elevated thunderstorms will increase late
today, and more so tonight regionally. Moderate mid-level flow will
extend across the region and vertical shear will be strong enough to
support storm organization. However, weak buoyancy is expected to
limit updraft depth and persistence, keeping the severe potential
low. Some surface-based instability is possible late tonight/early
Saturday for coastal areas, but lingering warm air aloft/modest
forcing for ascent will likely limit the overall severe potential
regionally until the post-12z Day 2/Saturday time frame.
...Northern/Central California...
A prominent upper trough centered around -134W will gradually
progress eastward with a lead shortwave trough reaching coastal
portions of northern California and southwest Oregon late tonight
and early Saturday. A related influx of moistening and steepening
mid-level lapse rates will yield an increasing potential for some
thunderstorms tonight, particularly for coastal areas as a frontal
band moves inland. Considerably strengthening deep-layer winds may
contribute to some potential for convectively enhanced wind gusts,
but severe thunderstorm-related severe potential should remain
limited.
..Guyer/Dean.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021630Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight.
...Southeast States...
Multiple shortwave troughs, including across the Mid-South and High
Plains early today, will progress east-southeastward toward the
region within amplifying flow aloft. This will influence weak
cyclogenesis, progressing from northeast Texas toward the
ArkLaMiss/Alabama tonight, as a warm/moist sector becomes
increasingly established across southeast Louisiana, southern
portions of Mississippi/Alabama and parts of the Florida Panhandle,
with low/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints tonight.
The potential for isolated elevated thunderstorms will increase late
today, and more so tonight regionally. Moderate mid-level flow will
extend across the region and vertical shear will be strong enough to
support storm organization. However, weak buoyancy is expected to
limit updraft depth and persistence, keeping the severe potential
low. Some surface-based instability is possible late tonight/early
Saturday for coastal areas, but lingering warm air aloft/modest
forcing for ascent will likely limit the overall severe potential
regionally until the post-12z Day 2/Saturday time frame.
...Northern/Central California...
A prominent upper trough centered around -134W will gradually
progress eastward with a lead shortwave trough reaching coastal
portions of northern California and southwest Oregon late tonight
and early Saturday. A related influx of moistening and steepening
mid-level lapse rates will yield an increasing potential for some
thunderstorms tonight, particularly for coastal areas as a frontal
band moves inland. Considerably strengthening deep-layer winds may
contribute to some potential for convectively enhanced wind gusts,
but severe thunderstorm-related severe potential should remain
limited.
..Guyer/Dean.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021700Z - 031200Z
CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC ERROR
No changes are needed to the D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
discussion below for more information.
..Thornton.. 01/02/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026/
...Synopsis...
The large-scale pattern will consist of a western ridge and an
eastern trough on Friday. A short-wave trough will undercut the
western ridge and traverse the Southern Plains as it moves toward
the Southeast. As this trough moves east, a surface low will develop
across eastern Texas on Friday. To the west of this low, westerly
downslope flow will support gusty surface winds and modest drying.
This will support elevated fire-weather conditions across portions
of west and southwest Texas. Here, the greatest potential relative
humidity values to fall into the 20%s amidst winds in the 10-15 mph
range with stronger gusts.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021700Z - 031200Z
CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC ERROR
No changes are needed to the D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
discussion below for more information.
..Thornton.. 01/02/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026/
...Synopsis...
The large-scale pattern will consist of a western ridge and an
eastern trough on Friday. A short-wave trough will undercut the
western ridge and traverse the Southern Plains as it moves toward
the Southeast. As this trough moves east, a surface low will develop
across eastern Texas on Friday. To the west of this low, westerly
downslope flow will support gusty surface winds and modest drying.
This will support elevated fire-weather conditions across portions
of west and southwest Texas. Here, the greatest potential relative
humidity values to fall into the 20%s amidst winds in the 10-15 mph
range with stronger gusts.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021300Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast.
...Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast...
Early-morning satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs
moving within the broadly anticyclonic flow that covers much of the
CONUS. The easternmost shortwave is currently moving through eastern
OK and is forecast to continue progressing eastward throughout the
day, moving across the Mid-South and TN Valley. The westernmost
shortwave is currently moving into the Four Corners vicinity, with
continued southeastward progress anticipated throughout the day,
taking the wave through southern CO/northern NM, the TX Panhandle,
and OK/north TX. Recent surface analysis places a low over the
central TX/OK border region, with modest low-level moisture return
ongoing across the TX Gulf Coast and Lower MS Valley.
This low is forecast to progress gradually eastward in tandem with
its parent shortwave, ending the period over central AL. Broad
low-level moisture return will persist within the warm sector of
this low, with low to mid 60s dewpoints likely extending from
southern LA into central MS/AL by early tomorrow morning. Warm-air
advection across this warm sector is forecast to result in elevated
instability beginning in the late afternoon and persisting through
the evening and overnight. Elevated thunderstorms are anticipated
near the nose of the low-level jet where the warm-air advection will
be maximized. Moderate mid-level flow will extend across the region
and vertical shear will be strong enough to support storm
organization. However, weak buoyancy is expected to limit updraft
depth and persistence, keeping the overall severe potential low.
Some surface-based instability is possible very late in the period
(09Z-12Z Saturday) from southeast LA into the FL Panhandle. Even so,
limited forcing for ascent and weak buoyancy should temper the
overall severe potential here as well with the greater severe risk
occurring later and further downstream on Day 2 (Saturday).
...Northern/Central CA...
A deep cyclone, currently over the western Pacific Ocean, is
forecast to progress northeastward throughout the day as a series of
shortwave troughs rotate through its southern and eastern periphery.
One of these shortwaves is forecast to reach the northern
CA/southern OR coast by late tonight. Strong ascent and cooling
mid-level temperatures associated with this wave will support
showers and embedded thunderstorms across northern and central CA
tonight. The deepest convection is anticipated within a frontal band
forecast to reach the region between 04Z and 06Z. Robust wind fields
will accompany this shortwave as well, but the limited buoyancy
should temper the overall severe potential.
..Mosier/Bentley.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021300Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast.
...Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast...
Early-morning satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs
moving within the broadly anticyclonic flow that covers much of the
CONUS. The easternmost shortwave is currently moving through eastern
OK and is forecast to continue progressing eastward throughout the
day, moving across the Mid-South and TN Valley. The westernmost
shortwave is currently moving into the Four Corners vicinity, with
continued southeastward progress anticipated throughout the day,
taking the wave through southern CO/northern NM, the TX Panhandle,
and OK/north TX. Recent surface analysis places a low over the
central TX/OK border region, with modest low-level moisture return
ongoing across the TX Gulf Coast and Lower MS Valley.
This low is forecast to progress gradually eastward in tandem with
its parent shortwave, ending the period over central AL. Broad
low-level moisture return will persist within the warm sector of
this low, with low to mid 60s dewpoints likely extending from
southern LA into central MS/AL by early tomorrow morning. Warm-air
advection across this warm sector is forecast to result in elevated
instability beginning in the late afternoon and persisting through
the evening and overnight. Elevated thunderstorms are anticipated
near the nose of the low-level jet where the warm-air advection will
be maximized. Moderate mid-level flow will extend across the region
and vertical shear will be strong enough to support storm
organization. However, weak buoyancy is expected to limit updraft
depth and persistence, keeping the overall severe potential low.
Some surface-based instability is possible very late in the period
(09Z-12Z Saturday) from southeast LA into the FL Panhandle. Even so,
limited forcing for ascent and weak buoyancy should temper the
overall severe potential here as well with the greater severe risk
occurring later and further downstream on Day 2 (Saturday).
...Northern/Central CA...
A deep cyclone, currently over the western Pacific Ocean, is
forecast to progress northeastward throughout the day as a series of
shortwave troughs rotate through its southern and eastern periphery.
One of these shortwaves is forecast to reach the northern
CA/southern OR coast by late tonight. Strong ascent and cooling
mid-level temperatures associated with this wave will support
showers and embedded thunderstorms across northern and central CA
tonight. The deepest convection is anticipated within a frontal band
forecast to reach the region between 04Z and 06Z. Robust wind fields
will accompany this shortwave as well, but the limited buoyancy
should temper the overall severe potential.
..Mosier/Bentley.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 021300Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast.
...Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast...
Early-morning satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs
moving within the broadly anticyclonic flow that covers much of the
CONUS. The easternmost shortwave is currently moving through eastern
OK and is forecast to continue progressing eastward throughout the
day, moving across the Mid-South and TN Valley. The westernmost
shortwave is currently moving into the Four Corners vicinity, with
continued southeastward progress anticipated throughout the day,
taking the wave through southern CO/northern NM, the TX Panhandle,
and OK/north TX. Recent surface analysis places a low over the
central TX/OK border region, with modest low-level moisture return
ongoing across the TX Gulf Coast and Lower MS Valley.
This low is forecast to progress gradually eastward in tandem with
its parent shortwave, ending the period over central AL. Broad
low-level moisture return will persist within the warm sector of
this low, with low to mid 60s dewpoints likely extending from
southern LA into central MS/AL by early tomorrow morning. Warm-air
advection across this warm sector is forecast to result in elevated
instability beginning in the late afternoon and persisting through
the evening and overnight. Elevated thunderstorms are anticipated
near the nose of the low-level jet where the warm-air advection will
be maximized. Moderate mid-level flow will extend across the region
and vertical shear will be strong enough to support storm
organization. However, weak buoyancy is expected to limit updraft
depth and persistence, keeping the overall severe potential low.
Some surface-based instability is possible very late in the period
(09Z-12Z Saturday) from southeast LA into the FL Panhandle. Even so,
limited forcing for ascent and weak buoyancy should temper the
overall severe potential here as well with the greater severe risk
occurring later and further downstream on Day 2 (Saturday).
...Northern/Central CA...
A deep cyclone, currently over the western Pacific Ocean, is
forecast to progress northeastward throughout the day as a series of
shortwave troughs rotate through its southern and eastern periphery.
One of these shortwaves is forecast to reach the northern
CA/southern OR coast by late tonight. Strong ascent and cooling
mid-level temperatures associated with this wave will support
showers and embedded thunderstorms across northern and central CA
tonight. The deepest convection is anticipated within a frontal band
forecast to reach the region between 04Z and 06Z. Robust wind fields
will accompany this shortwave as well, but the limited buoyancy
should temper the overall severe potential.
..Mosier/Bentley.. 01/02/2026
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Convective potential appears likely to increase across at least the
South-Central States, centered on eastern TX to the Lower MS Valley
mid to late week. While day-to-day predictability is low, the
broader signal hints at potentially multiple days of at least
low-probability severe during D6-9/Wednesday-Saturday.
Initial concern is with the downstream evolution of a lower-latitude
shortwave trough across Baja CA and northwest Mexico early in the
week. Guidance continues to struggle with spatiotemporal aspects of
this wave by mid-week. But potential exists for this wave to
interact with a modifying warm-moist sector from the western Gulf
into the South-Central States. Faster guidance indicates
severe-storm potential may commence by late Wednesday.
In the wake of the initial shortwave trough, guidance consensus
suggests that a broad upper trough should evolve across the West
late week. This may yield an expansive swath of fast mid-level
southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Northeast.
Given a lack of frontal intrusion into the northwest Gulf with the
lead wave, seasonably rich low-level moisture may overlap a portion
of this fast flow regime around Friday-Saturday. Latest NSSL GEFS ML
V1.2 probs appear reasonable with depictions of 5 percent peak probs
on D6-7, followed by 10 percent areas on D8-9.
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Convective potential appears likely to increase across at least the
South-Central States, centered on eastern TX to the Lower MS Valley
mid to late week. While day-to-day predictability is low, the
broader signal hints at potentially multiple days of at least
low-probability severe during D6-9/Wednesday-Saturday.
Initial concern is with the downstream evolution of a lower-latitude
shortwave trough across Baja CA and northwest Mexico early in the
week. Guidance continues to struggle with spatiotemporal aspects of
this wave by mid-week. But potential exists for this wave to
interact with a modifying warm-moist sector from the western Gulf
into the South-Central States. Faster guidance indicates
severe-storm potential may commence by late Wednesday.
In the wake of the initial shortwave trough, guidance consensus
suggests that a broad upper trough should evolve across the West
late week. This may yield an expansive swath of fast mid-level
southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Northeast.
Given a lack of frontal intrusion into the northwest Gulf with the
lead wave, seasonably rich low-level moisture may overlap a portion
of this fast flow regime around Friday-Saturday. Latest NSSL GEFS ML
V1.2 probs appear reasonable with depictions of 5 percent peak probs
on D6-7, followed by 10 percent areas on D8-9.
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Convective potential appears likely to increase across at least the
South-Central States, centered on eastern TX to the Lower MS Valley
mid to late week. While day-to-day predictability is low, the
broader signal hints at potentially multiple days of at least
low-probability severe during D6-9/Wednesday-Saturday.
Initial concern is with the downstream evolution of a lower-latitude
shortwave trough across Baja CA and northwest Mexico early in the
week. Guidance continues to struggle with spatiotemporal aspects of
this wave by mid-week. But potential exists for this wave to
interact with a modifying warm-moist sector from the western Gulf
into the South-Central States. Faster guidance indicates
severe-storm potential may commence by late Wednesday.
In the wake of the initial shortwave trough, guidance consensus
suggests that a broad upper trough should evolve across the West
late week. This may yield an expansive swath of fast mid-level
southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Northeast.
Given a lack of frontal intrusion into the northwest Gulf with the
lead wave, seasonably rich low-level moisture may overlap a portion
of this fast flow regime around Friday-Saturday. Latest NSSL GEFS ML
V1.2 probs appear reasonable with depictions of 5 percent peak probs
on D6-7, followed by 10 percent areas on D8-9.
Read more
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Convective potential appears likely to increase across at least the
South-Central States, centered on eastern TX to the Lower MS Valley
mid to late week. While day-to-day predictability is low, the
broader signal hints at potentially multiple days of at least
low-probability severe during D6-9/Wednesday-Saturday.
Initial concern is with the downstream evolution of a lower-latitude
shortwave trough across Baja CA and northwest Mexico early in the
week. Guidance continues to struggle with spatiotemporal aspects of
this wave by mid-week. But potential exists for this wave to
interact with a modifying warm-moist sector from the western Gulf
into the South-Central States. Faster guidance indicates
severe-storm potential may commence by late Wednesday.
In the wake of the initial shortwave trough, guidance consensus
suggests that a broad upper trough should evolve across the West
late week. This may yield an expansive swath of fast mid-level
southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Northeast.
Given a lack of frontal intrusion into the northwest Gulf with the
lead wave, seasonably rich low-level moisture may overlap a portion
of this fast flow regime around Friday-Saturday. Latest NSSL GEFS ML
V1.2 probs appear reasonable with depictions of 5 percent peak probs
on D6-7, followed by 10 percent areas on D8-9.
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.
...West Coast to the CA Central Valley...
Latest guidance remains reasonably consistent with the evolution of
the persistent eastern Pacific upper trough on Sunday. One embedded
shortwave impulse should impinge on western WA early Sunday, while a
separate impulse shifts inland across southern CA through Sunday
night. Guidance is also highly consistent in depicting minimal
buoyancy in vicinity of these impulses, likely yielding lower-
probability thunder potential compared to D2/Saturday. Sporadic/very
isolated lightning coverage will probably diurnally peak on Sunday
afternoon, where cold mid-level temperatures are present along most
of the West Coast into the Central Valley.
..Grams.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.
...West Coast to the CA Central Valley...
Latest guidance remains reasonably consistent with the evolution of
the persistent eastern Pacific upper trough on Sunday. One embedded
shortwave impulse should impinge on western WA early Sunday, while a
separate impulse shifts inland across southern CA through Sunday
night. Guidance is also highly consistent in depicting minimal
buoyancy in vicinity of these impulses, likely yielding lower-
probability thunder potential compared to D2/Saturday. Sporadic/very
isolated lightning coverage will probably diurnally peak on Sunday
afternoon, where cold mid-level temperatures are present along most
of the West Coast into the Central Valley.
..Grams.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.
...West Coast to the CA Central Valley...
Latest guidance remains reasonably consistent with the evolution of
the persistent eastern Pacific upper trough on Sunday. One embedded
shortwave impulse should impinge on western WA early Sunday, while a
separate impulse shifts inland across southern CA through Sunday
night. Guidance is also highly consistent in depicting minimal
buoyancy in vicinity of these impulses, likely yielding lower-
probability thunder potential compared to D2/Saturday. Sporadic/very
isolated lightning coverage will probably diurnally peak on Sunday
afternoon, where cold mid-level temperatures are present along most
of the West Coast into the Central Valley.
..Grams.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.
...West Coast to the CA Central Valley...
Latest guidance remains reasonably consistent with the evolution of
the persistent eastern Pacific upper trough on Sunday. One embedded
shortwave impulse should impinge on western WA early Sunday, while a
separate impulse shifts inland across southern CA through Sunday
night. Guidance is also highly consistent in depicting minimal
buoyancy in vicinity of these impulses, likely yielding lower-
probability thunder potential compared to D2/Saturday. Sporadic/very
isolated lightning coverage will probably diurnally peak on Sunday
afternoon, where cold mid-level temperatures are present along most
of the West Coast into the Central Valley.
..Grams.. 01/02/2026
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.
..Marsh.. 01/02/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.
..Marsh.. 01/02/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.
..Marsh.. 01/02/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.
..Marsh.. 01/02/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
