SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 02 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level, shortwave trough will impinge on the central Rockies today, resulting in the development of a surface low across the central Great Plains. Modest westerly, mid-level flow will support a downslope regime across the southern/central Rockies. Coupled with gradient flow, this will promote dry and windy conditions supportive of wildfire spread across portions of the southern/central High Plains. ...Central/southern High Plains... By afternoon peak heating, the combination of downslope and gradient flow is expected to support 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds from northeastern New Mexico into the western Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles, southeastern Colorado, and far southwestern Kansas. With dry fuels across the region and RH values forecast to fall to 10-15%, this is expected to support at least a few hours of critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Brief periods of critical conditions are also possible farther south/southwest in the lee of both the Guadalupe Mountains and the Black Range in New Mexico; however, lower confidence in an extended duration of overlap between wind/RH criteria as well as increasing high cloud cover throughout the day precludes the addition of Critical highlights at this time. Sustained southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlapping minimum RH values of 10-20% will promote elevated fire weather concerns across adjacent areas of the southern/central High Plains. Portions of the northern and eastern edges of the Elevated highlights were trimmed from areas that saw more appreciable rainfall accumulations today. ..Chalmers.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 02 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level, shortwave trough will impinge on the central Rockies today, resulting in the development of a surface low across the central Great Plains. Modest westerly, mid-level flow will support a downslope regime across the southern/central Rockies. Coupled with gradient flow, this will promote dry and windy conditions supportive of wildfire spread across portions of the southern/central High Plains. ...Central/southern High Plains... By afternoon peak heating, the combination of downslope and gradient flow is expected to support 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds from northeastern New Mexico into the western Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles, southeastern Colorado, and far southwestern Kansas. With dry fuels across the region and RH values forecast to fall to 10-15%, this is expected to support at least a few hours of critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Brief periods of critical conditions are also possible farther south/southwest in the lee of both the Guadalupe Mountains and the Black Range in New Mexico; however, lower confidence in an extended duration of overlap between wind/RH criteria as well as increasing high cloud cover throughout the day precludes the addition of Critical highlights at this time. Sustained southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlapping minimum RH values of 10-20% will promote elevated fire weather concerns across adjacent areas of the southern/central High Plains. Portions of the northern and eastern edges of the Elevated highlights were trimmed from areas that saw more appreciable rainfall accumulations today. ..Chalmers.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more