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Storm Prediction Center

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 02 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level, shortwave trough will impinge on the central Rockies today, resulting in the development of a surface low across the central Great Plains. Modest westerly, mid-level flow will support a downslope regime across the southern/central Rockies. Coupled with gradient flow, this will promote dry and windy conditions supportive of wildfire spread across portions of the southern/central High Plains. ...Central/southern High Plains... By afternoon peak heating, the combination of downslope and gradient flow is expected to support 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds from northeastern New Mexico into the western Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles, southeastern Colorado, and far southwestern Kansas. With dry fuels across the region and RH values forecast to fall to 10-15%, this is expected to support at least a few hours of critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Brief periods of critical conditions are also possible farther south/southwest in the lee of both the Guadalupe Mountains and the Black Range in New Mexico; however, lower confidence in an extended duration of overlap between wind/RH criteria as well as increasing high cloud cover throughout the day precludes the addition of Critical highlights at this time. Sustained southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlapping minimum RH values of 10-20% will promote elevated fire weather concerns across adjacent areas of the southern/central High Plains. Portions of the northern and eastern edges of the Elevated highlights were trimmed from areas that saw more appreciable rainfall accumulations today. ..Chalmers.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 02 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level, shortwave trough will impinge on the central Rockies today, resulting in the development of a surface low across the central Great Plains. Modest westerly, mid-level flow will support a downslope regime across the southern/central Rockies. Coupled with gradient flow, this will promote dry and windy conditions supportive of wildfire spread across portions of the southern/central High Plains. ...Central/southern High Plains... By afternoon peak heating, the combination of downslope and gradient flow is expected to support 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds from northeastern New Mexico into the western Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles, southeastern Colorado, and far southwestern Kansas. With dry fuels across the region and RH values forecast to fall to 10-15%, this is expected to support at least a few hours of critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Brief periods of critical conditions are also possible farther south/southwest in the lee of both the Guadalupe Mountains and the Black Range in New Mexico; however, lower confidence in an extended duration of overlap between wind/RH criteria as well as increasing high cloud cover throughout the day precludes the addition of Critical highlights at this time. Sustained southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlapping minimum RH values of 10-20% will promote elevated fire weather concerns across adjacent areas of the southern/central High Plains. Portions of the northern and eastern edges of the Elevated highlights were trimmed from areas that saw more appreciable rainfall accumulations today. ..Chalmers.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0088 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S FST TO 50 N SJT TO 70 NW ABI. ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC059-081-083-095-105-151-235-253-307-327-353-383-399-413-417- 431-435-441-451-461-020440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER IRION JONES MCCULLOCH MENARD NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 88 SEVERE TSTM TX 020005Z - 020700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 88 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 705 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Texas * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 705 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to intensify and spread eastward across portions of southwest Texas this evening into tonight. Initial cells will pose a risk for very large hail to 2.5 inches and damaging gusts. With time, a line of severe storms is expected to develop and spread east, with an increase in damaging wind potential into tonight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Abilene TX to 45 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86...WW 87... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW ABI TO 40 SW SPS TO 30 SSE END TO 25 SW HUT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0327 ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-099-125-133-205-020340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON OKC017-019-027-031-033-035-037-047-049-051-053-067-071-073-081- 083-085-087-099-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-131-137-141-143-147- 020340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CRAIG CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN MURRAY NOBLE NOWATA Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0087 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW OJC TO 30 SSE OJC TO 25 NW SZL. ..CHALMERS..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-107-020340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LINN MOC011-013-015-029-039-057-059-065-077-083-085-097-101-105-109- 125-131-141-159-161-167-169-185-215-217-225-229-020340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES BENTON CAMDEN CEDAR DADE DALLAS DENT GREENE HENRY HICKORY JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER MORGAN PETTIS PHELPS POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 87 TORNADO KS MO 012300Z - 020600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 87 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Eastern Kansas Southwest Missouri * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 600 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across far eastern Kansas into southwest Missouri. These storms are developing near a warm front, resulting in a locally increased risk for a few tornadoes. Large hail to 2.5 inches and damaging gusts to 70 mph also will be possible with these storms this evening into tonight. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 90 miles northwest of Fort Leonard Wood MO to 25 miles south southeast of Springfield MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC MD 327

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0327 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 86... FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0327 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0818 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Parts of central Oklahoma into western North Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 86... Valid 020118Z - 020315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of damaging winds and a couple tornadoes continues across Tornado Watch #86. DISCUSSION...An MCS is tracking slowly eastward across western OK and western North TX, with embedded supercell structures on the southern portion of the line along/south of the Red River. Over the next couple hours, the risk of a couple tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail should be maximized with the southern storms along/south of the Red River, where unstable inflow and strong low/deep-layer shear (around 300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per FDR VWP) is in place. Farther north in western/central OK, a messier convective mode evolution has limited the tornado risk thus far, with primarily a damaging-wind risk. However, the OUN 00Z sounding shows ample surface-based buoyancy/steep lapse rates and a large clockwise-curved hodograph (265 m2/s2 effective SRH) in the pre-convective environment. This could still support embedded mesovorticies/supercell structures with a risk of a couple tornadoes and severe wind gusts toward the I-35 corridor. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 34289756 33239842 32939933 32979997 33259996 34099909 34779866 35219851 35879833 36049814 36119763 35999720 35609708 34289756 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 326

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0326 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 87... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0326 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0742 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...portions of eastern Kansas into central Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 87... Valid 020042Z - 020245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 87 continues. SUMMARY...At least some increase in tornado risk appears possible over the next 1-2 hours along and south of a surface warm front. DISCUSSION...While nocturnal low-level cooling and weak low-level lapse rates may be tempering overall strengthening, recent convective development has shown some signs of modest intensification across portions of western Missouri during the past 30-60 minutes. Per latest mesoanalysis, 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and around 35-40 kts of effective bulk shear should continue to support further strengthening of developing discrete/semi-discrete supercells over the next couple of hours. A corridor of enhanced tornado potential appears possible near and south of a surface warm front across portions of western/central Missouri where backed surface flow, 50-100 m2/s2 0-500 m SRH, and mid-60s F dewpoints are noted via latest mesoanalysis and surface observations. Some uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution given limited strengthening observed thus far and the potential for storms to move north of the surface boundary due to deep-layer flow orientation. Should a supercell or two become better established, however, at least some increase in tornado potential, along with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts, appears possible over the next 1-2 hours, especially as the nocturnal low-level jet continues to strengthen. ..Chalmers.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX... LAT...LON 37789422 38019450 38399446 38609427 38729394 38709345 38589286 38449218 38279188 38119181 37769200 37609242 37579307 37789422 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0088 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW 6R6 TO 60 SE LBB. ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC059-081-083-095-105-151-173-235-253-307-327-335-353-383-399- 413-415-417-431-435-441-451-461-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER GLASSCOCK IRION JONES MCCULLOCH MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E LBB TO 35 S LTS TO 15 SW HUT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0327 ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-077-099-125-133-191-205-020240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON OKC003-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-035-037-047-049-051-053-067- 071-073-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-131- 137-141-143-147-020240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CRAIG CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 86 TORNADO KS OK TX 012140Z - 020500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 86 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Kansas Western and Central Oklahoma Western North Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms posing a risk for very large hail, damaging gusts and a few tornadoes (a couple possibly strong/EF-2+) will be possible through this evening. Storm coverage is expected to increase over the next couple of hours across western OK and western North Texas, and spread east through the evening. Initially discrete cells are expected to develop into a line as convection spreads east, increasing potential for damaging gusts with time into the nighttime hours, though a tornado and hail risk also will persist. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Medicine Lodge KS to 70 miles south southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0087 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0326 ..CHALMERS..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-107-121-020240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LINN MIAMI MOC011-013-015-029-037-039-057-059-065-077-083-085-097-101-105- 109-125-131-141-159-161-167-169-185-215-217-225-229-020240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES BENTON CAMDEN CASS CEDAR DADE DALLAS DENT GREENE HENRY HICKORY JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER MORGAN PETTIS PHELPS POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER Read more

SPC Apr 2, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornado potential will continue across the southern and central Plains this evening and overnight. Strong storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic. ... 01Z Update ... Severe thunderstorms with a history of damaging winds are currently located across southwest Oklahoma. This complex will continue to move northeast this evening, aided by mesoscale circulations associated with a mesolow/MCV across western Oklahoma. As the low-level jet increases this evening, an increase in tornado potential will be possible across portions of Tornado Watch #86. See Mesoscale Discussion #325 for more information. Elsewhere, clusters of strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible across southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri along a surface boundary. Although deep-layer shear is somewhat less than areas to the south and west, the presence of a low-level boundary, an increasing low-level jet, and sufficient low-level instability will continue to support some severe potential -- including tornadoes -- for several more hours. A hail and wind threat will also persist for several more hours across southwest Texas where MUCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/kg and deep-layer shear around 40 knots will support at least some supercell threat. ..Marsh.. 04/02/2026 Read more

SPC Apr 2, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornado potential will continue across the southern and central Plains this evening and overnight. Strong storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic. ... 01Z Update ... Severe thunderstorms with a history of damaging winds are currently located across southwest Oklahoma. This complex will continue to move northeast this evening, aided by mesoscale circulations associated with a mesolow/MCV across western Oklahoma. As the low-level jet increases this evening, an increase in tornado potential will be possible across portions of Tornado Watch #86. See Mesoscale Discussion #325 for more information. Elsewhere, clusters of strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible across southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri along a surface boundary. Although deep-layer shear is somewhat less than areas to the south and west, the presence of a low-level boundary, an increasing low-level jet, and sufficient low-level instability will continue to support some severe potential -- including tornadoes -- for several more hours. A hail and wind threat will also persist for several more hours across southwest Texas where MUCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/kg and deep-layer shear around 40 knots will support at least some supercell threat. ..Marsh.. 04/02/2026 Read more

SPC MD 323

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0323 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 86... FOR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0323 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0555 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Southwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Tornado Watch 86... Valid 012255Z - 020100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues. SUMMARY...The tornado risk will increase over the next couple hours in southwestern Oklahoma -- within Tornado Watch #86. DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms is evolving/strengthening near the triple point around Childress TX -- where several severe gusts have recently been measured. Over the next couple hours, these storms, and additional developing storms along its northern/eastern flank, should continue to intensify as they move into a warm/moist boundary layer and steep deep-layer lapse rates (around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE). Clockwise-curved hodographs will increase in size (250+ m2/s2 effective SRH) as the nocturnal low-level jet strengthens over the next couple hours, favoring intensifying low-level mesocyclones/right-movers. As a result, the tornado risk (some strong) will increase into southwestern OK over the next couple hours, along with the potential for very large hail and severe wind gusts. ..Weinman.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 34499963 34709994 35079993 35359978 35629946 35759902 35639862 35209835 34799846 34489899 34499963 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 325

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0325 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 86... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0325 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0709 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...North-central Oklahoma into far southeastern KS Concerning...Tornado Watch 86... Valid 020009Z - 020215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk should increase over the next few hours, with the primary concerns being a couple tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms evolving along/south of the surface boundary in north-central OK are showing some signs of contraction into more intense cells with supercellular characteristics during the last 30 minute or so. These storms should maintain residence time within the warm/moist warm sector (middle 60s dewpoints) south of the boundary over the next few hours, given west-southwesterly deep-layer shear vectors/storm motions. Around 40 to 50 kt of effective shear and increasing low-level hodograph size/curvature (upwards of 200 m2/s2 effective SRH) with the strengthening low-level jet should promote supercell clusters -- capable of producing a couple tornadoes and damaging wind gusts during the next few hours. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN... LAT...LON 36439577 35869637 35639702 35699753 35909779 36119767 37169662 37309623 37289581 37079555 36839556 36439577 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0088 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 88 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC059-081-083-095-105-151-173-235-253-307-327-335-353-383-399- 413-415-417-431-435-441-451-461-020140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER GLASSCOCK IRION JONES MCCULLOCH MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW CDS TO 35 NNE CDS TO 45 SW AVK TO 10 NE ICT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0325 ..WEINMAN..04/02/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-077-099-125-133-191-205-020140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-035-037-039-043-047-049- 051-053-055-057-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103- 105-109-113-117-119-125-131-137-141-143-147-149-020140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CRAIG CREEK CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT GREER Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0085 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW LEX TO 50 ESE LUK TO 10 WSW PKB TO 20 W MGW TO 40 SSE LBE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0324 ..CHALMERS..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-019-043-063-069-089-115-127-133-135-159-161-165-173-175- 195-201-205-020040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOYD CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GREENUP JOHNSON LAWRENCE LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN MASON MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE ROBERTSON ROWAN OHC001-053-087-105-145-020040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS GALLIA LAWRENCE MEIGS SCIOTO Read more
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5 hours 47 minutes ago
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