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Storm Prediction Center

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0085 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW LEX TO 50 ESE LUK TO 10 WSW PKB TO 20 W MGW TO 40 SSE LBE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0324 ..CHALMERS..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-019-043-063-069-089-115-127-133-135-159-161-165-173-175- 195-201-205-020040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOYD CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GREENUP JOHNSON LAWRENCE LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN MASON MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE ROBERTSON ROWAN OHC001-053-087-105-145-020040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS GALLIA LAWRENCE MEIGS SCIOTO Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0087 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..CHALMERS..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-107-121-020040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LINN MIAMI MOC011-013-015-029-037-039-057-059-065-077-083-085-097-101-105- 109-125-131-141-159-161-167-169-185-215-217-225-229-020040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES BENTON CAMDEN CASS CEDAR DADE DALLAS DENT GREENE HENRY HICKORY JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER MORGAN PETTIS PHELPS POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT Read more

SPC MD 322

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0322 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0322 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0525 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Parts of southwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 012225Z - 020030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The risk of severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts will increase over the next few hours. A watch will be needed within the next hour or so. DISCUSSION...The latest visible satellite and radar data show a gradual increase in high-based convection developing on the immediate hot/dry side of the dryline extending across southwest TX. While it is unclear if these early storms will pose a substantial severe risk in the near term, a deeply mixed boundary layer and around 40 kt of midlevel west-southwesterly flow orthogonal to the dryline could promote a couple severe downburts and sporadic large hail with any storms that mature. With time, additional storm development is expected as modest large-scale ascent influences the area and enhances surface convergence along the dryline. Elongating/mostly straight hodographs (effective shear increasing to around 50 kt) and steep deep-layer lapse rates/moderate surface-based buoyancy should support a mix of semi-discrete supercells and clusters with a risk of large to very large hail and severe wind gusts. With time, these storms should grow upscale and pose a continued/increasing risk of scattered severe winds. While less likely, a tornado or two will also be possible as storms intercept a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet this evening/overnight. A watch will likely be needed within the next hour or so. ..Weinman/Leitman.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30710247 31280220 32680128 32980071 33090007 32979954 32569930 31759948 30290075 29890145 29850220 30110252 30710247 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 323

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0323 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 86... FOR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0323 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0555 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Southwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Tornado Watch 86... Valid 012255Z - 020100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues. SUMMARY...The tornado risk will increase over the next couple hours in southwestern Oklahoma -- within Tornado Watch #86. DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms is evolving/strengthening near the triple point around Childress TX -- where several severe gusts have recently been measured. Over the next couple hours, these storms, and additional developing storms along its northern/eastern flank, should continue to intensify as they move into a warm/moist boundary layer and steep deep-layer lapse rates (around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE). Clockwise-curved hodographs will increase in size (250+ m2/s2 effective SRH) as the nocturnal low-level jet strengthens over the next couple hours, favoring intensifying low-level mesocyclones/right-movers. As a result, the tornado risk (some strong) will increase into southwestern OK over the next couple hours, along with the potential for very large hail and severe wind gusts. ..Weinman.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 34499963 34709994 35079993 35359978 35629946 35759902 35639862 35209835 34799846 34489899 34499963 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 324

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0324 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85... FOR MIDDLE/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0324 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0557 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...middle/upper Ohio Valley Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85... Valid 012257Z - 020030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 continues. SUMMARY...A gradual weakening trend is anticipated this evening across WW0085, but at least some risk for strong to occasionally damaging wind gusts and isolated severe hail is expected for another hour or so. DISCUSSION...Ongoing convective activity within WW85 is noted along/near the Ohio River. Expectation is for this activity to gradually weaken with time this evening as nocturnal boundary layer stabilization increases low-level inhibition. However, 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and around 30 kts of effective bulk shear (per latest mesoanalysis) should continue to support at least some threat for strong to occasionally damaging winds and isolated large hail over the next hour or so. The greatest short term risk appears to be associated with a stronger storm cluster currently located across northwestern West Virginia. A new watch is not anticipated at this time; however, a local extension may be needed should a stronger storm or two persist past the scheduled expiration of WW85 at 00Z. ..Chalmers.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 37888179 37838289 37928356 38098396 38228404 38418392 38698318 39188187 39478091 39688019 39707917 39507897 38877920 38537943 38297986 38108050 37888179 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0323 ..WEINMAN..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-019-033-035-077-191-020040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE COWLEY HARPER SUMNER OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051- 053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103- 109-113-117-119-125-129-137-141-149-151-153-020040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT GREER HARMON HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 86 TORNADO KS OK TX 012140Z - 020500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 86 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Kansas Western and Central Oklahoma Western North Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms posing a risk for very large hail, damaging gusts and a few tornadoes (a couple possibly strong/EF-2+) will be possible through this evening. Storm coverage is expected to increase over the next couple of hours across western OK and western North Texas, and spread east through the evening. Initially discrete cells are expected to develop into a line as convection spreads east, increasing potential for damaging gusts with time into the nighttime hours, though a tornado and hail risk also will persist. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Medicine Lodge KS to 70 miles south southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0087 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..CHALMERS..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-107-121-020040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LINN MIAMI MOC011-013-015-029-037-039-057-059-065-077-083-085-097-101-105- 109-125-131-141-159-161-167-169-185-215-217-225-229-020040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES BENTON CAMDEN CASS CEDAR DADE DALLAS DENT GREENE HENRY HICKORY JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER MORGAN PETTIS PHELPS POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 87

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 87 TORNADO KS MO 012300Z - 020600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 87 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Eastern Kansas Southwest Missouri * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 600 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across far eastern Kansas into southwest Missouri. These storms are developing near a warm front, resulting in a locally increased risk for a few tornadoes. Large hail to 2.5 inches and damaging gusts to 70 mph also will be possible with these storms this evening into tonight. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 90 miles northwest of Fort Leonard Wood MO to 25 miles south southeast of Springfield MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0085 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW LEX TO 50 ESE LUK TO 10 WSW PKB TO 20 W MGW TO 40 SSE LBE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0324 ..CHALMERS..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-019-043-063-069-089-115-127-133-135-159-161-165-173-175- 195-201-205-020040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOYD CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GREENUP JOHNSON LAWRENCE LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN MASON MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE ROBERTSON ROWAN OHC001-053-087-105-145-020040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS GALLIA LAWRENCE MEIGS SCIOTO Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 85 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH PA VA WV 011845Z - 020000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 85 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Wed Apr 1 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana Northeast Kentucky Southern Ohio Southwest Pennsylvania Extreme Southwest Virginia Much of West Virginia * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will affect the watch area through the afternoon, in a warm and unstable environment. A few of the storms will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west of Huntington WV to 30 miles southeast of Morgantown WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

SPC MD 318

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0318 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA...CENTRAL/EASTERN MARYLAND...FAR SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0318 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0250 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Northern Virginia...central/eastern Maryland...far southern Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 011950Z - 012145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms may develop and move east off of the Blue Ridge. Isolated wind damage may occur with the strongest storms. Limited coverage of stronger activity limits confidence in the need for a watch this afternoon. Trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...The morning sounding from Dulles showed a rather modest moist layer. Accordingly, dewpoints have had a tendency to mix into the low/mid 50s F this afternoon. With ample surface heating, however, 750-1000 J/kg MLCAPE has developed. Convection has increased within the Blue Ridge and has shown some deepening recently. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may eventually evolve out of this activity. Deep-layer shear is only around 30 kts. Convection that is able to mature will likely only be marginally organized. The primary hazard with storms this afternoon will be damaging winds gusts on account of the modestly dry/well-mixed boundary layer. ..Wendt/Hart.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 37927928 38377939 39697843 39937759 39867655 39737608 39067604 38227693 38127772 37927928 Read more

SPC MD 319

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0319 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST TX...WESTERN/CENTRAL OK...SOUTHERN KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0319 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Parts of northwest TX...western/central OK...southern KS Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 012039Z - 012215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected from late afternoon into the evening. Tornado Watch issuance is likely in the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Heating/destabilization is underway this afternoon across much of TX/OK, along/south of a northward-moving warm front. Steep lapse rates were noted within the 800-500 mb layer from the 18Z LMN sounding, though with weaker lapse rates noted above 500 mb within an extensive cirrus plume. Temperatures in the low 80s F and dewpoints in the low/mid 60s are supporting MLCAPE generally in the 1000-2000 J/kg range along/south of the warm front, and along/east of a diffuse dryline extending from the southeast TX Panhandle into southwest TX. While deep-layer flow (as depicted by regional VWPs and objective mesoanalyses) is currently rather modest, an increase in both low-level and deep-layer shear is expected with time into the evening, in response to an approaching mid/upper-level shortwave trough. Increasing ascent and weakening MLCINH should eventually result in storm development near the warm front and southward along the dryline by late afternoon into the early evening, with additional warm sector development possible as the low-level jet continues to intensify. Initial storm development is expected to evolve into a broken band of supercells, with an attendant threat of large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and eventually a tornado threat as low-level shear/SRH continues to increase. Guidance varies regarding the duration of discrete supercell potential before upscale growth occurs, but a conditional strong tornado threat could accompany any persistent supercell into the evening. Tornado Watch issuance is expected later this afternoon or early evening in response to these threats. ..Dean/Hart.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 33510056 35969981 37479861 37729760 37289707 36479688 35209767 34279810 33429860 32739883 32900004 33510056 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 320

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0320 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85... FOR PARTS OF MIDDLE/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0320 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Parts of middle/upper Ohio Valley Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85... Valid 012040Z - 012245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 continues. SUMMARY...Convection should continue along the stationary boundary and near outflow from earlier storms. Isolated large hail and wind damage are the main hazards with this activity. DISCUSSION...A majority of the activity within WW 85 remains near and south of a stationary front north of the Ohio River. An additional cluster persists in southern West Virginia. Thus far, storms have maintained a primarily cellular mode and produce isolated large hail. The expectation for the remainder of the afternoon is for additional storms to move into the watch from the west as well as other storms potentially developing along outflow from storms in West Virginia. The cluster in southern West Virginia is likely to weaken as it moves into the terrain as temperatures there are slightly cooler and convection has influenced the airmass farther east. Regional VAD data shows 40-50 kts of 0-6 km shear which should continue to support organized storms capable of primarily isolated large hail and wind damage. ..Wendt.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 38288457 38558509 38888520 39108507 39128415 39438271 39668201 39958050 40077984 39927960 39068009 38568036 38068031 37638048 37278098 37468197 37858291 37868383 38288457 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 321

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
MD 0321 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 0321 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Areas affected...Parts of northeast OK...southeast KS...southwest MO Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 012052Z - 012245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated severe storm development is possible through late afternoon, with increasing coverage of storms expected into the evening. DISCUSSION...In the wake of convection moving across parts of southern MO, heating/destabilization is underway from parts of northeast OK/southeast KS into southwest MO, near and south of a diffuse northward-moving warm front. Objective mesoanalyses and the 18Z LMN sounding (modified for observations near/south of the front) suggest that MLCAPE has risen into the 1000-1500 J/kg range, with steep lapse rates in the 800-500 mb layer. With some residual capping and generally modest large-scale ascent, potential for storm redevelopment near the warm front this afternoon is uncertain. However, short-term guidance continues to suggest potential for isolated development by late afternoon, within a modest low-level warm-advection regime. Deep-layer shear is relatively modest as of mid afternoon, but should gradually increase from west to east as mid/upper-level flow increases ahead of an approaching shortwave trough. A supercell or two could develop by late afternoon in the vicinity of the warm front, where effective shear/SRH will be locally enhanced. Any such development would be accompanied by a threat for hail, locally damaging wind, and possibly a tornado. Watch issuance is possible later this afternoon, if confidence increases in the development of organized storms. Another potential round of severe storms is still expected later this evening, as the primary mid/upper-level shortwave trough begins to impinge upon the region. ..Dean/Hart.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 36319669 37299675 37719630 37969597 38149571 38479498 38489371 38059282 37609265 37159296 36909337 36819367 36519490 36179604 36319669 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 86 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE FWA TO 25 NE CMH TO 20 NE ZZV TO 25 WSW LBE TO 15 E LBE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0296 ..CHALMERS..03/27/26 ATTN...WFO...IWX...CLE...ILN...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC041-161-177-270340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAYETTE UNION WAYNE OHC011-013-021-023-037-041-045-047-049-057-059-089-091-097-107- 109-111-113-119-121-129-135-149-159-270340- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUGLAIZE BELMONT CHAMPAIGN CLARK DARKE DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE GUERNSEY LICKING LOGAN MADISON MERCER MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY MUSKINGUM NOBLE PICKAWAY PREBLE SHELBY UNION Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0417 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A progressive large scale mid/upper trough will traverse the Great Plains on D3/Friday and shift northeast, bringing cooler temperatures, higher elevation snow, and much needed rain to parts of northern Rockies and northern High Plains. This should reduce broader fire weather concerns across portions of the High Plains into the Midwest. However, fire weather concerns will remain for areas that do not see appreciable rainfall on Day 2/Thursday and Day 3/Friday in the central and southern High Plains. An upper ridge builds back across the western U.S. thereafter, bringing warm and dry weather through the remainder of the forecast period. ...Day 3/Friday - Southern High Plains and West Texas... A cold front associated with an emerging surface low will progress southward across the central and southern High Plains on Day 3/Friday. Tightening surface pressure gradients in the lee of the Sangre de Critso and Sandia Manzano Mountains of NM will promote strong downslope westerly winds of 15-20 mph with coincident RH of 10-15 percent ahead of the dry cold front. The aforementioned front will pass through the TX Panhandle and eastern NM in the late afternoon, bringing sustained northerly winds of 20+ mph, while only increasing RH to 20-30 percent. These weather conditions should be monitored closely with any new ignitions or ongoing wildfires, as it could be problematic for fire spread. However, increasing high cloud cover throughout the day may alleviate some fire concerns. Additionally, dry and breezy conditions return to far southern NV and the Low/High Desert of CA on Day 3/Friday. Sustained northerly winds of 20-30 mph and 10-15 percent RH could promote localized wildfire spread potential. Upper ridging builds back in this weekend across the western U.S., persisting through early next week. Given the overall pattern, locally elevated fire weather conditions may arise as dry conditions prevail across parts of the central and southern High Plains. ..Elizalde-Garcia/Williams.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0417 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A progressive large scale mid/upper trough will traverse the Great Plains on D3/Friday and shift northeast, bringing cooler temperatures, higher elevation snow, and much needed rain to parts of northern Rockies and northern High Plains. This should reduce broader fire weather concerns across portions of the High Plains into the Midwest. However, fire weather concerns will remain for areas that do not see appreciable rainfall on Day 2/Thursday and Day 3/Friday in the central and southern High Plains. An upper ridge builds back across the western U.S. thereafter, bringing warm and dry weather through the remainder of the forecast period. ...Day 3/Friday - Southern High Plains and West Texas... A cold front associated with an emerging surface low will progress southward across the central and southern High Plains on Day 3/Friday. Tightening surface pressure gradients in the lee of the Sangre de Critso and Sandia Manzano Mountains of NM will promote strong downslope westerly winds of 15-20 mph with coincident RH of 10-15 percent ahead of the dry cold front. The aforementioned front will pass through the TX Panhandle and eastern NM in the late afternoon, bringing sustained northerly winds of 20+ mph, while only increasing RH to 20-30 percent. These weather conditions should be monitored closely with any new ignitions or ongoing wildfires, as it could be problematic for fire spread. However, increasing high cloud cover throughout the day may alleviate some fire concerns. Additionally, dry and breezy conditions return to far southern NV and the Low/High Desert of CA on Day 3/Friday. Sustained northerly winds of 20-30 mph and 10-15 percent RH could promote localized wildfire spread potential. Upper ridging builds back in this weekend across the western U.S., persisting through early next week. Given the overall pattern, locally elevated fire weather conditions may arise as dry conditions prevail across parts of the central and southern High Plains. ..Elizalde-Garcia/Williams.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0417 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A progressive large scale mid/upper trough will traverse the Great Plains on D3/Friday and shift northeast, bringing cooler temperatures, higher elevation snow, and much needed rain to parts of northern Rockies and northern High Plains. This should reduce broader fire weather concerns across portions of the High Plains into the Midwest. However, fire weather concerns will remain for areas that do not see appreciable rainfall on Day 2/Thursday and Day 3/Friday in the central and southern High Plains. An upper ridge builds back across the western U.S. thereafter, bringing warm and dry weather through the remainder of the forecast period. ...Day 3/Friday - Southern High Plains and West Texas... A cold front associated with an emerging surface low will progress southward across the central and southern High Plains on Day 3/Friday. Tightening surface pressure gradients in the lee of the Sangre de Critso and Sandia Manzano Mountains of NM will promote strong downslope westerly winds of 15-20 mph with coincident RH of 10-15 percent ahead of the dry cold front. The aforementioned front will pass through the TX Panhandle and eastern NM in the late afternoon, bringing sustained northerly winds of 20+ mph, while only increasing RH to 20-30 percent. These weather conditions should be monitored closely with any new ignitions or ongoing wildfires, as it could be problematic for fire spread. However, increasing high cloud cover throughout the day may alleviate some fire concerns. Additionally, dry and breezy conditions return to far southern NV and the Low/High Desert of CA on Day 3/Friday. Sustained northerly winds of 20-30 mph and 10-15 percent RH could promote localized wildfire spread potential. Upper ridging builds back in this weekend across the western U.S., persisting through early next week. Given the overall pattern, locally elevated fire weather conditions may arise as dry conditions prevail across parts of the central and southern High Plains. ..Elizalde-Garcia/Williams.. 04/01/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0085 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 85 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..04/01/26 ATTN...WFO...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-115-137-155-012140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN OHIO RIPLEY SWITZERLAND KYC011-015-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-115-117-127- 133-135-159-161-165-173-175-187-191-195-201-205-012140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOONE BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT GREENUP JOHNSON KENTON LAWRENCE LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN MASON MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWEN PENDLETON PIKE ROBERTSON ROWAN Read more
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5 hours 5 minutes ago
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