Storm Prediction Center

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW JCT TO 60 ENE JCT TO 55 SE BWD TO 25 NW SEP TO 40 S SPS. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-031-035-053-099-143-145-171-193-209-221-237-259-265- 281-299-309-331-363-367-425-453-491-120840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BLANCO BOSQUE BURNET CORYELL ERATH FALLS GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS HOOD JACK KENDALL KERR LAMPASAS LLANO MCLENNAN MILAM PALO PINTO PARKER SOMERVELL TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW JCT TO 60 ENE JCT TO 55 SE BWD TO 25 NW SEP TO 40 S SPS. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-031-035-053-099-143-145-171-193-209-221-237-259-265- 281-299-309-331-363-367-425-453-491-120840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BLANCO BOSQUE BURNET CORYELL ERATH FALLS GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS HOOD JACK KENDALL KERR LAMPASAS LLANO MCLENNAN MILAM PALO PINTO PARKER SOMERVELL TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW JCT TO 60 ENE JCT TO 55 SE BWD TO 25 NW SEP TO 40 S SPS. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-031-035-053-099-143-145-171-193-209-221-237-259-265- 281-299-309-331-363-367-425-453-491-120840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BLANCO BOSQUE BURNET CORYELL ERATH FALLS GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS HOOD JACK KENDALL KERR LAMPASAS LLANO MCLENNAN MILAM PALO PINTO PARKER SOMERVELL TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 101 SEVERE TSTM TX 120600Z - 121300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 101 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and North Texas * Effective this Sunday morning from 100 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A linear band of storms, with embedded bows/brief circulations, will continue generally northeastward tonight. With some additional increase in low-level moisture, as well as low-level/mid-level winds, concern is that damaging wind, and perhaps brief tornado, potential may persist through the early morning hours. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Mineral Wells TX to 135 miles south of Brownwood TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 100... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. ...Synopsis... Southwesterly deep-layer flow will persist from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes on Tuesday. An upper trough over the western U.S. will slowly pivot eastward, emerging over the central/southern High Plains by Sunday morning. Surface low pressure will remain centered over the central Plains, with troughing extending southwestward into west TX. A cold front will slowly sag southward across portions of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. The surface trough/dryline and the boundary across the Great Lakes will become a focus for thunderstorm activity through the forecast period. ...Lower MO Valley to the Great Lakes vicinity... Convection may be ongoing across portions of the region Tuesday morning. This activity should spread east, and persistent warm advection should allow for airmass recovery during the afternoon. Steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread mid 60s F dewpoints, and moderate to strong destabilization is forecast. Stronger height falls are not expected across the region, as the main upper trough will be focused well to the southwest. However, warm advection atop a southward-sagging surface boundary should support isolated to scattered storm development by late afternoon/evening. Supercell wind profiles are evident in forecast soundings, suggesting an all-hazards risk. Given uncertainty related to potential airmass contamination from early day convection and cloud cover, and potential capping concerns, will maintain Slight risk (level 2 of 5). However, a rather volatile thermodynamic and kinematic environment will exist across portions of the region, and higher probabilities may be needed in subsequent outlooks depending on forecast trends and mesoscale details. ...Southern Plains vicinity... Large-scale ascent will begin overspreading the region by late afternoon/evening as the western upper trough finally begins to eject eastward. As this occurs, mixing and convergence along a surface dryline should support at least isolated storm development by around 00z. Steep midlevel lapse rates and mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will support strong destabilization amid supercell wind profiles. Large to very large hail will be possible in addition to strong wind gusts and a tornado or two. ..Leitman.. 04/12/2026 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. ...Synopsis... Southwesterly deep-layer flow will persist from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes on Tuesday. An upper trough over the western U.S. will slowly pivot eastward, emerging over the central/southern High Plains by Sunday morning. Surface low pressure will remain centered over the central Plains, with troughing extending southwestward into west TX. A cold front will slowly sag southward across portions of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. The surface trough/dryline and the boundary across the Great Lakes will become a focus for thunderstorm activity through the forecast period. ...Lower MO Valley to the Great Lakes vicinity... Convection may be ongoing across portions of the region Tuesday morning. This activity should spread east, and persistent warm advection should allow for airmass recovery during the afternoon. Steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread mid 60s F dewpoints, and moderate to strong destabilization is forecast. Stronger height falls are not expected across the region, as the main upper trough will be focused well to the southwest. However, warm advection atop a southward-sagging surface boundary should support isolated to scattered storm development by late afternoon/evening. Supercell wind profiles are evident in forecast soundings, suggesting an all-hazards risk. Given uncertainty related to potential airmass contamination from early day convection and cloud cover, and potential capping concerns, will maintain Slight risk (level 2 of 5). However, a rather volatile thermodynamic and kinematic environment will exist across portions of the region, and higher probabilities may be needed in subsequent outlooks depending on forecast trends and mesoscale details. ...Southern Plains vicinity... Large-scale ascent will begin overspreading the region by late afternoon/evening as the western upper trough finally begins to eject eastward. As this occurs, mixing and convergence along a surface dryline should support at least isolated storm development by around 00z. Steep midlevel lapse rates and mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will support strong destabilization amid supercell wind profiles. Large to very large hail will be possible in addition to strong wind gusts and a tornado or two. ..Leitman.. 04/12/2026 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. ...Synopsis... Southwesterly deep-layer flow will persist from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes on Tuesday. An upper trough over the western U.S. will slowly pivot eastward, emerging over the central/southern High Plains by Sunday morning. Surface low pressure will remain centered over the central Plains, with troughing extending southwestward into west TX. A cold front will slowly sag southward across portions of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. The surface trough/dryline and the boundary across the Great Lakes will become a focus for thunderstorm activity through the forecast period. ...Lower MO Valley to the Great Lakes vicinity... Convection may be ongoing across portions of the region Tuesday morning. This activity should spread east, and persistent warm advection should allow for airmass recovery during the afternoon. Steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread mid 60s F dewpoints, and moderate to strong destabilization is forecast. Stronger height falls are not expected across the region, as the main upper trough will be focused well to the southwest. However, warm advection atop a southward-sagging surface boundary should support isolated to scattered storm development by late afternoon/evening. Supercell wind profiles are evident in forecast soundings, suggesting an all-hazards risk. Given uncertainty related to potential airmass contamination from early day convection and cloud cover, and potential capping concerns, will maintain Slight risk (level 2 of 5). However, a rather volatile thermodynamic and kinematic environment will exist across portions of the region, and higher probabilities may be needed in subsequent outlooks depending on forecast trends and mesoscale details. ...Southern Plains vicinity... Large-scale ascent will begin overspreading the region by late afternoon/evening as the western upper trough finally begins to eject eastward. As this occurs, mixing and convergence along a surface dryline should support at least isolated storm development by around 00z. Steep midlevel lapse rates and mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will support strong destabilization amid supercell wind profiles. Large to very large hail will be possible in addition to strong wind gusts and a tornado or two. ..Leitman.. 04/12/2026 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. ...Synopsis... Southwesterly deep-layer flow will persist from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes on Tuesday. An upper trough over the western U.S. will slowly pivot eastward, emerging over the central/southern High Plains by Sunday morning. Surface low pressure will remain centered over the central Plains, with troughing extending southwestward into west TX. A cold front will slowly sag southward across portions of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. The surface trough/dryline and the boundary across the Great Lakes will become a focus for thunderstorm activity through the forecast period. ...Lower MO Valley to the Great Lakes vicinity... Convection may be ongoing across portions of the region Tuesday morning. This activity should spread east, and persistent warm advection should allow for airmass recovery during the afternoon. Steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread mid 60s F dewpoints, and moderate to strong destabilization is forecast. Stronger height falls are not expected across the region, as the main upper trough will be focused well to the southwest. However, warm advection atop a southward-sagging surface boundary should support isolated to scattered storm development by late afternoon/evening. Supercell wind profiles are evident in forecast soundings, suggesting an all-hazards risk. Given uncertainty related to potential airmass contamination from early day convection and cloud cover, and potential capping concerns, will maintain Slight risk (level 2 of 5). However, a rather volatile thermodynamic and kinematic environment will exist across portions of the region, and higher probabilities may be needed in subsequent outlooks depending on forecast trends and mesoscale details. ...Southern Plains vicinity... Large-scale ascent will begin overspreading the region by late afternoon/evening as the western upper trough finally begins to eject eastward. As this occurs, mixing and convergence along a surface dryline should support at least isolated storm development by around 00z. Steep midlevel lapse rates and mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will support strong destabilization amid supercell wind profiles. Large to very large hail will be possible in addition to strong wind gusts and a tornado or two. ..Leitman.. 04/12/2026 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Broad southwesterly mid level flow in advance of a trough progressing from California into the Great Basin will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions from southeastern New Mexico all the way into portions of eastern Wyoming and South Dakota. Critical fire-weather concerns are forecast for portions of southeastern Colorado into portions of far western Kansas and northern New Mexico. ...Eastern New Mexico/Adjacent High Plains... Critical fire-weather conditions are forecast for southeastern Colorado into portions of far northeastern New Mexico and far western Kansas. Minimum relative humidity of 10-15% and winds of 25 MPH will overlap with critically receptive fuels. While Critical meteorological conditions appear they could extend further south and west of the current area, recent wetting rainfall and a lack of receptive fuels currently limit the expansion of highlights. Still, there are some pockets of receptive fuels in portions of Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle that have yet to receive rain, and some additional highlights may be warranted in future updates. A secondary area of concern in the ensemble guidance could be portions of northern Nebraska into South Dakota/Wyoming, where some members have come in with winds of 25-30 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15% over receptive fuels. However, ensemble spread in the surface winds reduces confidence to introduce these highlights, especially given the members with the strongest winds are models that tend to bias towards aggressive mixing. Still, this area will be monitored for additional highlights in future updates. ...Mid Atlantic... Dry southeasterly return flow is forecast across portions of North Carolina into much of Virginia, where fuels currently exceed the 95th-99th annual percentiles for ERCs. Winds are expected to reach 10-15 MPH with relative humidity around 25-35%, supporting Elevated fire-weather concerns. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Broad southwesterly mid level flow in advance of a trough progressing from California into the Great Basin will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions from southeastern New Mexico all the way into portions of eastern Wyoming and South Dakota. Critical fire-weather concerns are forecast for portions of southeastern Colorado into portions of far western Kansas and northern New Mexico. ...Eastern New Mexico/Adjacent High Plains... Critical fire-weather conditions are forecast for southeastern Colorado into portions of far northeastern New Mexico and far western Kansas. Minimum relative humidity of 10-15% and winds of 25 MPH will overlap with critically receptive fuels. While Critical meteorological conditions appear they could extend further south and west of the current area, recent wetting rainfall and a lack of receptive fuels currently limit the expansion of highlights. Still, there are some pockets of receptive fuels in portions of Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle that have yet to receive rain, and some additional highlights may be warranted in future updates. A secondary area of concern in the ensemble guidance could be portions of northern Nebraska into South Dakota/Wyoming, where some members have come in with winds of 25-30 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15% over receptive fuels. However, ensemble spread in the surface winds reduces confidence to introduce these highlights, especially given the members with the strongest winds are models that tend to bias towards aggressive mixing. Still, this area will be monitored for additional highlights in future updates. ...Mid Atlantic... Dry southeasterly return flow is forecast across portions of North Carolina into much of Virginia, where fuels currently exceed the 95th-99th annual percentiles for ERCs. Winds are expected to reach 10-15 MPH with relative humidity around 25-35%, supporting Elevated fire-weather concerns. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Broad southwesterly mid level flow in advance of a trough progressing from California into the Great Basin will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions from southeastern New Mexico all the way into portions of eastern Wyoming and South Dakota. Critical fire-weather concerns are forecast for portions of southeastern Colorado into portions of far western Kansas and northern New Mexico. ...Eastern New Mexico/Adjacent High Plains... Critical fire-weather conditions are forecast for southeastern Colorado into portions of far northeastern New Mexico and far western Kansas. Minimum relative humidity of 10-15% and winds of 25 MPH will overlap with critically receptive fuels. While Critical meteorological conditions appear they could extend further south and west of the current area, recent wetting rainfall and a lack of receptive fuels currently limit the expansion of highlights. Still, there are some pockets of receptive fuels in portions of Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle that have yet to receive rain, and some additional highlights may be warranted in future updates. A secondary area of concern in the ensemble guidance could be portions of northern Nebraska into South Dakota/Wyoming, where some members have come in with winds of 25-30 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15% over receptive fuels. However, ensemble spread in the surface winds reduces confidence to introduce these highlights, especially given the members with the strongest winds are models that tend to bias towards aggressive mixing. Still, this area will be monitored for additional highlights in future updates. ...Mid Atlantic... Dry southeasterly return flow is forecast across portions of North Carolina into much of Virginia, where fuels currently exceed the 95th-99th annual percentiles for ERCs. Winds are expected to reach 10-15 MPH with relative humidity around 25-35%, supporting Elevated fire-weather concerns. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Broad southwesterly mid level flow in advance of a trough progressing from California into the Great Basin will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions from southeastern New Mexico all the way into portions of eastern Wyoming and South Dakota. Critical fire-weather concerns are forecast for portions of southeastern Colorado into portions of far western Kansas and northern New Mexico. ...Eastern New Mexico/Adjacent High Plains... Critical fire-weather conditions are forecast for southeastern Colorado into portions of far northeastern New Mexico and far western Kansas. Minimum relative humidity of 10-15% and winds of 25 MPH will overlap with critically receptive fuels. While Critical meteorological conditions appear they could extend further south and west of the current area, recent wetting rainfall and a lack of receptive fuels currently limit the expansion of highlights. Still, there are some pockets of receptive fuels in portions of Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle that have yet to receive rain, and some additional highlights may be warranted in future updates. A secondary area of concern in the ensemble guidance could be portions of northern Nebraska into South Dakota/Wyoming, where some members have come in with winds of 25-30 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15% over receptive fuels. However, ensemble spread in the surface winds reduces confidence to introduce these highlights, especially given the members with the strongest winds are models that tend to bias towards aggressive mixing. Still, this area will be monitored for additional highlights in future updates. ...Mid Atlantic... Dry southeasterly return flow is forecast across portions of North Carolina into much of Virginia, where fuels currently exceed the 95th-99th annual percentiles for ERCs. Winds are expected to reach 10-15 MPH with relative humidity around 25-35%, supporting Elevated fire-weather concerns. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and intensifying southwest flow aloft and an intensifying surface cyclone progressing from the northern plains into the upper Midwest will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions across much of the southwestern U.S. into the Great Plains this afternoon. ...Southwest and Four Corners... Deeply mixed and dry boundary layer profiles will support strong southwesterly surface winds across much of the Southwest into the Four Corners region, reaching 20 MPH (gusting 25-30 in some regions) with widespread relative humidity of 10-15%. These conditions will coincide with a wide array of fuel conditions ranging from marginally to modestly receptive. Locally Critical conditions may occur, with some signal for a corridor of stronger winds in south-central Utah. However, overall marginal fuels and lack of confidence in the duration and magnitude of surface winds reaching Critical criteria preclude highlights at this time. ...Central High Plains... Surface conditions behind the dryline in the Central High Plains will be quite gusty and dry, with winds of 20-25 MPH and relative humidity as low as 10% across much of the region. However, these conditions overlap a complex fuelsape where recent showers and thunderstorms have dampened fuels across portions of central/southern Colorado into New Mexico. Further north into portions of Wyoming and Nebraska, where fuels are more receptive, winds are expected to remain at or around 20 MPH, with gusts exceeding 25 MPH. Locally critical conditions may occur in portions of northern Nebraska. ...Ohio River Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley... Ongoing drought conditions coupled with dry and breezy southerly flow will result in Elevated fire-weather concerns across portions of the Mississippi Valley into the Ohio River Valley. Surface winds of 10-15 MPH and relative humidity of 25-35% will overlap with fuels exceeding the 95th-99th annual ERC percentiles. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and intensifying southwest flow aloft and an intensifying surface cyclone progressing from the northern plains into the upper Midwest will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions across much of the southwestern U.S. into the Great Plains this afternoon. ...Southwest and Four Corners... Deeply mixed and dry boundary layer profiles will support strong southwesterly surface winds across much of the Southwest into the Four Corners region, reaching 20 MPH (gusting 25-30 in some regions) with widespread relative humidity of 10-15%. These conditions will coincide with a wide array of fuel conditions ranging from marginally to modestly receptive. Locally Critical conditions may occur, with some signal for a corridor of stronger winds in south-central Utah. However, overall marginal fuels and lack of confidence in the duration and magnitude of surface winds reaching Critical criteria preclude highlights at this time. ...Central High Plains... Surface conditions behind the dryline in the Central High Plains will be quite gusty and dry, with winds of 20-25 MPH and relative humidity as low as 10% across much of the region. However, these conditions overlap a complex fuelsape where recent showers and thunderstorms have dampened fuels across portions of central/southern Colorado into New Mexico. Further north into portions of Wyoming and Nebraska, where fuels are more receptive, winds are expected to remain at or around 20 MPH, with gusts exceeding 25 MPH. Locally critical conditions may occur in portions of northern Nebraska. ...Ohio River Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley... Ongoing drought conditions coupled with dry and breezy southerly flow will result in Elevated fire-weather concerns across portions of the Mississippi Valley into the Ohio River Valley. Surface winds of 10-15 MPH and relative humidity of 25-35% will overlap with fuels exceeding the 95th-99th annual ERC percentiles. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and intensifying southwest flow aloft and an intensifying surface cyclone progressing from the northern plains into the upper Midwest will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions across much of the southwestern U.S. into the Great Plains this afternoon. ...Southwest and Four Corners... Deeply mixed and dry boundary layer profiles will support strong southwesterly surface winds across much of the Southwest into the Four Corners region, reaching 20 MPH (gusting 25-30 in some regions) with widespread relative humidity of 10-15%. These conditions will coincide with a wide array of fuel conditions ranging from marginally to modestly receptive. Locally Critical conditions may occur, with some signal for a corridor of stronger winds in south-central Utah. However, overall marginal fuels and lack of confidence in the duration and magnitude of surface winds reaching Critical criteria preclude highlights at this time. ...Central High Plains... Surface conditions behind the dryline in the Central High Plains will be quite gusty and dry, with winds of 20-25 MPH and relative humidity as low as 10% across much of the region. However, these conditions overlap a complex fuelsape where recent showers and thunderstorms have dampened fuels across portions of central/southern Colorado into New Mexico. Further north into portions of Wyoming and Nebraska, where fuels are more receptive, winds are expected to remain at or around 20 MPH, with gusts exceeding 25 MPH. Locally critical conditions may occur in portions of northern Nebraska. ...Ohio River Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley... Ongoing drought conditions coupled with dry and breezy southerly flow will result in Elevated fire-weather concerns across portions of the Mississippi Valley into the Ohio River Valley. Surface winds of 10-15 MPH and relative humidity of 25-35% will overlap with fuels exceeding the 95th-99th annual ERC percentiles. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and intensifying southwest flow aloft and an intensifying surface cyclone progressing from the northern plains into the upper Midwest will be responsible for widespread dry and windy conditions across much of the southwestern U.S. into the Great Plains this afternoon. ...Southwest and Four Corners... Deeply mixed and dry boundary layer profiles will support strong southwesterly surface winds across much of the Southwest into the Four Corners region, reaching 20 MPH (gusting 25-30 in some regions) with widespread relative humidity of 10-15%. These conditions will coincide with a wide array of fuel conditions ranging from marginally to modestly receptive. Locally Critical conditions may occur, with some signal for a corridor of stronger winds in south-central Utah. However, overall marginal fuels and lack of confidence in the duration and magnitude of surface winds reaching Critical criteria preclude highlights at this time. ...Central High Plains... Surface conditions behind the dryline in the Central High Plains will be quite gusty and dry, with winds of 20-25 MPH and relative humidity as low as 10% across much of the region. However, these conditions overlap a complex fuelsape where recent showers and thunderstorms have dampened fuels across portions of central/southern Colorado into New Mexico. Further north into portions of Wyoming and Nebraska, where fuels are more receptive, winds are expected to remain at or around 20 MPH, with gusts exceeding 25 MPH. Locally critical conditions may occur in portions of northern Nebraska. ...Ohio River Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley... Ongoing drought conditions coupled with dry and breezy southerly flow will result in Elevated fire-weather concerns across portions of the Mississippi Valley into the Ohio River Valley. Surface winds of 10-15 MPH and relative humidity of 25-35% will overlap with fuels exceeding the 95th-99th annual ERC percentiles. ..Halbert.. 04/12/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DRT TO 10 WSW JCT TO 35 NE JCT. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-267-319-385-411-120740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN KIMBLE MASON REAL SAN SABA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DRT TO 10 WSW JCT TO 35 NE JCT. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-267-319-385-411-120740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN KIMBLE MASON REAL SAN SABA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DRT TO 10 WSW JCT TO 35 NE JCT. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-267-319-385-411-120740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN KIMBLE MASON REAL SAN SABA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DRT TO 10 WSW JCT TO 35 NE JCT. ..BROYLES..04/12/26 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 100 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-267-319-385-411-120740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN KIMBLE MASON REAL SAN SABA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more