Storm Prediction Center

MD 1665 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 498... FOR PARTS OF NC AND SOUTHERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 1665 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0548 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...Parts of NC and southern VA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498... Valid 192248Z - 200015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498 continues. SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind remains possible through early evening. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered storms are ongoing across parts of NC into far southern VA. With MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg and large PW in place, occasionally vigorous updrafts and subsequent downdrafts will remain possible through early evening. However, the widely scattered storm coverage and lack of sustained storm clustering has limited coverage of the damaging-wind threat thus far. The most favorable effective shear (25-35 kt) resides across southern VA into northeast NC, though storms have remained isolated across these areas. While coverage may remain rather sparse in this area, any new or ongoing cells may be able to persist through the early evening with a threat of localized damaging wind. Farther south, the weaker shear will continue to result in more of a pulse character to storm development/evolution, though the large PW will support potential for wet microbursts. A gradual decrease in the severe wind threat is expected with time through the evening. However, nocturnal cooling/stabilization will be slow within the very moist environment, and a localized wind-damage threat may persist beyond the 00 UTC expiration time of WW 498. ..Dean.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP... LAT...LON 34727575 34857882 34818003 35708044 36348057 36558057 36778029 36817957 36717828 37127729 37327683 37297644 37197612 36527580 35847559 35147564 34727575 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more

MD 1664 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MT INTO NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WY
Mesoscale Discussion 1664 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0442 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...Parts of south-central and southeast MT into north-central and northeast WY Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 192142Z - 200015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few locally severe wind gusts will be possible with high-based thunderstorms over the next few hours (through around 01Z). The localized nature of the threat should preclude the need for a watch. DISCUSSION...Potentially aided by a passing midlevel westerly jet steak across northern/central MT (well sampled by the BLX VWP), isolated high-based thunderstorms are evolving over the higher terrain of north-central WY into south-central MT this afternoon. Despite the presence of weak buoyancy, these storms will be moving through an area of steep low/midlevel lapse rates (around 50 deg T/Td spreads). This, combined with a long/straight hodograph (around 30-40 kt of effective shear), will support a couple loosely organized clusters capable of producing severe wind gusts through around 01Z. If a more-organized cold pool can evolve, isolated significant gusts upwards of 75 mph cannot be ruled out. The severe-wind risk is expected to remain too localized for a watch. ..Weinman/Hart.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR...BYZ...RIW... LAT...LON 44290627 44580761 44930832 45460847 45780829 45940791 45950743 45870653 45640560 45200491 44910477 44550484 44330538 44290627 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH Read more

WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE DIK TO 20 SSE MOT. ..WEINMAN..07/19/26 ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC015-021-029-031-037-043-045-047-051-055-057-059-065-083-085- 093-103-200040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BURLEIGH DICKEY EMMONS FOSTER GRANT KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH MCLEAN MERCER MORTON OLIVER SHERIDAN SIOUX STUTSMAN WELLS SDC013-021-031-041-045-049-089-107-129-200040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS FAULK MCPHERSON POTTER WALWORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 499 SEVERE TSTM ND SD 192125Z - 200400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 499 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 425 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central North Dakota Northern South Dakota * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and spread east-southeastward across the watch area this evening. Locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible with the strongest storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles north northeast of Bismarck ND to 35 miles south southeast of Mobridge SD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 498... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more

MD 1663 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1663 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...portions of southern North Dakota into northern South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 192055Z - 192300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Developing, high-based convection will evolve eastward through this evening, bringing a risk for severe wind gusts (some potentially significant) and large hail, perhaps to 2-3+ inches in diameter. DISCUSSION...A developing cumulus field across far southwestern ND/northwestern SD has shown some signs of increased vertical growth over the past hour, with isolated thunderstorms noted across Perkins and Meade Counties in South Dakota as of 2050 UTC. Additional development is expected amid continued insolation and along a southeastward-progressing cold front over the next couple of hours. A modified 18z BIS sounding indicates steep low- and mid-level lapse rates are in place across this region along with around 30 kts of effective shear and relatively straight, elongated hodographs. Coupled with strengthening upper-level flow and further hodograph elongation with time, this environment will be supportive of initial, high-based splitting supercells capable of large hail (potentially to 2-3+ inches in diameter) and severe outflow wind gusts to 80+ mph. Efficient evaporative cooling will favor cold pool development, with upscale growth into one or more clusters (and a transition towards severe wind gusts as the primary threat) then expected as convection spreads eastward with time. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed later this afternoon to cover this severe potential. ..Chalmers/Thompson.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 46600306 47240277 47560236 47740141 47750043 47659973 47419909 47049869 46319820 45639824 45119891 44899991 44790092 44800171 45010249 45300275 45970300 46600306 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... The extended forecast period exhibits a critical fire weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern California. A broad mid-level ridge will dominate over much of Intermountain West through early this week as troughing across the northeastern U.S. amplifies midweek. Model guidance suggests better chances of dry thunderstorm impacts for the Pacific Northwest on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday as moisture from tropical storm Elida gets wrapped up along the northwestern periphery of the upper ridge. On Day 5/Thursday, an incoming upper trough and influence from tropical storm Elida are expected to contribute to the breakdown of the upper ridge. As strong southwest-westerly flow overlaps the northwestern U.S., a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage lightning holdovers to emerge where dry fuels exist. ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday... The thunderstorm threat across CA and the Pacific Northwest remains very sensitive to the expected track of a subtropical moisture plume from tropical storm Elida. Thunderstorms are forecast for northern CA and portions of the Pacific Northwest on Day 3/Tuesday, and increasing in coverage on Day 4/Wednesday. While forecast PWATs range from 0.8-1.2", fast storm motions may limit precipitation efficiency, generating greater ignition potential as the fuelscape remains receptive. Localized accumulating rainfall is possible with wetter thunderstorms, especially areas that receive multiple rounds of rainfall. For this outlook, 10% dry thunderstorm probabilities were introduced on Day 4/Wednesday as extended guidance has trended towards maintaining a dry boundary layer and ample instability. Probabilities may be adjusted in future outlooks as the upper pattern is better resolved. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... Following several days of mixed wet/dry thunderstorm potential, longer term ensemble guidance suggests a return to dry and breezy conditions across portions of CA and the Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday. Ensembles suggest the upper trough will strengthen across the northwestern U.S. on Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday, prompting an expansion of 40% Critical probabilities. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... The extended forecast period exhibits a critical fire weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern California. A broad mid-level ridge will dominate over much of Intermountain West through early this week as troughing across the northeastern U.S. amplifies midweek. Model guidance suggests better chances of dry thunderstorm impacts for the Pacific Northwest on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday as moisture from tropical storm Elida gets wrapped up along the northwestern periphery of the upper ridge. On Day 5/Thursday, an incoming upper trough and influence from tropical storm Elida are expected to contribute to the breakdown of the upper ridge. As strong southwest-westerly flow overlaps the northwestern U.S., a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage lightning holdovers to emerge where dry fuels exist. ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday... The thunderstorm threat across CA and the Pacific Northwest remains very sensitive to the expected track of a subtropical moisture plume from tropical storm Elida. Thunderstorms are forecast for northern CA and portions of the Pacific Northwest on Day 3/Tuesday, and increasing in coverage on Day 4/Wednesday. While forecast PWATs range from 0.8-1.2", fast storm motions may limit precipitation efficiency, generating greater ignition potential as the fuelscape remains receptive. Localized accumulating rainfall is possible with wetter thunderstorms, especially areas that receive multiple rounds of rainfall. For this outlook, 10% dry thunderstorm probabilities were introduced on Day 4/Wednesday as extended guidance has trended towards maintaining a dry boundary layer and ample instability. Probabilities may be adjusted in future outlooks as the upper pattern is better resolved. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... Following several days of mixed wet/dry thunderstorm potential, longer term ensemble guidance suggests a return to dry and breezy conditions across portions of CA and the Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday. Ensembles suggest the upper trough will strengthen across the northwestern U.S. on Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday, prompting an expansion of 40% Critical probabilities. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... The extended forecast period exhibits a critical fire weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern California. A broad mid-level ridge will dominate over much of Intermountain West through early this week as troughing across the northeastern U.S. amplifies midweek. Model guidance suggests better chances of dry thunderstorm impacts for the Pacific Northwest on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday as moisture from tropical storm Elida gets wrapped up along the northwestern periphery of the upper ridge. On Day 5/Thursday, an incoming upper trough and influence from tropical storm Elida are expected to contribute to the breakdown of the upper ridge. As strong southwest-westerly flow overlaps the northwestern U.S., a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage lightning holdovers to emerge where dry fuels exist. ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday... The thunderstorm threat across CA and the Pacific Northwest remains very sensitive to the expected track of a subtropical moisture plume from tropical storm Elida. Thunderstorms are forecast for northern CA and portions of the Pacific Northwest on Day 3/Tuesday, and increasing in coverage on Day 4/Wednesday. While forecast PWATs range from 0.8-1.2", fast storm motions may limit precipitation efficiency, generating greater ignition potential as the fuelscape remains receptive. Localized accumulating rainfall is possible with wetter thunderstorms, especially areas that receive multiple rounds of rainfall. For this outlook, 10% dry thunderstorm probabilities were introduced on Day 4/Wednesday as extended guidance has trended towards maintaining a dry boundary layer and ample instability. Probabilities may be adjusted in future outlooks as the upper pattern is better resolved. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... Following several days of mixed wet/dry thunderstorm potential, longer term ensemble guidance suggests a return to dry and breezy conditions across portions of CA and the Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday. Ensembles suggest the upper trough will strengthen across the northwestern U.S. on Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday, prompting an expansion of 40% Critical probabilities. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... The extended forecast period exhibits a critical fire weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern California. A broad mid-level ridge will dominate over much of Intermountain West through early this week as troughing across the northeastern U.S. amplifies midweek. Model guidance suggests better chances of dry thunderstorm impacts for the Pacific Northwest on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday as moisture from tropical storm Elida gets wrapped up along the northwestern periphery of the upper ridge. On Day 5/Thursday, an incoming upper trough and influence from tropical storm Elida are expected to contribute to the breakdown of the upper ridge. As strong southwest-westerly flow overlaps the northwestern U.S., a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage lightning holdovers to emerge where dry fuels exist. ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday... The thunderstorm threat across CA and the Pacific Northwest remains very sensitive to the expected track of a subtropical moisture plume from tropical storm Elida. Thunderstorms are forecast for northern CA and portions of the Pacific Northwest on Day 3/Tuesday, and increasing in coverage on Day 4/Wednesday. While forecast PWATs range from 0.8-1.2", fast storm motions may limit precipitation efficiency, generating greater ignition potential as the fuelscape remains receptive. Localized accumulating rainfall is possible with wetter thunderstorms, especially areas that receive multiple rounds of rainfall. For this outlook, 10% dry thunderstorm probabilities were introduced on Day 4/Wednesday as extended guidance has trended towards maintaining a dry boundary layer and ample instability. Probabilities may be adjusted in future outlooks as the upper pattern is better resolved. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... Following several days of mixed wet/dry thunderstorm potential, longer term ensemble guidance suggests a return to dry and breezy conditions across portions of CA and the Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday. Ensembles suggest the upper trough will strengthen across the northwestern U.S. on Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday, prompting an expansion of 40% Critical probabilities. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... The extended forecast period exhibits a critical fire weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern California. A broad mid-level ridge will dominate over much of Intermountain West through early this week as troughing across the northeastern U.S. amplifies midweek. Model guidance suggests better chances of dry thunderstorm impacts for the Pacific Northwest on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday as moisture from tropical storm Elida gets wrapped up along the northwestern periphery of the upper ridge. On Day 5/Thursday, an incoming upper trough and influence from tropical storm Elida are expected to contribute to the breakdown of the upper ridge. As strong southwest-westerly flow overlaps the northwestern U.S., a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage lightning holdovers to emerge where dry fuels exist. ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday... The thunderstorm threat across CA and the Pacific Northwest remains very sensitive to the expected track of a subtropical moisture plume from tropical storm Elida. Thunderstorms are forecast for northern CA and portions of the Pacific Northwest on Day 3/Tuesday, and increasing in coverage on Day 4/Wednesday. While forecast PWATs range from 0.8-1.2", fast storm motions may limit precipitation efficiency, generating greater ignition potential as the fuelscape remains receptive. Localized accumulating rainfall is possible with wetter thunderstorms, especially areas that receive multiple rounds of rainfall. For this outlook, 10% dry thunderstorm probabilities were introduced on Day 4/Wednesday as extended guidance has trended towards maintaining a dry boundary layer and ample instability. Probabilities may be adjusted in future outlooks as the upper pattern is better resolved. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... Following several days of mixed wet/dry thunderstorm potential, longer term ensemble guidance suggests a return to dry and breezy conditions across portions of CA and the Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday. Ensembles suggest the upper trough will strengthen across the northwestern U.S. on Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday, prompting an expansion of 40% Critical probabilities. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1661 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1661 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0330 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...portions of the Black Hills into south-central South Dakota and northern Nebraska Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 192030Z - 192230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some potential for damaging/severe wind gusts may accompany developing, high-based convection through this evening. DISCUSSION...Latest visible satellite imagery depicts a field of towering cumulus with recent lightning activity across portions of southwestern South Dakota. Modifying the nearby 18z UNR observed sounding for nearby observations depicts a deep, well-mixed boundary layer with steep low-level lapse rates, 500 to 750 J/kg MLCAPE, and LCLs around 3 km AGL. This thermodynamic environment will support high-based convection, with some potential for isolated damaging/severe wind gusts likely to evolve through the afternoon/evening given surface dewpoint depressions of 40-50 F. Latest high-res guidance suggests that some clustering of convection along developing cold pools may occur over the next several hours; however, uncertainty remains regarding the longevity of this convection. With this activity occurring along the southern periphery of stronger mid-to-upper level flow, effective shear is limited to around 20-25 kts per latest mesoanalysis. This lends some credence to a more limited severe risk compared to areas farther north. Thus, watch issuance appears unlikely at this time but could be considered should a longer duration risk for damaging/severe wind gusts evolve through this afternoon and evening. ..Chalmers/Thompson.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 44230018 44089971 43789949 43479954 42930000 42500075 42180211 42120294 42120338 42340366 42760371 43340341 43860270 44210192 44310147 44340124 44230018 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

MD 1662 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 498... FOR SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC INTO NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 1662 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...Southern Mid-Atlantic into North Carolina Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498... Valid 192031Z - 192200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498 continues. SUMMARY...A risk for damaging winds will continue into early evening. The greatest risk will be in areas where temperatures are 90+ F. DISCUSSION...Scattered convection within southern Virginia and central/eastern North Carolina has led to considerable convective overturning. Within a corridor from Greensboro to Greenville, temperatures remain in the low/mid 90s F. Visible satellite shows towering cumulus increasing in parts of this zone as well. This region will likely see the greatest potential for strong/damaging winds given the locally steeper low-level lapse rates. Otherwise, the cold front continues to sag southward this afternoon into southern Virginia. Dewpoints are falling rapidly as this occurs. The severe risk should gradually decrease from northwest to southeast as this trends continues into the evening. ..Wendt.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK... LAT...LON 35037923 36038033 36878024 37417906 37467771 37177644 36167579 35437582 34727674 34627729 35037923 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more

WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0499 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0499 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1660 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS/PIEDMONT
Mesoscale Discussion 1660 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Areas affected...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 191911Z - 192115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible with scattered storms this afternoon. Lack of organization should preclude watch issuance this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Convection over the course of the last couple of hours has remained rather weak with a few cells becoming briefly marginally severe. Area VAD data shows 0-6 km shear of 15-20 kt. This should continue to promote disorganized cells that may occasionally pulse in intensity. A corridor of low 90s F temperatures and steeper low-level lapse rates in northern Georgia into Upstate South Carolina could see a locally greater risk of isolated wind damage. Barring greater cold pool organization of activity, a watch is not anticipated this afternoon. ..Wendt/Thompson.. 07/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX... LAT...LON 33178413 33628514 34738545 35038547 35938474 36518398 36578316 36628259 36508181 35998096 35328058 34698038 34148057 33178413 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more

WW 0498 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 498 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662 ..WENDT..07/19/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 498 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-007-013-015-029-031-033-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061- 063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105- 107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-153-157- 163-165-167-169-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-192140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CASWELL CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON Read more

WW 0498 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 498 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662 ..WENDT..07/19/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 498 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-007-013-015-029-031-033-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061- 063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105- 107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-153-157- 163-165-167-169-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-192140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CASWELL CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON Read more

WW 0498 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 498 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662 ..WENDT..07/19/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 498 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-007-013-015-029-031-033-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061- 063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105- 107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-153-157- 163-165-167-169-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-192140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CASWELL CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON Read more

WW 0498 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 498 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662 ..WENDT..07/19/26 ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 498 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-007-013-015-029-031-033-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061- 063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105- 107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-153-157- 163-165-167-169-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-192140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CASWELL CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON Read more

WW 498 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 191700Z - 200000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 498 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 100 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and eastern North Carolina Southern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are expected this afternoon along several subtle boundaries across southern Virginia and North Carolina. The strongest storms will be capable of producing occasional wind damage into this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of Greensboro NC to 40 miles east of Elizabeth City NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29020. ...Thompson Read more