SPC May 31, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will continue this evening and parts of the overnight, mainly within the central Plains. ...Synopsis... An arcing zone of convection is ongoing across parts of Nebraska into central Kansas. The strongest forcing for ascent will be present in Nebraska as the shortwave trough pivots north through the evening. This activity will still be capable of large hail, severe winds, and a couple of tornadoes as the low-level jet modestly strengthens into the evening. Additional storms will continue in central Kansas. The 00Z observed TOP sounding showed steep mid-level lapse rates, but some capping at low levels. While activity will tend to become elevated into the evening, strong to severe/damaging winds will remain possible farther east. Large hail potential will be somewhat mitigated be less favorable storm modes. Within the southern Plains, an isolated storm is possible on the dryline in the next couple of hours, but confidence in this scenario is low as forcing for ascent is weak and low-level stability will increase with time. ..Wendt.. 05/31/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will continue this evening and parts of the overnight, mainly within the central Plains. ...Synopsis... An arcing zone of convection is ongoing across parts of Nebraska into central Kansas. The strongest forcing for ascent will be present in Nebraska as the shortwave trough pivots north through the evening. This activity will still be capable of large hail, severe winds, and a couple of tornadoes as the low-level jet modestly strengthens into the evening. Additional storms will continue in central Kansas. The 00Z observed TOP sounding showed steep mid-level lapse rates, but some capping at low levels. While activity will tend to become elevated into the evening, strong to severe/damaging winds will remain possible farther east. Large hail potential will be somewhat mitigated be less favorable storm modes. Within the southern Plains, an isolated storm is possible on the dryline in the next couple of hours, but confidence in this scenario is low as forcing for ascent is weak and low-level stability will increase with time. ..Wendt.. 05/31/2026 Read more