Skip to header Skip to main navigation Skip to main content Skip to footer

User account menu

  • Log in
Cochise Times

Main navigation

  • Main
  • Local Stations
    • Benson
    • Bisbee
    • Douglas
      • Elfrida
      • McNeal
    • Sierra Vista
    • Tombstone
    • Willcox
      • Portal
  • News
  • Weather
  • Community
    • Calendar
    • Civics
    • Forums (opens in new tab)
  • Classifieds
  • Recreation
  • Directory
    • Specials
  • About

Storm Prediction Center

SPC May 31, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will continue this evening and parts of the overnight, mainly within the central Plains. ...Synopsis... An arcing zone of convection is ongoing across parts of Nebraska into central Kansas. The strongest forcing for ascent will be present in Nebraska as the shortwave trough pivots north through the evening. This activity will still be capable of large hail, severe winds, and a couple of tornadoes as the low-level jet modestly strengthens into the evening. Additional storms will continue in central Kansas. The 00Z observed TOP sounding showed steep mid-level lapse rates, but some capping at low levels. While activity will tend to become elevated into the evening, strong to severe/damaging winds will remain possible farther east. Large hail potential will be somewhat mitigated be less favorable storm modes. Within the southern Plains, an isolated storm is possible on the dryline in the next couple of hours, but confidence in this scenario is low as forcing for ascent is weak and low-level stability will increase with time. ..Wendt.. 05/31/2026 Read more

SPC May 31, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will continue this evening and parts of the overnight, mainly within the central Plains. ...Synopsis... An arcing zone of convection is ongoing across parts of Nebraska into central Kansas. The strongest forcing for ascent will be present in Nebraska as the shortwave trough pivots north through the evening. This activity will still be capable of large hail, severe winds, and a couple of tornadoes as the low-level jet modestly strengthens into the evening. Additional storms will continue in central Kansas. The 00Z observed TOP sounding showed steep mid-level lapse rates, but some capping at low levels. While activity will tend to become elevated into the evening, strong to severe/damaging winds will remain possible farther east. Large hail potential will be somewhat mitigated be less favorable storm modes. Within the southern Plains, an isolated storm is possible on the dryline in the next couple of hours, but confidence in this scenario is low as forcing for ascent is weak and low-level stability will increase with time. ..Wendt.. 05/31/2026 Read more

SPC May 31, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will continue this evening and parts of the overnight, mainly within the central Plains. ...Synopsis... An arcing zone of convection is ongoing across parts of Nebraska into central Kansas. The strongest forcing for ascent will be present in Nebraska as the shortwave trough pivots north through the evening. This activity will still be capable of large hail, severe winds, and a couple of tornadoes as the low-level jet modestly strengthens into the evening. Additional storms will continue in central Kansas. The 00Z observed TOP sounding showed steep mid-level lapse rates, but some capping at low levels. While activity will tend to become elevated into the evening, strong to severe/damaging winds will remain possible farther east. Large hail potential will be somewhat mitigated be less favorable storm modes. Within the southern Plains, an isolated storm is possible on the dryline in the next couple of hours, but confidence in this scenario is low as forcing for ascent is weak and low-level stability will increase with time. ..Wendt.. 05/31/2026 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0255 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CDS TO 45 W CSM TO 30 NW CHK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0912 ..MOORE..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC009-055-057-065-075-141-149-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKHAM GREER HARMON JACKSON KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA TXC155-197-487-310140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FOARD HARDEMAN WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0255 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CDS TO 45 W CSM TO 30 NW CHK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0912 ..MOORE..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC009-055-057-065-075-141-149-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKHAM GREER HARMON JACKSON KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA TXC155-197-487-310140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FOARD HARDEMAN WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0255 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CDS TO 45 W CSM TO 30 NW CHK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0912 ..MOORE..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC009-055-057-065-075-141-149-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKHAM GREER HARMON JACKSON KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA TXC155-197-487-310140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FOARD HARDEMAN WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0253 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 253 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S END TO 20 SW DDC TO 25 ESE LBF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914 ..MOORE..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 253 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-027-029-033-041-047-051-053-057-065-077-079-083-089- 095-097-105-113-115-123-135-137-141-143-145-147-151-155-157-159- 163-165-167-169-173-183-185-191-195-201-310140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLAY CLOUD COMANCHE DICKINSON EDWARDS ELLIS ELLSWORTH FORD GRAHAM HARPER HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MITCHELL NESS NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS PRATT RENO REPUBLIC RICE ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER TREGO WASHINGTON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 254 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0254 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 254 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MCK TO 40 WSW IML. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0913. ..MARSH..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC005-009-029-031-041-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-111- 113-117-135-145-161-171-310140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BLAINE CHASE CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN MCPHERSON PERKINS RED WILLOW SHERIDAN THOMAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0252 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 252 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S AKO TO 25 N AKO TO 10 SSE BFF TO 40 W CDR TO 45 NW CDR TO 45 W RAP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0911. ..MARSH..05/31/26 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 252 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-095-115-121-125-310140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA NEC013-033-045-123-165-310140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES MORRILL SIOUX SDC033-047-093-102-103-310140- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC MD 910

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
MD 0910 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0910 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0531 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Areas affected...Portions of the Edwards Plateau of southern Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 302231Z - 310030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development across the Big Bend/Edwards Plateau region may be very isolated, but the downstream environment may support intense convection through late evening. Watch issuance is currently not expected given limited storm coverage. DISCUSSION...Convection has been percolating along a dryline across the Big Bend/Edwards Plateau over the past couple of hours. Although deep initiation has struggled to remain sustained, lightning trends within a couple of deeper convective cores east/southeast of Fort Stockton, TX have increased over the past 20 minutes, hinting at a higher potential for sustained convection. If mature thunderstorms can be established, they will quickly migrate into an environment very favorable for intense convection (MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg with elongated hodographs featuring 45 knots of effective bulk shear). Within this environment, splitting supercells appear probable and will pose a threat for large to very large hail as well as severe gusts. Given weak synoptic-scale forcing for ascent, it remains to be seen whether these more recent attempts at sustained convection will succeed or whether storm coverage will be more than a storm or two. Because of these concerns watch issuance is currently not anticipated, but trends will be monitored. ..Moore/Guyer.. 05/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29680273 29710286 29870297 30150285 30870231 31910093 32010035 31999996 31779981 31469980 30929999 30520041 30120094 29910144 29790183 29790230 29750249 29680273 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 911

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
MD 0911 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 252... FOR PARTS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTHEAST COLORADO...AND EXTREME EASTERN WYOMING
Mesoscale Discussion 0911 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0620 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Areas affected...parts of western Nebraska and South Dakota...northeast Colorado...and extreme eastern Wyoming Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252... Valid 302320Z - 310045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop this evening across Severe Thunderstorm Watch #252. Isolated large hail and strong winds will remain possible across the watch. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to develop and grow upscale into north-south linear clusters this afternoon/evening to the northeast of a negatively tilted mid-level trough moving across north-central Colorado into eastern Wyoming. The overall environment remains favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms, with MUCAPE in the 1000-2000 J/kg range, with deep-layer shear on the order of 30 knots. However, deep-layer shear is mostly parallel to the initiating boundaries, which will favor seeding of downstream updrafts, acting as an overall check on thunderstorm intensity. Thus, despite overall an environment that would support a sustained hail and wind threat this evening, the most likely scenario is for any severe hail or wind to occur on an isolated basis with the strongest of updraft cores as the overall complex moves east into the central/northern Plains. The activity should weaken later this evening with the loss of diurnal heating. ..Marsh.. 05/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BIS...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...BYZ... LAT...LON 40130499 44210505 45970504 46210410 45950324 44340278 42980271 41080287 39730293 39180389 39500486 40130499 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0252 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 252 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW LIC TO 50 NW AKO TO 15 SW TOR TO 30 WNW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0911. ..MARSH..05/30/26 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 252 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-087-095-115-121-123-125-310040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-310040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX SDC033-047-093-102-103-310040- SD Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0253 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 253 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N CSM TO 25 WNW AVK TO 20 SW DDC TO 30 SE LBF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0909 ..MOORE..05/30/26 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 253 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-027-029-033-041-047-051-053-057-065-077-079-083-089- 095-097-105-113-115-123-135-137-141-143-145-147-151-155-157-159- 163-165-167-169-173-183-185-191-195-201-310040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLAY CLOUD COMANCHE DICKINSON EDWARDS ELLIS ELLSWORTH FORD GRAHAM HARPER HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MITCHELL NESS NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS PRATT RENO REPUBLIC RICE ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER TREGO WASHINGTON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 254 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0254 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 254 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MARSH..05/30/26 ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC039-302340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DECATUR NEC005-009-029-031-041-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-111- 113-117-135-145-161-171-302340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BLAINE CHASE CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN MCPHERSON PERKINS RED WILLOW SHERIDAN THOMAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0255 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 255 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..05/30/26 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 255 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC009-039-055-057-065-075-129-141-149-310040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKHAM CUSTER GREER HARMON JACKSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA TXC075-087-101-155-197-211-483-487-310040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE FOARD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL WHEELER WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 255 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 302250Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 255 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Western North Texas and Panhandle * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe storms will continue to develop, at least on an isolated/widely scattered basis, with large hail and locally damaging winds as the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Clinton OK to 50 miles west of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...WW 254... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26020. ...Guyer Read more

SPC MD 910

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
MD 0910 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0910 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0531 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Areas affected...Portions of the Edwards Plateau of southern Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 302231Z - 310030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development across the Big Bend/Edwards Plateau region may be very isolated, but the downstream environment may support intense convection through late evening. Watch issuance is currently not expected given limited storm coverage. DISCUSSION...Convection has been percolating along a dryline across the Big Bend/Edwards Plateau over the past couple of hours. Although deep initiation has struggled to remain sustained, lightning trends within a couple of deeper convective cores east/southeast of Fort Stockton, TX have increased over the past 20 minutes, hinting at a higher potential for sustained convection. If mature thunderstorms can be established, they will quickly migrate into an environment very favorable for intense convection (MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg with elongated hodographs featuring 45 knots of effective bulk shear). Within this environment, splitting supercells appear probable and will pose a threat for large to very large hail as well as severe gusts. Given weak synoptic-scale forcing for ascent, it remains to be seen whether these more recent attempts at sustained convection will succeed or whether storm coverage will be more than a storm or two. Because of these concerns watch issuance is currently not anticipated, but trends will be monitored. ..Moore/Guyer.. 05/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29680273 29710286 29870297 30150285 30870231 31910093 32010035 31999996 31779981 31469980 30929999 30520041 30120094 29910144 29790183 29790230 29750249 29680273 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 909

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
MD 0909 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253... FOR CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0909 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 Areas affected...Central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253... Valid 302158Z - 310000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat will likely increase across central Kansas over the next few hours as thunderstorms migrate into a corridor of extreme buoyancy. DISCUSSION...Two clusters of multicells and embedded supercells have emerged south of Hays, KS and to the west of the Wichita, KS area. Regional velocity imagery shows the early development of mid-level mesocyclones with a few of these cells, hinting that deep-layer shear is likely adequate to support supercells. Nearby VWP observations from KICT have sampled 0-6 km BWD values near 35 knots, which is stronger than estimated by recent RAP mesoanalyses. Additionally, these VWP observations are depicting 0-3 km SRH on the order of 300 m2/s2 to the north of a subtle outflow boundary, which will further support the potential for supercells, and perhaps a locally higher tornado threat, over the next few hours as convection begins to interact with this boundary. Similarly, a subtle outflow boundary is noted further north downstream of the cluster near Hays, KS. Enhanced low-level vorticity in proximity and north of this boundary may promote better storm organization and a localized tornado threat. However, any tornado potential will be conditional on maintaining at least semi-discrete storm modes. Based on recent radar trends, it remains to be seen whether these clusters will become primarily outflow dominant - which will likely diminish the tornado potential. Whether or not convection will become outflow dominant should become apparent over the next hour or so. Regardless, both clusters are migrating into the regional buoyancy maximum where MLCAPE values are estimated to be near 4000 J/kg. This will promote further intensification of ongoing convection, especially the potential for severe wind gusts. ..Moore.. 05/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 36939821 37429845 37699867 37819892 38129945 38439978 38789993 39089994 39379978 39589943 39679904 39649862 39589845 39369800 39059769 38769751 38319728 37939720 37539711 37249714 36929733 36829753 36799778 36819803 36939821 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255 Status Reports

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 0255 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0255 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255

Storm Prediction Center
1 week 2 days ago
WW 255 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 302250Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 255 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Western North Texas and Panhandle * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe storms will continue to develop, at least on an isolated/widely scattered basis, with large hail and locally damaging winds as the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Clinton OK to 50 miles west of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...WW 254... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26020. ...Guyer Read more
Pagination
  • First page « First
  • Previous page ‹ Previous
  • …
  • Page 21
  • Page 22
  • Page 23
  • Page 24
  • Current page 25
  • Page 26
  • Page 27
  • Page 28
  • Page 29
  • …
  • Next page Next ›
  • Last page Last »
3 hours 21 minutes ago
Storm Prediction Center
Storm Prediction Center
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Subscribe to Storm Prediction Center feed

Footer menu

  • Contact

Copyright © 2026 Cochise Times - All rights reserved

Community Broadcasting Local News and Information