WW 255 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 302250Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 255
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Oklahoma
Western North Texas and Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms will continue to develop, at least on an
isolated/widely scattered basis, with large hail and locally
damaging winds as the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Clinton OK to 50 miles west of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...WW 254...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26020.
...Guyer
Read more
MD 0910 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0910
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Portions of the Edwards Plateau of southern Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 302231Z - 310030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development across the Big Bend/Edwards
Plateau region may be very isolated, but the downstream environment
may support intense convection through late evening. Watch issuance
is currently not expected given limited storm coverage.
DISCUSSION...Convection has been percolating along a dryline across
the Big Bend/Edwards Plateau over the past couple of hours. Although
deep initiation has struggled to remain sustained, lightning trends
within a couple of deeper convective cores east/southeast of Fort
Stockton, TX have increased over the past 20 minutes, hinting at a
higher potential for sustained convection. If mature thunderstorms
can be established, they will quickly migrate into an environment
very favorable for intense convection (MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg with
elongated hodographs featuring 45 knots of effective bulk shear).
Within this environment, splitting supercells appear probable and
will pose a threat for large to very large hail as well as severe
gusts. Given weak synoptic-scale forcing for ascent, it remains to
be seen whether these more recent attempts at sustained convection
will succeed or whether storm coverage will be more than a storm or
two. Because of these concerns watch issuance is currently not
anticipated, but trends will be monitored.
..Moore/Guyer.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 29680273 29710286 29870297 30150285 30870231 31910093
32010035 31999996 31779981 31469980 30929999 30520041
30120094 29910144 29790183 29790230 29750249 29680273
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
MD 0909 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253... FOR CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0909
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0458 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253...
Valid 302158Z - 310000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat will likely increase across central
Kansas over the next few hours as thunderstorms migrate into a
corridor of extreme buoyancy.
DISCUSSION...Two clusters of multicells and embedded supercells have
emerged south of Hays, KS and to the west of the Wichita, KS area.
Regional velocity imagery shows the early development of mid-level
mesocyclones with a few of these cells, hinting that deep-layer
shear is likely adequate to support supercells. Nearby VWP
observations from KICT have sampled 0-6 km BWD values near 35 knots,
which is stronger than estimated by recent RAP mesoanalyses.
Additionally, these VWP observations are depicting 0-3 km SRH on the
order of 300 m2/s2 to the north of a subtle outflow boundary, which
will further support the potential for supercells, and perhaps a
locally higher tornado threat, over the next few hours as convection
begins to interact with this boundary. Similarly, a subtle outflow
boundary is noted further north downstream of the cluster near Hays,
KS. Enhanced low-level vorticity in proximity and north of this
boundary may promote better storm organization and a localized
tornado threat.
However, any tornado potential will be conditional on maintaining at
least semi-discrete storm modes. Based on recent radar trends, it
remains to be seen whether these clusters will become primarily
outflow dominant - which will likely diminish the tornado potential.
Whether or not convection will become outflow dominant should become
apparent over the next hour or so. Regardless, both clusters are
migrating into the regional buoyancy maximum where MLCAPE values are
estimated to be near 4000 J/kg. This will promote further
intensification of ongoing convection, especially the potential for
severe wind gusts.
..Moore.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 36939821 37429845 37699867 37819892 38129945 38439978
38789993 39089994 39379978 39589943 39679904 39649862
39589845 39369800 39059769 38769751 38319728 37939720
37539711 37249714 36929733 36829753 36799778 36819803
36939821
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
WW 255 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 302250Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 255
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Oklahoma
Western North Texas and Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms will continue to develop, at least on an
isolated/widely scattered basis, with large hail and locally
damaging winds as the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Clinton OK to 50 miles west of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...WW 254...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26020.
...Guyer
Read more
WW 0253 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 253
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/30/26
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 253
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-027-029-033-041-047-051-053-057-065-077-079-083-089-
095-097-105-113-115-123-135-137-141-143-145-147-151-155-157-159-
163-165-167-169-173-183-185-191-195-201-302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLAY
CLOUD COMANCHE DICKINSON
EDWARDS ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GRAHAM HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MARION MITCHELL
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO WASHINGTON
NEC001-019-035-047-061-065-073-079-083-099-129-137-169-181-
302340-
Read more
WW 253 SEVERE TSTM KS NE OK 302035Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 253
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Kansas
South Central Nebraska
Northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are rapidly developing on a dryline over
southwest Kansas. These storms will expand through the afternoon
and evening across the watch area, with the potential for damaging
winds and large hail. An isolated tornado or two is also possible
in any discrete cells that can be sustained.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north northwest
of Kearney NE to 10 miles west southwest of Enid OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
Read more
WW 0254 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 254
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/30/26
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR
NEC005-009-029-031-041-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-111-
113-117-135-145-161-171-302340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE CHASE
CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL
DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HITCHCOCK
HOOKER KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON PERKINS
RED WILLOW SHERIDAN THOMAS
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
Read more
WW 254 TORNADO KS NE 302200Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM MDT Sat May 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Kansas
Western Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms including supercells are expected
to develop across the region into this evening. This includes storms
capable of large hail, damaging winds and a tornado risk, which
should increase within a moist air mass as low-level winds
strengthen.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest of Mullen NE
to 40 miles southwest of Mccook NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 18025.
...Guyer
Read more
WW 0252 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 252
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/30/26
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 252
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-123-125-302340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-302340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
SDC033-047-093-102-103-302340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER MEADE
Read more
WW 252 SEVERE TSTM CO NE SD WY 302015Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM MDT Sat May 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Nebraska Panhandle
Southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify across the area
through the afternoon, with a few severe storms expected. Damaging
winds and hail are the main threat, although an isolated tornado is
possible if discrete supercells can form.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 90 miles north northwest
of Chadron NE to 30 miles south southwest of Akron CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
Read more
MD 0905 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO...NORTHERN/CENTRAL AR...AND FAR NORTHEAST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0905
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Southeast KS...southwest MO...northern/central
AR...and far northeast OK
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 302010Z - 302215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe hail and locally damaging gusts will be
possible with the stronger storms that evolve through the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are gradually increasing in coverage and
intensity ahead of remnant outflow in southeast KS/southwest MO and
within a zone of broadly confluent low-level flow extending
southward into central AR. While large-scale forcing for ascent is
weak, a moist and uncapped air mass (lower 70s dewpoints) will
continue to promote widely spaced thunderstorms through this
corridor for the remainder of the afternoon. While the severe risk
is expected to remain somewhat unfocused, a strongly unstable air
mass and 30-40 kt of effective shear will favor a few organized
clusters and perhaps supercell structures. Isolated severe hail and
locally damaging gusts are possible with the stronger/loner-lived
cells. A watch is not currently expected, though convective trends
are being monitored.
..Weinman/Hart.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 34419348 35169401 36069466 36649520 37129591 37609598
37929563 38059508 37889368 37389257 36769191 35819152
34659150 34199203 34119272 34419348
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
MD 0906 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN MT...NORTHEAST WY...SOUTHWEST ND...NORTHWEST SD
Mesoscale Discussion 0906
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0321 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Parts of eastern MT...northeast WY...southwest
ND...northwest SD
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 302021Z - 302245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms are possible through late
afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Occasionally strong storms are ongoing this afternoon
across eastern MT, to the northeast of a negative-tilt mid/upper
shortwave trough approaching the central/northern High Plains. This
convection is ongoing within a weak to moderately unstable
environment, with generally limited deep-layer shear. Storms in this
area may tend to remain disorganized through the afternoon, though
marginally severe hail and localized strong gusts cannot be ruled
out in the near term.
In the wake of this convection, diurnal heating is underway from
northeast WY/southeast MT into northwest SD/southwest ND, where
somewhat stronger instability will evolve by late afternoon. Renewed
storm initiation will be possible with time, with the highest
confidence in redevelopment near the Big Horns and northern parts of
the Black Hills. Deep-layer shear will generally remain modest, but
a few stronger multicells could develop, accompanied by an isolated
hail threat. Increasingly prominent outflow may also lead to
localized strong to severe gusts, especially if any stronger
clusters or line segments evolve with time.
..Dean/Hart.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...RIW...
LAT...LON 45160752 45600863 46930848 47620777 47890609 47730487
47400442 46400349 45630335 44930323 44720353 44560427
44360502 44150550 44320584 45160752
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
MD 0907 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST OK...AND THE ROLLING PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0907
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Parts of the eastern TX Panhandle...southwest
OK...and the Rolling Plains
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 302047Z - 302245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and locally severe wind gusts are
possible with any storms that develop this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Boundary-layer cumulus is quickly deepening along a
north/south-oriented dryline in parts of the central/eastern TX
Panhandle into the Cap Rock and Rolling Plains. Confidence is
increasing that isolated thunderstorms will develop over the next
hour or so. Ahead of the dryline, temperatures have warmed into the
lower 90s amid lower 60s dewpoints, yielding a moderately unstable
pre-convective air mass. This buoyancy, coupled with around 30 kt of
effective shear, will conditionally favor a couple organized cells
capable of producing large hail and locally severe gusts. It is
unclear if a watch will be needed, given the potentially isolated
storm coverage, though convective trends are being monitored.
..Weinman/Hart.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
LAT...LON 33020118 33570117 34520103 34990090 35330068 35470029
35429953 35199918 34449902 33839914 33069944 32799983
32820087 33020118
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
MD 0908 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL NE INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0908
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Areas affected...Parts of western/central NE into extreme northwest
KS
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 302051Z - 302245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated supercell development is possible from late
afternoon into early evening, before more widespread storms develop
this evening.
DISCUSSION...Diurnal heating and rich low-level moisture beneath
steep midlevel lapse rates (as observed in the 18Z LBF sounding) has
resulted in strong destabilization across parts of western/central
NE, with MLCAPE increasing into the 2000-3000 J/kg range. Details of
storm development (if any) through late afternoon remain uncertain,
with the strongest ascent associated with an approaching mid/upper
shortwave trough expected to remain northwest of the area in the
short term. However, weakening CINH may result in isolated storm
development across southwest NE late this afternoon, in the vicinity
of a differential heating zone. Development also cannot be ruled out
farther north into the weakly capped environment across central NE.
Mid/upper-level flow is expected to remain modest, with some backing
aloft associated with the approaching negative-tilt shortwave
trough. However, backed low-level flow is currently supporting
effective SRH of 150+ m2/s2, with a further increase possible into
early evening. If storms can mature within this environment, the
favorable instability and SRH could result in supercell development,
despite the marginal deep-layer shear. Any sustained supercell could
be accompanied by a tornado and very large hail potential.
Regardless of isolated supercell development through the next 2-3
hours, more widespread storms are expected to develop and/or move
into the region from KS this evening, with an increasingly prominent
severe-wind threat. Eventual watch issuance is likely, though timing
will depend on trends regarding possible initiation through the
remainder of the afternoon.
..Dean/Hart.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 40300192 41910192 42379969 42049907 41549911 41199957
41070002 40300038 39760042 39640079 39710140 39820183
40060198 40300192
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
...Synopsis...
A semi-stagnant synoptic pattern is expected to continue through the
extended forecast period. An upper low will hover over the Northwest
through Day 4/Tuesday meanwhile a blocking ridge remains over the
Central U.S. and Upper Midwest. Surface high pressure and associated
dry conditions amid light winds will dominate over the Great Lakes
through at least Day 5/Wednesday, before a possible pattern change
on Day 6/Thursday. A North Atlantic trough will persist along the
Eastern Seaboard before developing into an upper low as it moves
offshore on Day 5/Wednesday. Much of the Plains and Southeast will
continue to see opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with
deeper boundary layer moisture in place, keeping broader fire
weather concerns low.
The Northwest upper low will lift into southwestern Canada mid-week,
promoting a warming and drying trend across much of the
Intermountain West and Southwest through the period. Diffuse surface
pressure gradients will keep winds on the light side with above
normal temperatures and dry conditions supporting drying and curing
of fuels. An intrusion of deeper atmospheric moisture into the
Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday will promote increasing chances for
thunderstorms and appreciable precipitation in eastern NM. However,
extended guidance depicts moisture will be less significant west of
the Divide, with forecast soundings portraying a prominent dry
sub-cloud layer and PWATs of 0.5-0.8", allowing some possibility of
isolated dry thunderstorms to evolve. 10% probabilities for Dry
Thunderstorms have been introduced across far eastern AZ into
western NM to account for this threat.
As the blocking pattern continues through the middle of next week,
surface high pressure should reinforce warm and dry conditions
across the Great Lakes region. The upper ridge will begin to flatten
on Day 5/Wednesday as an upper low traverses southern Canada,
pushing surface high pressure farther southeast. Very warm daytime
temperatures and RH declining to near critical values on Day
6/Thursday could encourage fire weather concerns to emerge where
favorable fuels exist. However, misaligned breezy winds/critical RH
preclude the introduction of probabilities at this time, though
trends will be monitored in future outlook cycles.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
...Synopsis...
A semi-stagnant synoptic pattern is expected to continue through the
extended forecast period. An upper low will hover over the Northwest
through Day 4/Tuesday meanwhile a blocking ridge remains over the
Central U.S. and Upper Midwest. Surface high pressure and associated
dry conditions amid light winds will dominate over the Great Lakes
through at least Day 5/Wednesday, before a possible pattern change
on Day 6/Thursday. A North Atlantic trough will persist along the
Eastern Seaboard before developing into an upper low as it moves
offshore on Day 5/Wednesday. Much of the Plains and Southeast will
continue to see opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with
deeper boundary layer moisture in place, keeping broader fire
weather concerns low.
The Northwest upper low will lift into southwestern Canada mid-week,
promoting a warming and drying trend across much of the
Intermountain West and Southwest through the period. Diffuse surface
pressure gradients will keep winds on the light side with above
normal temperatures and dry conditions supporting drying and curing
of fuels. An intrusion of deeper atmospheric moisture into the
Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday will promote increasing chances for
thunderstorms and appreciable precipitation in eastern NM. However,
extended guidance depicts moisture will be less significant west of
the Divide, with forecast soundings portraying a prominent dry
sub-cloud layer and PWATs of 0.5-0.8", allowing some possibility of
isolated dry thunderstorms to evolve. 10% probabilities for Dry
Thunderstorms have been introduced across far eastern AZ into
western NM to account for this threat.
As the blocking pattern continues through the middle of next week,
surface high pressure should reinforce warm and dry conditions
across the Great Lakes region. The upper ridge will begin to flatten
on Day 5/Wednesday as an upper low traverses southern Canada,
pushing surface high pressure farther southeast. Very warm daytime
temperatures and RH declining to near critical values on Day
6/Thursday could encourage fire weather concerns to emerge where
favorable fuels exist. However, misaligned breezy winds/critical RH
preclude the introduction of probabilities at this time, though
trends will be monitored in future outlook cycles.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
...Synopsis...
A semi-stagnant synoptic pattern is expected to continue through the
extended forecast period. An upper low will hover over the Northwest
through Day 4/Tuesday meanwhile a blocking ridge remains over the
Central U.S. and Upper Midwest. Surface high pressure and associated
dry conditions amid light winds will dominate over the Great Lakes
through at least Day 5/Wednesday, before a possible pattern change
on Day 6/Thursday. A North Atlantic trough will persist along the
Eastern Seaboard before developing into an upper low as it moves
offshore on Day 5/Wednesday. Much of the Plains and Southeast will
continue to see opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with
deeper boundary layer moisture in place, keeping broader fire
weather concerns low.
The Northwest upper low will lift into southwestern Canada mid-week,
promoting a warming and drying trend across much of the
Intermountain West and Southwest through the period. Diffuse surface
pressure gradients will keep winds on the light side with above
normal temperatures and dry conditions supporting drying and curing
of fuels. An intrusion of deeper atmospheric moisture into the
Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday will promote increasing chances for
thunderstorms and appreciable precipitation in eastern NM. However,
extended guidance depicts moisture will be less significant west of
the Divide, with forecast soundings portraying a prominent dry
sub-cloud layer and PWATs of 0.5-0.8", allowing some possibility of
isolated dry thunderstorms to evolve. 10% probabilities for Dry
Thunderstorms have been introduced across far eastern AZ into
western NM to account for this threat.
As the blocking pattern continues through the middle of next week,
surface high pressure should reinforce warm and dry conditions
across the Great Lakes region. The upper ridge will begin to flatten
on Day 5/Wednesday as an upper low traverses southern Canada,
pushing surface high pressure farther southeast. Very warm daytime
temperatures and RH declining to near critical values on Day
6/Thursday could encourage fire weather concerns to emerge where
favorable fuels exist. However, misaligned breezy winds/critical RH
preclude the introduction of probabilities at this time, though
trends will be monitored in future outlook cycles.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
...Synopsis...
A semi-stagnant synoptic pattern is expected to continue through the
extended forecast period. An upper low will hover over the Northwest
through Day 4/Tuesday meanwhile a blocking ridge remains over the
Central U.S. and Upper Midwest. Surface high pressure and associated
dry conditions amid light winds will dominate over the Great Lakes
through at least Day 5/Wednesday, before a possible pattern change
on Day 6/Thursday. A North Atlantic trough will persist along the
Eastern Seaboard before developing into an upper low as it moves
offshore on Day 5/Wednesday. Much of the Plains and Southeast will
continue to see opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with
deeper boundary layer moisture in place, keeping broader fire
weather concerns low.
The Northwest upper low will lift into southwestern Canada mid-week,
promoting a warming and drying trend across much of the
Intermountain West and Southwest through the period. Diffuse surface
pressure gradients will keep winds on the light side with above
normal temperatures and dry conditions supporting drying and curing
of fuels. An intrusion of deeper atmospheric moisture into the
Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday will promote increasing chances for
thunderstorms and appreciable precipitation in eastern NM. However,
extended guidance depicts moisture will be less significant west of
the Divide, with forecast soundings portraying a prominent dry
sub-cloud layer and PWATs of 0.5-0.8", allowing some possibility of
isolated dry thunderstorms to evolve. 10% probabilities for Dry
Thunderstorms have been introduced across far eastern AZ into
western NM to account for this threat.
As the blocking pattern continues through the middle of next week,
surface high pressure should reinforce warm and dry conditions
across the Great Lakes region. The upper ridge will begin to flatten
on Day 5/Wednesday as an upper low traverses southern Canada,
pushing surface high pressure farther southeast. Very warm daytime
temperatures and RH declining to near critical values on Day
6/Thursday could encourage fire weather concerns to emerge where
favorable fuels exist. However, misaligned breezy winds/critical RH
preclude the introduction of probabilities at this time, though
trends will be monitored in future outlook cycles.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
...Synopsis...
A semi-stagnant synoptic pattern is expected to continue through the
extended forecast period. An upper low will hover over the Northwest
through Day 4/Tuesday meanwhile a blocking ridge remains over the
Central U.S. and Upper Midwest. Surface high pressure and associated
dry conditions amid light winds will dominate over the Great Lakes
through at least Day 5/Wednesday, before a possible pattern change
on Day 6/Thursday. A North Atlantic trough will persist along the
Eastern Seaboard before developing into an upper low as it moves
offshore on Day 5/Wednesday. Much of the Plains and Southeast will
continue to see opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with
deeper boundary layer moisture in place, keeping broader fire
weather concerns low.
The Northwest upper low will lift into southwestern Canada mid-week,
promoting a warming and drying trend across much of the
Intermountain West and Southwest through the period. Diffuse surface
pressure gradients will keep winds on the light side with above
normal temperatures and dry conditions supporting drying and curing
of fuels. An intrusion of deeper atmospheric moisture into the
Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday will promote increasing chances for
thunderstorms and appreciable precipitation in eastern NM. However,
extended guidance depicts moisture will be less significant west of
the Divide, with forecast soundings portraying a prominent dry
sub-cloud layer and PWATs of 0.5-0.8", allowing some possibility of
isolated dry thunderstorms to evolve. 10% probabilities for Dry
Thunderstorms have been introduced across far eastern AZ into
western NM to account for this threat.
As the blocking pattern continues through the middle of next week,
surface high pressure should reinforce warm and dry conditions
across the Great Lakes region. The upper ridge will begin to flatten
on Day 5/Wednesday as an upper low traverses southern Canada,
pushing surface high pressure farther southeast. Very warm daytime
temperatures and RH declining to near critical values on Day
6/Thursday could encourage fire weather concerns to emerge where
favorable fuels exist. However, misaligned breezy winds/critical RH
preclude the introduction of probabilities at this time, though
trends will be monitored in future outlook cycles.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/30/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
