SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of hail in excess of two inches and
wind gusts greater than 75 mph are expected from the central High
Plains into parts of the central and southern Plains Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly hail are
possible across the northern Plains into the upper Mississippi
Valley. Isolated severe storms capable of damaging winds also appear
possible from the Delmarva into eastern North Carolina.
...Synopsis...
Within the base of an upper low centered over Saskatchewan and
Manitoba, a vorticity lobe will progress through the northern Plains
into the upper MS Valley. That disturbance will be attended by a
belt of 40-50 kt flow in the mid levels, which will overspread the
northern and central Plains. Elsewhere, an apparent MCV initially
over western parts of VA and NC at 12Z Tuesday will progress through
the Piedmont and Coastal Plain over the course of the day.
At the surface, an area of low pressure is expected to slowly move
east along the southern Manitoba, northeast ND, northwest MN border
region with an associated cold front trailing southwest into the
central High Plains. Along the East Coast, an area of low pressure
is forecast to track through VA into the Tidewater region with a
trailing cold front moving through the Southeast.
...Central High Plains into the Central and Southern Plains...
The 12Z parameterized and convection-allowing models offer various
scenarios in regard to the location of ongoing storms Tuesday
morning, which in turn affects the evolution of diurnally enhanced
storm development by afternoon, and the subsequent track of a severe
MCS Tuesday night. Despite these differences, an EML will remain
intact across the High Plains, which coupled with a moist, upslope
regime in the low levels, will support a moderately unstable air
mass by afternoon. Isolated to widely scattered storms appear
possible from the vicinity of the Cheyenne Ridge south along the CO
Front Range with 40-50+ kt of effective bulk shear favoring
supercells capable of large to very large hail. Additional severe
storms appear possible during the afternoon across lower elevations
of the central and southern Plains, the details of which remain
highly uncertain.
As mentioned above, the models are in generally good agreement in
depicting the upscale growth of the afternoon storms into a
southeastward-moving MCS capable of damaging wind swaths and
significant gusts in excess of 75 mph. However, uncertainty in the
specific track of the MCS precludes the introduction of higher wind
probabilities and a categorical upgrade to a level 3/Enhanced Risk.
...Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest...
Multiple clusters of mainly elevated thunderstorms are expected to
be ongoing Tuesday morning from the eastern Dakotas into northern
NE, within a zone of forcing for ascent preceding the disturbance
mentioned in the synopsis. Modest instability coupled with 40-50 kt
of effective bulk shear may support some transient supercell
structures capable of large hail.
Additional surface-based storms appear possible by afternoon in the
vicinity of the surface front over the Red River Valley. Some
uncertainty still exists in the degree of air mass destabilization
owing to the potential for lingering clouds in the wake of the
early-day storms. Where greater destabilization can occur, the
environment will support mainly a large hail threat. Should stronger
heating and resultant steep, low-level lapse rates develop in the
vicinity of the front, a brief tornado or two will be possible owing
to a local maximum in vertical vorticity. Confidence in that
scenario is currently too low to include a 2% probability in this
forecast.
...Delmarva into eastern North Carolina...
A narrow corridor of severe-weather potential may materialize
Tuesday afternoon ahead of the surface low and surface front moving
through the area. A slight enhancement of mid-level flow (and
resultant vertical shear) will coincide with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass to support some organization with the primary
hazard being locally damaging wind gusts. Some tornado threat may
materialize ahead of the surface low, where backed near-surface
winds enhance low-level shear. A 2% tornado probability may need to
be included in subsequent Day 1 outlooks should the current model
signal persist.
..Mead.. 06/22/2026
Read more
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of hail in excess of two inches and
wind gusts greater than 75 mph are expected from the central High
Plains into parts of the central and southern Plains Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly hail are
possible across the northern Plains into the upper Mississippi
Valley. Isolated severe storms capable of damaging winds also appear
possible from the Delmarva into eastern North Carolina.
...Synopsis...
Within the base of an upper low centered over Saskatchewan and
Manitoba, a vorticity lobe will progress through the northern Plains
into the upper MS Valley. That disturbance will be attended by a
belt of 40-50 kt flow in the mid levels, which will overspread the
northern and central Plains. Elsewhere, an apparent MCV initially
over western parts of VA and NC at 12Z Tuesday will progress through
the Piedmont and Coastal Plain over the course of the day.
At the surface, an area of low pressure is expected to slowly move
east along the southern Manitoba, northeast ND, northwest MN border
region with an associated cold front trailing southwest into the
central High Plains. Along the East Coast, an area of low pressure
is forecast to track through VA into the Tidewater region with a
trailing cold front moving through the Southeast.
...Central High Plains into the Central and Southern Plains...
The 12Z parameterized and convection-allowing models offer various
scenarios in regard to the location of ongoing storms Tuesday
morning, which in turn affects the evolution of diurnally enhanced
storm development by afternoon, and the subsequent track of a severe
MCS Tuesday night. Despite these differences, an EML will remain
intact across the High Plains, which coupled with a moist, upslope
regime in the low levels, will support a moderately unstable air
mass by afternoon. Isolated to widely scattered storms appear
possible from the vicinity of the Cheyenne Ridge south along the CO
Front Range with 40-50+ kt of effective bulk shear favoring
supercells capable of large to very large hail. Additional severe
storms appear possible during the afternoon across lower elevations
of the central and southern Plains, the details of which remain
highly uncertain.
As mentioned above, the models are in generally good agreement in
depicting the upscale growth of the afternoon storms into a
southeastward-moving MCS capable of damaging wind swaths and
significant gusts in excess of 75 mph. However, uncertainty in the
specific track of the MCS precludes the introduction of higher wind
probabilities and a categorical upgrade to a level 3/Enhanced Risk.
...Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest...
Multiple clusters of mainly elevated thunderstorms are expected to
be ongoing Tuesday morning from the eastern Dakotas into northern
NE, within a zone of forcing for ascent preceding the disturbance
mentioned in the synopsis. Modest instability coupled with 40-50 kt
of effective bulk shear may support some transient supercell
structures capable of large hail.
Additional surface-based storms appear possible by afternoon in the
vicinity of the surface front over the Red River Valley. Some
uncertainty still exists in the degree of air mass destabilization
owing to the potential for lingering clouds in the wake of the
early-day storms. Where greater destabilization can occur, the
environment will support mainly a large hail threat. Should stronger
heating and resultant steep, low-level lapse rates develop in the
vicinity of the front, a brief tornado or two will be possible owing
to a local maximum in vertical vorticity. Confidence in that
scenario is currently too low to include a 2% probability in this
forecast.
...Delmarva into eastern North Carolina...
A narrow corridor of severe-weather potential may materialize
Tuesday afternoon ahead of the surface low and surface front moving
through the area. A slight enhancement of mid-level flow (and
resultant vertical shear) will coincide with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass to support some organization with the primary
hazard being locally damaging wind gusts. Some tornado threat may
materialize ahead of the surface low, where backed near-surface
winds enhance low-level shear. A 2% tornado probability may need to
be included in subsequent Day 1 outlooks should the current model
signal persist.
..Mead.. 06/22/2026
Read more
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of hail in excess of two inches and
wind gusts greater than 75 mph are expected from the central High
Plains into parts of the central and southern Plains Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly hail are
possible across the northern Plains into the upper Mississippi
Valley. Isolated severe storms capable of damaging winds also appear
possible from the Delmarva into eastern North Carolina.
...Synopsis...
Within the base of an upper low centered over Saskatchewan and
Manitoba, a vorticity lobe will progress through the northern Plains
into the upper MS Valley. That disturbance will be attended by a
belt of 40-50 kt flow in the mid levels, which will overspread the
northern and central Plains. Elsewhere, an apparent MCV initially
over western parts of VA and NC at 12Z Tuesday will progress through
the Piedmont and Coastal Plain over the course of the day.
At the surface, an area of low pressure is expected to slowly move
east along the southern Manitoba, northeast ND, northwest MN border
region with an associated cold front trailing southwest into the
central High Plains. Along the East Coast, an area of low pressure
is forecast to track through VA into the Tidewater region with a
trailing cold front moving through the Southeast.
...Central High Plains into the Central and Southern Plains...
The 12Z parameterized and convection-allowing models offer various
scenarios in regard to the location of ongoing storms Tuesday
morning, which in turn affects the evolution of diurnally enhanced
storm development by afternoon, and the subsequent track of a severe
MCS Tuesday night. Despite these differences, an EML will remain
intact across the High Plains, which coupled with a moist, upslope
regime in the low levels, will support a moderately unstable air
mass by afternoon. Isolated to widely scattered storms appear
possible from the vicinity of the Cheyenne Ridge south along the CO
Front Range with 40-50+ kt of effective bulk shear favoring
supercells capable of large to very large hail. Additional severe
storms appear possible during the afternoon across lower elevations
of the central and southern Plains, the details of which remain
highly uncertain.
As mentioned above, the models are in generally good agreement in
depicting the upscale growth of the afternoon storms into a
southeastward-moving MCS capable of damaging wind swaths and
significant gusts in excess of 75 mph. However, uncertainty in the
specific track of the MCS precludes the introduction of higher wind
probabilities and a categorical upgrade to a level 3/Enhanced Risk.
...Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest...
Multiple clusters of mainly elevated thunderstorms are expected to
be ongoing Tuesday morning from the eastern Dakotas into northern
NE, within a zone of forcing for ascent preceding the disturbance
mentioned in the synopsis. Modest instability coupled with 40-50 kt
of effective bulk shear may support some transient supercell
structures capable of large hail.
Additional surface-based storms appear possible by afternoon in the
vicinity of the surface front over the Red River Valley. Some
uncertainty still exists in the degree of air mass destabilization
owing to the potential for lingering clouds in the wake of the
early-day storms. Where greater destabilization can occur, the
environment will support mainly a large hail threat. Should stronger
heating and resultant steep, low-level lapse rates develop in the
vicinity of the front, a brief tornado or two will be possible owing
to a local maximum in vertical vorticity. Confidence in that
scenario is currently too low to include a 2% probability in this
forecast.
...Delmarva into eastern North Carolina...
A narrow corridor of severe-weather potential may materialize
Tuesday afternoon ahead of the surface low and surface front moving
through the area. A slight enhancement of mid-level flow (and
resultant vertical shear) will coincide with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass to support some organization with the primary
hazard being locally damaging wind gusts. Some tornado threat may
materialize ahead of the surface low, where backed near-surface
winds enhance low-level shear. A 2% tornado probability may need to
be included in subsequent Day 1 outlooks should the current model
signal persist.
..Mead.. 06/22/2026
Read more
WW 374 SEVERE TSTM AL MS TN 221720Z - 230000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Alabama
Central and Northeast Mississippi
Southern Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
across the watch area through the afternoon, with scattered severe
storms expected. Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern, but
there is a risk of a tornado or two as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west southwest
of Meridian MS to 55 miles north northeast of Huntsville AL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 221700Z - 231200Z
A broad area of elevated fire weather highlights remains across much
of the lower CO River Basin and adjacent Four Corners region.
Critically dry and breezy conditions will develop under a building
upper ridge, with current RH across much of the Southwestern U.S.
already in the single digits following poor overnight recoveries.
Sustained southwest winds of 10-15 mph, very low RH and dry fuels
are still expected for several hours during peak afternoon heating.
Elevated highlights were expanded northward into portions of
southeastern NV and southwestern UT where sustained south to
southwest winds of around 15 mph could prove impactful to existing
active wildfires.
..Williams.. 06/22/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level ridge will begin building over the Interior West as
upper troughing takes shape over the eastern U.S. today. An embedded
impulse will overspread the central Rockies, encouraging surface
trough development over the Great Basin, where dry and breezy
conditions are expected through the afternoon. Fifteen (15) mph
sustained west-southwesterly surface winds and 10-15 percent RH will
overspread dry fuels across the southern Great Basin into the Four
Corners, warranting the continuation of Elevated highlights. Dry and
breezy conditions will also occur across the Snake River Plain in
southern Idaho due to channeled flow. Fifteen to twenty (15-20) mph
west-southwesterly surface winds will overlap with 10-15 percent RH,
with Elevated highlights continued here as well.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 221700Z - 231200Z
A broad area of elevated fire weather highlights remains across much
of the lower CO River Basin and adjacent Four Corners region.
Critically dry and breezy conditions will develop under a building
upper ridge, with current RH across much of the Southwestern U.S.
already in the single digits following poor overnight recoveries.
Sustained southwest winds of 10-15 mph, very low RH and dry fuels
are still expected for several hours during peak afternoon heating.
Elevated highlights were expanded northward into portions of
southeastern NV and southwestern UT where sustained south to
southwest winds of around 15 mph could prove impactful to existing
active wildfires.
..Williams.. 06/22/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level ridge will begin building over the Interior West as
upper troughing takes shape over the eastern U.S. today. An embedded
impulse will overspread the central Rockies, encouraging surface
trough development over the Great Basin, where dry and breezy
conditions are expected through the afternoon. Fifteen (15) mph
sustained west-southwesterly surface winds and 10-15 percent RH will
overspread dry fuels across the southern Great Basin into the Four
Corners, warranting the continuation of Elevated highlights. Dry and
breezy conditions will also occur across the Snake River Plain in
southern Idaho due to channeled flow. Fifteen to twenty (15-20) mph
west-southwesterly surface winds will overlap with 10-15 percent RH,
with Elevated highlights continued here as well.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 221630Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds
and perhaps a couple of tornadoes should occur this afternoon and
evening across portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are also expected across the
northern/central High Plains, with large to very large hail the main
threat.
...Mid Atlantic...
Relatively fast zonal flow is present today from the OH Valley into
the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US, with a shortwave trough evident
over OH/MI. As this feature tracks eastward, it will push a surface
cold front southward across the central Appalachians and into the
Mid-Atlantic region. Considerable clouds are present ahead of the
front from KY/WV into VA/PA/NJ, limiting destabilization and
confidence in the details of where clusters of storms may form later
today. However, given the relatively strong winds aloft and
dewpoints in the 60s, it would seem likely that scattered strong to
severe storms will occur, capable of locally damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado.
...TN/MS/AL/GA...
The remnants of a severe overnight MCS are over AR/west TN/northern
MS. This system has considerable mesoscale organization with an MCV
noted over eastern AR. A very moist and unstable air mass is in
place ahead of this system over northern MS/AL, where heating into
the mid 80s will foster thunderstorm intensification this afternoon.
Damaging winds are the main concern with these storms, but a
low-level jet feature associated with the MCV could result in a few
supercell structures and the risk of a tornado or two. Activity
will track into north GA this evening. Refer to MD #1252 for
further details.
...Central High Plains...
Similar to yesterday, low-clouds are slowly burning off across the
High Plains of eastern CO and western SD/NE/KS, where moderate CAPE
values will develop by mid-afternoon. Easterly/upslope flow will
contribute to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern WY and
southward along the DCVZ in CO. These storms will track into the
CAPE axis, where favorable deep-layer shear will promote supercells
capable of very large hail and a few tornadoes.
..Hart/Moore.. 06/22/2026
Read more
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 221630Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds
and perhaps a couple of tornadoes should occur this afternoon and
evening across portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are also expected across the
northern/central High Plains, with large to very large hail the main
threat.
...Mid Atlantic...
Relatively fast zonal flow is present today from the OH Valley into
the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US, with a shortwave trough evident
over OH/MI. As this feature tracks eastward, it will push a surface
cold front southward across the central Appalachians and into the
Mid-Atlantic region. Considerable clouds are present ahead of the
front from KY/WV into VA/PA/NJ, limiting destabilization and
confidence in the details of where clusters of storms may form later
today. However, given the relatively strong winds aloft and
dewpoints in the 60s, it would seem likely that scattered strong to
severe storms will occur, capable of locally damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado.
...TN/MS/AL/GA...
The remnants of a severe overnight MCS are over AR/west TN/northern
MS. This system has considerable mesoscale organization with an MCV
noted over eastern AR. A very moist and unstable air mass is in
place ahead of this system over northern MS/AL, where heating into
the mid 80s will foster thunderstorm intensification this afternoon.
Damaging winds are the main concern with these storms, but a
low-level jet feature associated with the MCV could result in a few
supercell structures and the risk of a tornado or two. Activity
will track into north GA this evening. Refer to MD #1252 for
further details.
...Central High Plains...
Similar to yesterday, low-clouds are slowly burning off across the
High Plains of eastern CO and western SD/NE/KS, where moderate CAPE
values will develop by mid-afternoon. Easterly/upslope flow will
contribute to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern WY and
southward along the DCVZ in CO. These storms will track into the
CAPE axis, where favorable deep-layer shear will promote supercells
capable of very large hail and a few tornadoes.
..Hart/Moore.. 06/22/2026
Read more
MD 1251 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AR...NORTHWEST MS...NORTHERN LA...AND NORTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0906 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Areas affected...portions of eastern AR...northwest MS...northern
LA...and northeast TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373...
Valid 221406Z - 221530Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373
continues.
SUMMARY...Mainly sub-severe winds may persist with decaying MCS
moving across the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi Valley through the
morning hours. Overall severe potential is expected to remain low,
and a downstream watch is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Convection along the leading edge of a decaying MCS
across southeast AR into northern LA/northeast TX has diminished in
intensity over the past hour. A 37 kt measured gust was noted at
KPBF/Pine Bluff AR in the past 30-40 minutes, and measured severe
gusts have not be noted for 1-2 hours. As the convection continues
to percolate east/southeast the next few hours, gusty winds of this
caliber may occur. However, overall decreasing organization and
intensity of the weakening MCS is expected to continue and severe
potential will be limited. As the associated MCV over eastern AR
tracks eastward along a southward sagging surface boundary, some
severe potential could increase later this afternoon across parts of
MS, but severe potential should remain low the next few hours. As
such, a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is not expected at this
time.
..Leitman.. 06/22/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...FWD...
LAT...LON 35019136 34978968 34078976 33349019 32739093 32449164
32069313 32069450 32609535 33079551 33459458 33809271
34639182 34919164 35019136
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
Read more
WW 0373 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E DAL TO
15 S TXK TO 20 ENE ELD TO 15 ESE PBF TO 50 SSE BVX TO 20 ESE BVX.
..LEITMAN..06/22/26
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-027-041-043-073-079-091-095-139-147-221440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY COLUMBIA
DESHA DREW LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN MILLER MONROE
UNION WOODRUFF
LAC015-017-027-111-119-221440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
TXC063-067-203-315-343-459-499-221440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
WW 0373 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E DAL TO
15 S TXK TO 20 ENE ELD TO 15 ESE PBF TO 50 SSE BVX TO 20 ESE BVX.
..LEITMAN..06/22/26
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-027-041-043-073-079-091-095-139-147-221440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY COLUMBIA
DESHA DREW LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN MILLER MONROE
UNION WOODRUFF
LAC015-017-027-111-119-221440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
TXC063-067-203-315-343-459-499-221440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
WW 0373 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E DAL TO
15 S TXK TO 20 ENE ELD TO 15 ESE PBF TO 50 SSE BVX TO 20 ESE BVX.
..LEITMAN..06/22/26
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-027-041-043-073-079-091-095-139-147-221440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY COLUMBIA
DESHA DREW LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN MILLER MONROE
UNION WOODRUFF
LAC015-017-027-111-119-221440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
TXC063-067-203-315-343-459-499-221440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
WW 373 SEVERE TSTM AR LA OK TX 220850Z - 221600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 373
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Eastern Oklahoma
North-Central and Northeast Texas
* Effective this Monday morning from 350 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized bowing thunderstorm complex will likely
continue to pose a threat for scattered to numerous damaging winds
as it tracks quickly east-southeastward this morning. Peak gusts may
reach up to 65-75 mph on an isolated basis, and a brief tornado or
two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west of
Shreveport LA to 25 miles northwest of Harrison AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 372...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30045.
...Gleason
Read more
MD 1250 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1250
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0603 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Areas affected...portions of southeastern Oklahoma...western and
central Arkansas...northwest Louisiana...and northeast Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373...
Valid 221103Z - 221300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373
continues.
SUMMARY...A weakening bowing complex of strong/severe thunderstorms
will continue to produce strong to severe wind gusts through 9 am
CDT.
DISCUSSION...Mosaic radar imagery at 11z depicts a bowing complex of
thunderstorms over far western AR, southeast OK and northeast TX,
moving east at around 45 mph while storms along the southern
periphery sag southeast. This complex, which originated over western
KS Sunday afternoon, has exhibited a gradual weakening trend over
the past two hours as evidenced by a diminishing rear-inflow jet and
lower leading edge reflectivity. Nevertheless, at least some
potential for strong/near severe gusts will continue through 13-14z
given the fast system movement, presence of moderate/strong MLCAPE
in the downstream environment, and a slowly veering low-level jet.
Beyond 13-14z, the severe threat should continue to diminish with
time as the weakening trend continues, in line with short-term
high-res guidance.
..Bunting.. 06/22/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
LAT...LON 32949367 32939491 33109550 33249581 33699608 33859481
34189408 34549375 34899374 35269394 35589396 35569311
35559278 35199235 34339249 33289279 32949367
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0738 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
Valid 221300Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds
and perhaps a couple of tornadoes should occur mainly this afternoon
and evening across portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast.
Widely scattered severe thunderstorms are also expected across the
northern/central High Plains, with large to very large hail the main
threat.
...ArkLaTex into the Mid-South and Southeast...
A weakened but persistent MCS continues this morning across AR into
northeast TX. This cluster will track east-southeastward towards the
lower MS Valley over the next few hours while gradually weakening.
But, it should still pose some risk for isolated to widely scattered
damaging winds in the short term. The convectively augmented MCV
attendant to the ongoing MCS will also move east-northeastward
across the lower MS Valley and Mid-South/central Gulf Coast states
through the day. Gradual destabilization of a rather moist low-level
airmass (surface dewpoints generally in the low to mid 70s) should
occur, even with widespread cloudiness hampering daytime heating to
some extent. Modestly enhanced westerly mid-level flow associated
with the MCV and broad upper troughing over the eastern CONUS should
support sufficient deep-layer shear for modest updraft organization.
Multiple clusters and perhaps marginal supercells capable of
producing mainly scattered damaging winds should develop along/south
of a front this afternoon, and spread eastward across much of the
Southeast through at least the early evening. A tornado or two may
also occur in close proximity to the MCV track, but low-level flow
is forecast to be fairly veered and modest.
...Mid-Atlantic...
A mid-level shortwave trough will move eastward today from the OH
Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. Recent visible satellite imagery shows
fairly expansive cloud cover over much of the northern Mid-Atlantic,
with clearer skies farther south into southern VA and vicinity. 12Z
observed soundings across this region show poor lapse rates aloft,
which should hamper any more than weak instability developing this
afternoon, even with filtered daytime heating. Still, strengthening
mid-level westerly winds and large-scale ascent preceding the
shortwave trough will likely encourage scattered to numerous
thunderstorms to develop this afternoon across the higher terrain of
the central Appalachians and Blue Ridge Mountains. These multicell
clusters should pose a threat for mainly scattered damaging winds as
they spread east-northeastward towards the Atlantic Coast through
the afternoon and evening. Marginal hail may occur with the
strongest cores. A couple of tornadoes appear possible along/near a
sharpening warm front in the MD/PA/NJ/DE vicinity, where low-level
shear may become locally enhanced.
...Northern/Central High Plains...
Within a generally zonal mid-level pattern, isolated to widely
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and
evening across parts of the northern/central High Plains in a modest
low-level upslope flow regime. Moderate instability will be aided by
the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates, and 40-50 kt of
deep-layer shear will easily support supercells with an attendant
threat for large to very large hail. These supercells may be fairly
widely spaced, but will likely track south-southeastward through at
least the early evening before weakening. A couple of tornadoes may
occur with these supercells, particularly across parts of the NE
Panhandle into northeast CO, where the best combination of low-level
moisture, effective SRH, and favorable convective mode should
overlap for a few hours. Latest short-term guidance continues to
show low potential for upscale growth/MCS development tonight, but
trends will be monitored.
..Gleason/Bunting.. 06/22/2026
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